PM Chaverim:
Point #2. According to your suggestion the new boys should have an increasingly difficult time in shidduchim since they are competing with so many second and third year boys for the new girls.
Do you see that happening??
Point #3 According to your suggestion the new girls should be sitting pretty with loads and loads of first second and third year guys interested in only them and not enough girl to go around.
Do you see that happening?
point #4 According to your suggestion we should have an increasing percentage of boys who do not get married that first year. (year one 80% year two 70% year 3 65% etc. etc.)
Do you see that happening?
It is certainly true that boys prefer new girls, and thus encouraging boys to date girls their own age is the way to go even according to your theory. However w/o acknowledging the fact that more girls enter the pool each year the facts on the ground just don’t add.