“Because of” macht nisht ois. But you yourself would admit that your understanding of demography is limited. And that your expertise in analyzing data is somewhat, um, also limited. And the data itself is somewhat, um- let’s not mince words- flawed to nonexistent. Yet you “know” what’s going on. Yeah.
Anyone who says “its as simple as” is being simple minded.
In G-d we trust. Everyone else, bring me data.