Chaim, agree with your list, add to that
4) interpreting enemy exercises near the wall as political events, given that there were peaceful gestures at the moment
Whether there is Bibi’s fault is not very important. If he were a untested leader, this would be a determining event. Given that he is an experienced leader, the question might be – did he lose his abilities due to age, changed environment, too much politics, etc. If not, then he might still be the best person to fix things going forward. And as we know from the story of Rabban Gamliel, dismissing a distinguished leader is not that simple, even when he is not always right. I mean here people who appreciate his service, those who disagree with him are in their right to vote for someone else, of course.