Reply To: The open miracles of the Iranian bombardment and the war in Gaza

Here is a repost from “Understanding War”, a defense analysis site. You can google this paragraph to confirm it’s unaltered from the original source and it’s a real website not something made up:
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The strike consisted of approximately 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, and 120 ballistic missiles.[1] The drones were launched well before the ballistic missiles were fired, very likely in the expectation that they would arrive in Israel’s air defense window at about the same time as the cruise missiles and drones. The Russians have used such an approach against Ukraine repeatedly.[2] The purpose of such a package is to have the slower cruise missiles and drones distract and overwhelm air defenses in order to allow the ballistic missiles, which are much harder to shoot down, to reach their targets. The Iranians very likely expected that few if any of the cruise missiles and drones would hit their targets, but likely hoped that a significantly higher percentage of the ballistic missiles would do so.

Only a few ballistic missiles penetrated Israeli air defenses and struck near Israeli military bases out of the 120 or so the Iranians fired.[3] Ukrainian air defenses have averaged interception rates of only about 16% of Russian ballistic missiles during recent large strikes. The Iranians likely expected that Israeli rates would be higher than the Ukrainian rates but not above 90% against such a large ballistic missile salvo—the Russians, after all, have never fired close to that many large ballistic missiles in a single strike against Ukraine. Ukraine frequently intercepts more than 75% of Russian cruise missiles and drones, but many of those interceptions occur within the air defense umbrella that is also occupied with ballistic missile defense. The Iranians thus likely expected that at least some of their drones and cruise missiles would interfere with Israeli targeting of incoming ballistic missiles, whereas apparently none did.
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In short, a 100% interception rate is NOT bederech hateva in any way shape or form. Feel free to be a Brisker and hate the Zionists and everything they stand for. Just when Hashem performs obvious miracles, don’t deny them.
Obviously even teva is a miracle, just we are used to it. This one was out of the range of teva, and it behooves us to acknowledge it instead of denying it. This is not a proof to Zionism in any way shape or form, just like the miracles of 1948 and 1967 weren’t proofs to Zionism. They are miracles done for the frum people of Eretz Yisroel, not the apikorsim. But they are miracles nonetheless. Hodu Lashem ki tov!