Zdad,
sorry to bring up older posts now however I was just looking at this thread now.
you stated how is the Arab Spring different then Russia etc.
there is a Baal Haturim that says by Yishmael’s descendats “al pnei kol echav nafal” that when the descendants of Yishmael fall then Moshiach will be “Yatzmich” people are saying the Arab Spring is actually the Arab “Fall”