Reply To: The Fix is in for 2022

Home Forums Decaffeinated Coffee The Fix is in for 2022 Reply To: The Fix is in for 2022

#2136558
Yserbius123
Participant

@philosopher If you don’t like what I’m saying, you can do the research and see for yourself. Let me give you one example and we can hopefully put this whole narischkeit to rest.

One of the three or four states that the Trump campaign was claiming it was statistically impossible for Biden to have won was Georgia. Let’s break it down. Towards the end of the day, 4.5 million votes were counted and Trump was winning by a slim margin of 2%. What that means is that if you dump all of those 4.5 million ballots in a pile and pick them at random, 51 out of every 100 will be for Trump. Then they counted the late votes, which included mail-in ballots, and on those Biden was winning by 40%. So if you take all of those and pick at random, only 30 out of every 100 will be for Trump. The GOP team claimed that the likelihood of this happening is extremely small so there must be fraud!

Now here’s the problem with that. Statistics only works like this when the populations are random. Meaning, that if you would take ALL of the ballots, mix them in a pile, count out 4.5 million, tally the results, then take the rest and tally those results, if there was a difference of 38% it would be shocking and clear evidence of something fishy. But that isn’t what happened! The votes are not random, they are split up by district and method. The vast majority of those last 250,000 votes were mail in ballots and Trump (and the GA GOP) spent a good part of 2020 telling their constitutes not to use mail in ballots. Furthermore, So it makes perfect sense that an overwhelming majority of the late votes are for Biden!