for those who are thinking where there is a balance between vaccine and COVID, here are numbers from European statisticians:
for 20-30 y.o – risk of serious complication from AZ is 1 in 100,000. Risk of being in ICU in next 4 months: from 1 in 100,000 to 7 in 100,000, depending on your level of exposure. So, in this case risk seems to be balanced for 20-30 y.o.
To adjust to US situation:
– Blood cloth risks of J&J seems to be several times lower than AZ. mRNA vaccines were not observed to have similar levels of risks (with a lot of real world testing).
– Risks from virus exposure are about same as in Europe
So, it seems that benefits of any vaccine are significantly higher for those over 30-40.
Those in 20s without much exposure (online college students, mothers at home, Torah scholars in small groups) might want to wait for 1-2 months while others, who need it more, are getting vaccines. I am not a medical doctor, this is not a professional advice.