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Haleivi:
Not trusting yourself is not quite the same thing as ‘moving toward the right’.
It is true some of the chumros were in that genre, but since many aren’t, I think we can see a trend together.
I don’t know why you brought up Nida. That is in the Gemara
Yes, you are correct it is in the gemara nidda 66a. However, that shows that the trend goes back even that far. However, you are correct that I was mistaken in my original post and thought it was more recent.
Yitay:
Yes, I don’t doubt that the sociological factors causing this may be different now than before. Specifically, as you note the idea that the communities got mixed together.
And also that to an extent, there is a realignment of custom back to halacha. For an example of that in the past, see Rema 89:1 that the custom in Ashkenazi communities was to wait only 1 hour, but that he says we should nevertheless wait 6 hours- and this was apparently adopted by most Ashkenazi communities, with exceptions.