Nearly two-thirds of Israeli Jews do not believe an agreement to disarm Hamas in Gaza will actually be implemented, according to the August Israeli Society Index released by the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI).
The survey found that 58% of Israelis overall expect the agreement to fail and conditions in Gaza to remain largely as they are today. Among Jewish Israelis, that figure rises to 63%.
Only 3% of Israelis believe the full scenario envisioned under the initiative will materialize — Hamas completely disarming and Israel withdrawing entirely from Gaza. Among Jewish respondents, support for the likelihood of that scenario was effectively zero.
Another 15% believe Hamas will surrender some of its weapons while Israel withdraws from part of the Gaza Strip.
JPPI said skepticism surrounding the plan crosses political and religious lines, with Israelis on both the right and left expressing similar doubts that the initiative announced by President Donald Trump will ultimately be implemented.
The survey also examined Israeli attitudes toward the future of Yehuda and Shomron.
Overall, 37% of Israelis favor annexing the entire territory, while 30% favor some form of territorial division, 10% favor relinquishing the entire area, and 12% prefer maintaining the current situation.
Among Jewish Israelis, 38% support annexation of the entire territory and 35% favor partition.
Of Jewish respondents, 22% favored annexation alongside relocating the Arab population to other countries, while 14% supported annexation with autonomy but without Israeli citizenship for Arab residents. Almost none supported annexation accompanied by full Israeli citizenship for the Arab population.
Another 21% of Jewish respondents favored Israeli sovereignty over areas with Jewish majorities and the establishment of a Palestinian state in areas with Arab majorities, while 14% supported transferring Arab-majority areas to Jordan.
The poll also found a continuing rightward shift among Jewish Israelis on the Palestinian issue. The share agreeing that Israel should strengthen its control over the Palestinians, expand settlements, consider dismantling the Palestinian Authority and potentially annex parts of Yehuda and Shomron rose from 38% in March 2024 to 47% in March 2025 and 48% in March 2026.
When asked about Jewish communities in Yehuda and Shomron, 51% of Israelis overall and 55% of Jewish Israelis said all of them should remain under Israeli sovereignty under any future arrangement. Another 31% said communities located in territory not annexed by Israel should be evacuated.
The survey also revealed significant divisions over Jewish farms and outposts in Yehuda and Shomron. Thirty-six percent of Israelis strongly agreed that they constitute a burden on the IDF and harm national security, while an identical 36% strongly disagreed.
On the broader demographic question, 55% of Israelis and 60% of Jewish Israelis said maintaining a Jewish majority in Israel was more important than retaining all of Eretz Yisrael. By comparison, 24% of Israelis and 22% of Jewish respondents prioritized Israeli sovereignty over all the territory between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea, even without a Jewish majority.
JPPI President Prof. Yedidia Stern said the findings demonstrate “deep pessimism” across Israel’s ideological spectrum over the prospects of implementing Trump’s Gaza plan.
He said the findings do not necessarily indicate that Israelis favor indefinite control of Gaza, but rather reflect widespread disbelief that Hamas will voluntarily surrender its control of the Strip.
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One Response
I don’t doubt they will hand in garbage weapons worth 50$ getting 1000$ a piece. They’re probably smuggling in and manufacturing guns as we speak. Disarming = fundraising