The doctor is 100% correct. I am not a doctor but i do work with numbers all day and the numbers definitely agree with him. If you do some basic calculations of the mortality rate you will see young ppl should not be kept isolated.
Very simple calculation. As of a couple days ago when I did this, there were 3 deaths from age 0-9, 8 from 10-19, 71 from age 20-29, and 281 from age 30-39. Sounds like a lot.
However, the antibody testing showed that 14.9% of the population of NY State had Covid. If we take the population distribution of those groups and take 14.9% you get this – 0-9 had 345,647 cases; 10-19 had 384,082; 20-29 had 415,876; and 30-39 had 377,459.
So in total, for ppl under 40, there were 363 deaths in 1,523,064 cases. A mortality rate of .0002383
To give perspective on the number, the odds of being struck by lightning are .0003333. in other words you have about 50% higher chance of being struck by lightning as you do from dying of Covid. And this is assuming you got it for sure, if only 33.3% of population gets it then your chances are 1/3 of that.
We don’t make policy decisions that will impact millions of people based on things that are extremely unlikely. What we need to do is focus all our resources on the old and weakened immune system people. And nursing homes. That’s where the real issue is.
People see large numbers and don’t know how to process them. They don’t have perspective. I realize it is terrible that we are having 1-2 thousand deaths a day from this. I don’t mean to minimize it. But, do you know that last year an average of 7,800 ppl died every day in the US. The entire year. We are a very large country of 330 million ppl. Of course each life is precious and we try to do whatever we can to save it. But from a public policy perspective we don’t make 35,000,000 ppl lose their parnassah for these numbers.
This doesn’t even take into account the fact that there are alarming statistics regarding cancer patients not going and hospitals delaying important surgeries. Each year about 600k ppl die in US from cancer. If this causes a 20% jump in cancer deaths that would be 125,000 extra deaths. And 1 in 5 suicides is related to job loss. It’s very likely that the lockdown actually will cause more deaths in addition to the economic harm (which has its own long term effects).
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