Reply To: Election Results 2018 — Republicans Do Better Than Expected

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Joseph
Participant

Virtually every pre-election analyst (Nate Silver, etc.) predicted the Democrats would retake the House with a net pickup of between 30 something to 70 seats. (They gained on the lower end.) They did on the lower end. For the Senate the non-partisan analysts were saying Republicans would likely keep the Senate with somewhere between losing one seat to gaining one seat. (They gained two.)

Again, this is a midterm. And the results were not out of line with how much the party in power typically (and that’s almost every midterm) loses. In fact, the fact that Republicans *gained* in the Senate is much better than almost any other midterm for the party in power.