My goal here is not to win arguments. My goal is to raise awareness.
Actually AZ, in order to raise awareness you need to prove there is a problem. So far, you have not. All you’ve succeeded is alientating anyone trying to figure out if there IS a problem with the age gap.
Mox, according to the statistics I’ve been reading, by late teens, women and men are of equal number. So a 1:1 ratio is the way to start out for calculations.
I don’t know where I read the 6% OTD number, so I can’t substantiate it. But even if its only 3%, I would still say from my experience there are twice as many boys that go off than girls. I’m not sure what you are refering to about making people unmarriagable. Can you elaborate please?
Now, to more math.
According to the AviChai study, there are over 200,000 students in Jewish Day Schools of which 54,381 are in the Yeshiva schools.
3173 in 12th grade
3606 in 11th grade
3705 in 10th grade
3784 in 9th grade
3703 in 8th grade
3714 in 7th grade
3914 in 6th grade
3921 in 5th grade
4007 in 4th grade
4101 in 3rd grade
4119 in 2nd grade
4496 in 1st grade
Now, assuming those numbers are correct, if you set up the 12th graders with the 8th graders (23 to 19 year olds) thats a difference of 530 people. But, 11th to 7th is only 103 students and 10th to 6th is 209 students. This is assuming that everyone marries in the 4 year gap. Lets say we reduce the gap to 2 year – In the case of 12th grade to 10th vs 8th, you havent gained a thing. In moving from 11th to 9th vs 7th, you’ve done nothing again. from 10th to 8th vs 6th, you have helped because the 6th grade jumps two hundred students. 9th to 7th vs 5th helps etc.
So its not an automatic help and it doesnt really seem to alleviate the problem anything.
What I want to know of supporters of the age gap crisis – are you saying that the people getting married now are not their basherts?