Apparently, both infections and hospitalizations have swung to lower age groups. This seems to be due to a reduction in social distancing as the economy opens up. Since younger people have a much lower mortality from COVID, deaths will probably trend lower, at least for now. The big unknown is whether the death rate will rebound as the younger people spread the virus to their elders. I suspect that will depend on how much testing is done and whether those who test positive self-isolate. Given the resistance to past COVID mitigation recommendations, particularly in some of the places that are now hot spots, I’m pessimistic.
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