It is very simple. The medine has lost its will to fight Arabs, because deep down it knows the Arabs are right and the tzioini experiment, which is failing, is a colonial imposition of a foreign culture in E”Y. Therefore, it fights those Jews who are not accepting of its foreign culture.
It will be business as usual, muddle-through and malaise, until the next elections – and then more of the same until the world does the will of Hashem and removes the tzioini aberration from EY (as it already is doing with boycotts, sanctions and divestment). When the tzioini experiment comes to its end, countries will be issuing refugee visas to “Israelis.”
And we, bnei Torah outside EY, will be the ones stuck with the burden of helping these refugees, just as many of the dregs of EY already show up on shul doorsteps throughout the world with sob stories (that are more often than not scam stories).
I do not think the IDF will ever draft the Sheinkin Street lefties. Most are druggies who can’t pass a physical or psychometric exam, and they truly earn their ” profil 21″ psycho exemptions or “profil 24” unsuitable ratings. Then they go abroad, and throw themselves on the mercy of Chabad Houses throughout the world. (I am no longer officially Chabad for many reasons, and this is one of them – I feel helping these shticklach erev rav is misplaced chessed as they just take, take, take. You don’t want to hear my stories of how the dati leumi travelers behave either, believe me.)