While you’re right in some cases, I don’t think backgammon is
one of them. Although how you play does matter, for two players
with equal levels of knowledge, it comes down to luck.
True, luck can turn any game of backgammon — but that’s why you play a match and not just a single game. (Plus, the doubling cube adds quite a bit of non-luck-based strategy).
If the two players are truly equal players, then, over the long haul, they’ll each win about 50% of the matches they play, which is how it should be. If not, the skill of one will definitely that percentage over 50%.
The Wolf