The liklihood is that Trump will be able to replace not only Scalia but also Ginsburg and Kennedy and perhaps Breyer as well. This would mean that by 2024 (if Trump gets re-elected, and the Senate stays Republican) the court will tend to be 7-2 for conservatives and originalists. Since the court in recent years has moved away from deciding cases based on precedent, it will be open season for revisiting many of the socially controversial cases.
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