Reply To: What percentage of conservative and reform are halachically jewish?

Nishtdayngesheft, you are not correct. For simplicity’s sake let’s say that we start with two Jewish males and two Jewish females and that one male and one female intermarry. The children of the non-intermarried male will be halachically Jewish and all of the children of the females will be Jewish. If each has two children that menasthat 75% of their children will be Jewish. This is assuming a numeric equality between males and females. However, in the US there are .88 males for every female in the 15-64 age group. This means that a higher percentage of halachic Jews can be expected. While intermarriage rates among non-Orthodox Jews are above 50% this may well be outweighed by OTDs (approxiamately 17% of the Orthodox population).