CH: as a statistician, you should be a lot smarter than your comment implies. The question wasn’t just one of raw numbers, but in which direction NYC is heading. I’d compare it to the COVID charts, with trends being a major indicator of what’s to come. And although it’s not a perfect analogy, when I look around, it seems crime is definitely infectious.
I know it’s not statistically significant, but within several blocks of my house in Brooklyn, there have been at least two shooting sprees recently, literally days apart. And several glass storefronts were broken into. Roll-down gates will make a comeback if this continues.
My only consolation is that we’ll get a conservative Mayor in a year or so, as the people will not take kindly to more of the same.
It’s also not exactly accurate to compare murder rates from now to 40-60 years ago as I believe the survival rate from shootings has increased since.