If Trump is the nominee (likely, but the convention is almost a year away), I would expect him to try for the magic Electoral College win number.
That said, his supporters are entrenched, but many non-Trumpers who voted against Clinton will not vote for him again.
I live in a town that last gave a majority to a Democrat for President in 1964. It went Trump by a substantial margin in 2016, it flipped for Biden in 2020.
I see internal party polling and reports showing this to be happening in many places,
His actions, lies, possible sedition, indictments empowers his base, but turn off many others.
Again all is analysis and speculation based on my experience. No one can predict what may happen in the next 13 months before the election.
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