True. To be fair none of these things would be technically conspiracies which would require the belief that some people secretly conspired to have some version of something be believed.
So we are rather just discussing the historical facts and which case is more likely. It’s hard for many to assess this case objectively because they enter into this discussion with underlying beliefs about the world. If the (extremely malleable during youth) human brain is led to believe something at a young age, most of the time no amount of evidence will lead them to realize it’s in fact incorrect. There are other facts that influence the likelihood; For example if there is a large amount of people that he lives with that also share that belief, that’ll decrease the odds of his knowledge being updated. Or if he is someone who has a more rational/objective mind and one who is less adept at remaining at his spot on the social ladder these factors all can affect it.
I think it is quite clear that if one comes at this from a purely objective standpoint without the underlying factors and simply assesses the evidence on both sides (or on one side), he shall come to the answer.
This phenomena is quite visible with the thousands of silly ideas/beliefs that populate the planet. To everyone else their beliefs are quite clearly silly, but to anyone raised believing them they have a very small chance of breaking their minds free.
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