September 11, 2017 11:48 pm at 11:48 pm #1361477
Let’s speculate about Jose
Will it go out to sea?
If it makes landfall, where and when?
Is it going to be a dud like Irma or a catastrophe like Harvey?September 12, 2017 12:31 am at 12:31 am #1361496
Dude, Irma was NO DUD!!!
This IRMA storm is SERIOUS!!!September 12, 2017 1:27 am at 1:27 am #1361512
The current forecast has Jose arriving at the NC/SC border on Shabbos.September 12, 2017 6:14 am at 6:14 am #1361515
I read reports of people being rescued from flooded buildings in Northern Florida. If residents of Southern Florida had not evacuated, there would have been many more such stories and potentially, loss of life, and catastrophe, as there was with Harvey. B”H Irma was not as strong as she might have been, but there was still some pretty serious flooding and damage, and no one should get complacent and think that the authorities and weather folk over-reacted.
I don’t think residents of the Caribbean Islands or the Keys, or even those million without power in Florida, would call Irma a dud.September 12, 2017 6:14 am at 6:14 am #1361516
its all in the hands of Hashem what will happen during Jose. its in our hands with the gift of free-will to decide if we have had enough homes destroyed in Harvey & Irma together with many other public tragedies if we are all ready to do teshuva & make a final halt to all future tzaros in klal yisroel.
i.e. Hashem can stop it right now but only if we accept his wake-up calls for teshuva & finally do something about it & not just sit around watching all the tzaros go from tragic to horrific. a person today would need to be crazy to watch all this & live in denial thinking that this is all coincidence & we can just sit around without doing teshuva for the sins thats are causing these tragedies to occurSeptember 12, 2017 6:14 am at 6:14 am #1361522
In comparison to Harvey it wasSeptember 12, 2017 6:14 am at 6:14 am #1361524
Irma a dud? What planet are you living on? It did almost everything predicted….oh since it went west instead of east so in your mind it was a dud. Tell that to millions of people with no electricity.September 12, 2017 8:59 am at 8:59 am #1361570
Harvey was also a dud, in comparison to the mabul.September 12, 2017 9:16 am at 9:16 am #1361582
Ok guys, I stand corrected, from what I expected as a category 4 to what I’m hearing it sounds like it should’ve been more dangerous and BH it wasn’t (as opposed to Harvey which people thought wouldn’t be so bad, to it being worseSeptember 12, 2017 9:31 am at 9:31 am #1361594
Avram in MDParticipant
The goal of every hurricane is to get its name retired, and Irma will most likely be retired following a single use. The previous name in Irma’s slot of the six-year cycle, Irene, was used for four separate hurricanes (1981, 1999, 2005, 2011), including two that struck the U.S. (1999 in south FL and 2011 along the East Coast) before it got retired. Amateur.September 12, 2017 10:27 am at 10:27 am #1361609
Avram in MDParticipant
I think your perception of Hurricane Irma as a dud is not because of the actual storm impact, which was quite large, but because the storm was the most media hyped hurricane in history. Hurricane Irma had the potential to be much more catastrophic, but Florida got a few good bounces: the brush with Cuba disrupted the inner core of the hurricane, weakening the storm and preventing substantial restrengthening over the hot waters of the Gulf of Mexico, the storm became increasingly asymmetric due to increasing shear and the interaction with Cuba, so the offshore flow on the north side (pushing water away from Tampa Bay and other heavily populated Gulf Coast areas) was stronger than the onshore flow on the backside of the hurricane – which mitigated storm surge impacts along the Gulf Coast. Also, the hurricane took a substantial northward lurch after moving away from Cuba, resulting in a landfall south of Naples and an inland track along the I-75 corridor, which lessened impacts to areas such as Tampa, St. Petersburg, and Tallahassee. A track right along the Gulf Coast would have been worse. Finally, a bunch of cold air got entrained into the storm (note that much of Georgia was in the 50s on Monday, and even northern Florida was in the low 60s… certainly not hurricane-friendly temperatures!) which promoted rapid weakening.
That said, the middle Keys and Naples area suffered substantial damage from Irma’s inner core, and the wind field was quite large, so despite the track well to the west, Irma produced robust and long-lasting tropical storm conditions (sustained winds between 40 and 74mph, with some hurricane force gusts) across the entire Atlantic coast of Florida, resulting in widespread power outages and some surge flooding – even in Jacksonville, which was impressive. Several tornadoes were also spawned in the right-front quadrant of the storm across eastern Florida, including one which caused considerable damage in Palm Bay. And the weaker but large wind field brought a lot of trees down in Georgia (different vegetative landscape than Florida), resulting in widespread power outages and some fatalities.
Had the storm turned northward sooner, avoiding Cuba and raking the East Coast, or spent more time over the Gulf of Mexico (passing over or just west of Tampa Bay, for example), the impacts could have been much worse. Still, the storm likely caused billions of dollars worth of damage.September 12, 2017 5:27 pm at 5:27 pm #1362350
Now Jose is going in circles again. He’s not going to get in the headlines that way.September 18, 2017 6:45 pm at 6:45 pm #1366515
And again the forecast shows Jose going in a circle. If the boy wants to be famous, he needs to choose a target and attack. As George-Jacques Danton said, “de l’audace, encore de l’audace, et toujours de l’audace.”
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