But muggings are much more likely to happen, so they have to be taken into account as well since they can be dangerous. Even though murder is a greater danger in theory, l’maaseh, it if doesn’t happen to me, it is not at all dangerous, whereas the mugging that did happen to me was dangerous.
How likely something is to happen is a very big factor that has to be taken into account when talking about potential dangers. That’s why people don’t usually bring up statistics comparing the numbers of people who are struck by lightning.