“The judgement of the board, who must evaluate these criteria is at least partially subjective. The parole, though seemingly likely, is NOT automatic.”
In Pollard’s case, it IS automatic. Review the two conditions:
(1) he has seriously or frequently violated institution rules and regulations
It is an objectively true statement that he has not done so.
(2) there is a reasonable probability that he will commit any Federal, State, or local crime.
His only crimes were his activity related to his espionage. He cannot engage in any espionage any more because he has had no access to national security information for 30 years. And most of what he used to have access to has likely been declassified anyway.
He did the crime, he has done the time. Let him go peacefully.