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r c
Participant

…HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…
…STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
– Miami
– Miami Beach
– Key Biscayne
– Perrine
– Princeton

* WIND
– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 4 Hurricane force wind
– Peak Wind Forecast: 110-130 mph with gusts to 170 mph
– Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Saturday morning
until early Monday morning
– Window for Hurricane force winds: Saturday evening until
Sunday evening

– CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
– The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
– Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
major hurricane force wind greater than 110 mph of
equivalent Category 3 intensity or higher.
– To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
devastating to catastrophic wind impacts. Efforts should
now be underway to secure all properties.
– Extremely dangerous and life-threatening wind is possible.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury,
loss of life, or immense human suffering.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
– Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete
roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile
homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne
projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or
months.
– Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences
and roadway signs blown over.
– Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
– Widespread power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
– LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
– Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 7-10 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
– Window of concern: Begins early Saturday afternoon

– CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
– The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
– Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
extreme storm surge flooding greater than 9 feet above
ground.
– To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
devastating to catastrophic storm surge flooding impacts.
Evacuation efforts should now be underway.
– Life-threatening inundation is possible. Failure to heed
evacuation orders may result in serious injury, significant
loss of life, or immense human suffering. Leave immediately
if evacuation orders are given for your area. Consider
voluntary evacuation if recommended. Poor decisions may
result in being cut off or needlessly risk lives.

– POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
– Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding
greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural
damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly
compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may
be uninhabitable for an extended period.
– Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
– Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
– Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many
lifted onshore and stranded.