The open miracles of the Iranian bombardment and the war in Gaza

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  • #2277100
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    Before Israel went into Gaza, America advised Israel of what to expect during the ground war, with a certain casualty rate. Israel experienced 10% of that casualty rate, 90% fewer.
    As well, yesterday’s heavy bombardment by Iran did much less damage than anticipated. One misfired drone hit Shiraz in Iran and caused more damage than was done in Israel. These are undoubtedly open miracles.

    Frum Zionists will point to these open miracles as proof that Hashem backs Israel and supports Zionism. They of course acknowledge Hashem’s hand in this and thank Hashem.

    If you are Brisk or regular chareidi, these miracles don’t mean support for the Zionist entity- they are miracles performed by Hashem for the sake of the frum yidden in Eretz Yisroel. You can acknowledge the miracles and thank Hashem for them without being a Zionist.

    If you are Satmar/ NK (much different behavior but same belief system) and go by the traditional meaning of “maaseh Satan” then these don’t bother you. They are miracles performed by Satan, no different than 1948 and 1967.No matter how strong or powerful the miracle, it can be ignored as nothing more than a powerful Satan.

    If, however, you use the revisionist “Maaseh Satan” definition here of “they are bederech hateva, not actual miracles”, then these recent open miracles are a strong kashye on your belief system. You are forced to praise Israel’s defense systems rather than acknowledge the open miracle, which aligns you with secular Israelis.

    #2277297
    mdd1
    Participant

    LT, there were no open miracles during the Iranian attack. There was nothing she’lo ke’derech ha’teva.

    #2277323
    HaKatan
    Participant

    LerntminTayrah:
    You might want to learn the Satmar Rav on the subject before putting words in his mouth that he never said (and never wrote).
    Satmar and Brisk both agree that these miracles are, of course, in merit of the Jews and despite that Zionist entity, not CH”V because of that Zionist entity.

    The Satmar Rav ZY”A went further in pointing out that although the Zionist victories in their wars were conventional military victories, which is simple fact, Hashem did give the Satan permission to fool many into believing the Zionist lies and propaganda about those victories being miracles. That is the maaseh Satan, not the actual – and very conventional – victories.

    #2277446
    Ishpurim
    Participant

    פרסומי ניסא has 2 meanings. Simply to publicize. Or more nuanced to publicize that there was a miracle.

    #2277458
    anonymous Jew
    Participant

    Hakatan,
    That Israel achieved total surprise in its attack on the Arab air forces in June 1967 was anything but conventional. Only an ideologue such as yourself would deny reality.

    #2277472
    ujm
    Participant

    The CIA predicted the Israeli victory in ’67 before the war started, almost to a tee how it played out.

    #2277465
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    This is what I found on a blog from 1967, indicating that When the Satmar Rebbe zt”l said Maaseh Satan he meant it as I have it here:
    _________________________________________________________________________________
    One of the major theological controversies in recent years has been the validity of the Satmar Rebbe’s claim that the Six Day War victory was ma’aseh Satan and whether miracles only happen to frum people. [There is of course Rav Moshe’s teshuva (Y.D. 4:8.2) regarding the miracle of Entebbe which clearly disagrees with the Satmar. ] But there is a little known or remembered event that happened shortly after the Six Day War which clearly defined the basis of dispute. This is the version I heard from Rabbi Gavriel Beer – a life long Aguda askan – who was there.

    As is well known by now, the mood leading up to the Six Days War was very gloomy. Many in Israeli and in the Diaspora were anticipating a war which would be very costly in life – both for the soldiers and civilian population. The more optimistic view was that Israel would take a harsh beating but would survive. There is no need to mention the pessimistic view.

    But when the guns were silent after the incredibly short war in June 1967, Israelis discovered that not only had they survived but they had soundly thrashed the massive armies of the surrounding Arab countries and in addition had acquired the West Bank – which included the Old City of Jerusalem and the location of the Temple. Everyone seemed to say it was an open miracle. There was one major dissenting voice – the Satmar Rebbe – who insisted that it was not only not a miracle but the victory was in fact the work of Satan. He emphatically stated that miracles don’t happen for the Zionist – especially to support the theological crime known as the State of Israel.

    Several months later at the annual Aguda Convention, this astounding event was the central topic of discussion Speaker after speaker spoke on the topic and the gedolim were clearly divided on whether to agree or disagree with the Satmar position. One of those who publicly agreed with the Satmar view was Rav Yaakov Kaminetsky.

    At the Melava Malka that weekend, the keynote speaker was Rav Itchie Meyer Levin – the Gerrer Rebbe’s son-in-law. He of course spoke about the topic. After some introductory comments he made the following observation. “Not so long ago the Jewish people suffered the horrible loss of 6 million Jews in the Holocaust. When we went to the gedolim for an explanation we were told that we must be silent and accept this because it was G-d’s will. Now we were just faced with another possible holocaust in the Land of Israel but the Jews were saved this time. We hear gedolim who say that these millions who were saved were saved by Satan. How is that when it comes to the death of Jews it is G-d’s work but when it comes to rescuing them from death it is Satan? It can’t be.”

    In response, Rav Yaakov Kaminetsky quickly wrote a note which he sent to be read from the podium. It said, “I want to publicly retract my previous statement supporting the view of the Satmar Rebbe and say that now I agree fully with what Rabbi Levin just stated.”

    Rabbi Beer noted that this was Rav Yaakov’s greatness. His only concern was truth and he wasn’t afraid to publically admit that he had erred.
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    #2277502
    smerel
    Participant

    >>>The Satmar Rav ZY”A went further in pointing out that although the Zionist victories in their wars were conventional military victories, which is simple fact, Hashem did give the Satan permission to fool many into believing the Zionist lies and propaganda about those victories being miracle

    This is about as contradictory of a belief as you can get. If the victories were really such conventional military victories then they would be regarded as such even outside of both Satmar and the militantly atheistic anti religious groups who claim they were. How did the Satan have the ability to fool anyone because of them?

    #2277504
    ujm
    Participant

    Don’t forget that it was the Zionists who *lost* Jewish access to the Kosel in 1948. Until 1948 Yidden were able to go to the Kosel.

    #2277509
    AviraDeArah
    Participant

    Itchie Meir levin was not a “rav.” He was an askan. A good askan, but also not above criticism, and had made errors regarding his presentation of Agudah’s daas Torah on the world stage.

    Reb Yaakov never said such a thing. It’s laughable that a gadol would change because of a simple observation, not that that was ever the discussion to begin with.

    What he DID say, speaking as a talmid of his yeshiva, is the exact opposite – when the satmar rov’s sefer on the 6 day war was published, they met (which occured often, as they lived near each other at the time).

    The satmar rov had written that even if his sefer changes the mind of one yid, it’ll be worth it. Reb Yaakov told him, “I’m the one yid.”

    Blogs are full of nonsense. If you want to know what gedolei yisroel held/said, talk to their talmidim!

    #2277514
    smerel
    Participant

    >>>The CIA predicted the Israeli victory in ’67 before the war started, almost to a tee how it played out.

    This is baloney. I tried very hard to find this on the CIA website like I was told I would. It wasn’t there. Nor anywhere else either. The only source I could find for such a claim other than a certain anti-Zionist propagandist who told me I would find it on the CIA website was a clearly fake website pretending to be the CIA. I did however find an interview with one of the CIA men who was involved in assessing the situation at the time . He said the unanimous assessment of everyone in the CIA at the time was a six week war if Israel attacks, and an eight week war if the Arabs attack. With somewhere between 10,000 to 30,000 Israelis killed r’l

    #2277546
    amiricanyeshivish
    Participant

    @Avira
    Did Reb Yaakov Zatztal say to which way he changed his mind? I have heard that what he meant was the opposite. Can,t confirm this but I remember hearing such a shmuah

    #2277555
    smerel
    Participant

    >>>Itchie Meir levin was not a “rav.” He was an askan…..Reb Yaakov never said such a thing. It’s laughable that a gadol would change because of a simple observation, not that that was ever the discussion to begin with.

    Rav Yaakov wasn’t bigger than Shmaya and Avtalyon and what does the Mishna in Edoyus say about them changing their mind because of what they herd from two lowly (on the social ladder)people?

    But I’ll let you explain it. Why indeed when Yidden re killed is it attributed to Hashem and when they are saved is it attributed to the Sotton?

    In general Rav Yaakov was no follower of the Satmar Shito on Zionism. To put it mildly.

    #2277559
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    I wasn’t at the Agudah meeting in question, can’t answer for what happened. But dismissing something because you don’t like what is says is a take.
    These words of the Satmar Rebbe zt”l confirm the traditional understanding of maaseh satan:
    והנשארים מבני ישראל שהשאיר הקב”ה בעבור שבועתו שלא יכלה זרעו, נענשו גם כן בעונש קשה ומר, במה שצליח מעשה שטן להשיג מלכות המינות לנסות את ישראל בניסיון עצום כזה … וזה ברור כי אותו הרעיון המתועב הוא המעכב גאולתינו ופדות נפשינו.

    The Brisker Rav zt”l said chas veshalom to say such a thing, but said th miracles were for the sake of the pure people learning not for the apikorsim who made up much of the zionists.

    Itche Meir Levin might be an askan, but he summed up how many felt. Rav Moshe Feinstein zt”l wrote in the darash moshe that 1967 was a miracle. The Brisker Rav zt”l said 1948 was a miracle. Unlike the Satmar Rebbe zt”l, he lived in Eretz Yisroel and would know that better than people living in chutz la’aretz who only know what’s going on based on what they are told by gabboim.

    As for the modern open miracles, a death rate 90% less than what was expected is not teva. Neither is a large missile attack doing no damage. One missile backfired and landed in Shiraz, and did a huge amount of damage. We also saw in Ukraine how much damage the drones do. I feel bad that Hashem is showing us open miracles but you are unable to see them.

    #2277570
    Ishpurim
    Participant

    In Mesivta TV the Rav Hamashgiach shlita spoke about the raid on Entebbe where YN was killed. RMW held that Entebbe was עין טבע.

    Anyone remember that?

    #2277575
    ujm
    Participant

    Reb Yaakov held very highly of the views of the Satmar Rebbe.

    #2277590
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    Rav Shmuel Kamentsky Shlita is the one that allowed voting for WZO, he clearly doesn’t believe his father zt”l held it was maaseh satan.

    #2277591
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    As well, a 2009 article on Cross Currents has Rav Yaakov zt”l saying a bracha after the 6 day war. It also describes how everyone thought Israel was a goner, not like some here have claimed.
    Swiped from elsewhere:
    _______________________________________________________
    The following comes from HaGaon HaRav Yaakov Kamenetsky’s sefer Emet L’Yaakov.

    The Ramban writes that the Chashmonaim – who were kohanim – violated the Biblical rule of “lo yasur shevet mi’Yehudah” by serving as rulers over the Jewish people. Rav Kamenetsky asks an obvious question: How were the Chashmonaim ever enthroned as kings? Didn’t Chazal publicly object?

    Rav Kamenetsky suggests that Chazal actually approved of their appointment as kings. Klal Yisrael was so assimilated and their spirits were so low that Chazal felt it necessary to lift their morale by granting them a temporary malchut of Jewish kings. And since this malchut was only designed to be a temporary measure, they specifically did not want descendants of Shevet Yehudah (so as to signify its temporary nature).

    Many aspects of the Jewish kingdom at the time were “temporary” or non-ideal in nature. For example, the basic language used was Aramaic, a galut language, and the Aron HaKodesh was not in the Kodesh Kodashim. So non-ideal was the Jews’ situation in Judea that the berachah in the Amidah for the return to Jerusalem was enacted in this era – even though Jews resided in Jerusalem at the time.

    By enthroning kohanim as kings over Israel, Chazal wished to emphasize that their era – after the miracle of Chanukah – was not the Ge’ula Shleima as was thought by many at the time.

    Rav Kamenetsky argued that the emergence of the state of Israel resembles the enthronement of the Chashmonaim as kings. As a result of the Holocaust, the Jewish people were depressed and saddened. They needed something to uplift their spirits as well as make them feel that Hashem had not forsaken them. Medinat Yisrael was a gesture to transform and uplift Jewish morale.

    It is not the Ge’ula Shleima. It is not the z’man of Moshiach. But it is similar to the enthronement of the Chasmonaim to build Jewish pride and morale.
    _____________________
    Not exactly a Zionist, but not Maaseh Satan.

    It is a strange alliance of secular Zionists and Satmar followers denying the obvious Yad Hashem and claiming it is due to the might of Israel that this miraculous death toll in Gaza and during the Iranian attack happened.

    #2277647
    AviraDeArah
    Participant

    Smerel, if we’re talking about eidus(which is what the two women from the shaar ha’aspah gave) then you’d be correct. You’d also be correct if levin said a shitel torah, or quotes a chazal.

    Big people listen to anyone.

    That’s not the case here. Levin allegedly said a very simple observation, and rav Yaakov, it is claimed, changed his mind from it. That doesn’t happen with gedolei Torah.

    Lernt – proving a blog entry with some article in a lukewarm zionist /charedi lite/ MO forum doesn’t help anything. I was close with talmidim of rav yaakov, including rav belsky; it’s all sheker.

    Where is this piece in emes leyaakov?

    #2277648
    AviraDeArah
    Participant

    I also cannot speak for Rav Shmuel and the wzo, but those who allowed it did not say that zionism is any less bad than it used to be. They said that it was a token statement affirming zionism.

    Most gedolei yisroel were extremely against that psak, as we have a mesorah from all the gedolim to not join the wzo; in fact, this was a major element of Agudah’s shitos.

    #2277676

    That article about R Kamenetsky does not have an exact citation and the article author is niftar, but here is maybe a related reference :
    . Yaakov Kamenetsky (Emet le-Yaakov, Shemot 12:2) who explains several curious aspects of Second Temple religious life based on the notion that the Sages recognized that the purpose of Bayit Shenit was to strengthen themselves for the coming exile.

    #2277685
    mdd1
    Participant

    LT, Israel has a very sofisticated air-defence system. Ukraine does not. Read the news. Taking down all those projectiles by Israel all the allies is not she’lo ke’derech ha’teva, is not an open miracle.
    About the the casualty rate, I do not know enough about the issue, but the Arabs are not good soldiers. So…

    #2277697
    HaKatan
    Participant

    smerel and other Zionist apologists:
    No, it’s not at all contradictory. The facts are that the Zionists won their wars in a conventional military sense, not as a miracle. There were, of course, miracles on an individual level (as there are all over the world every second) during those wars, but, again, the plain historical facts are that those wars were conventional victories. And, yes, that’s on the CIA’s web site, that

    The Maaseh satan part of it is, as the Satmar Rav writes in Al HaGeulah, that the Zionists claimed that it was a miracle and fooled people into becoming Zionists as a result. That was the maaseh satan. Also, on a related note, the Brisker Rav famously stated that “the State they have managed to achieve is the greatest victory of the Satan since the sin of the golden calf”. And Brisk is very exacting in the words they use.

    Again, regardless of what you have or have not found, the Zionists won a standard military victory in 1967. Their war in 1948 was much less of a cakewalk, though the Zionists had purchased close to 100 Million Dollars (in 1940s money) to fund their army for that war. So that victory was no miracle either, as West Point’s books on the subject will also tell you, if you care to see military facts rather than Zionist propaganda.

    Finally regarding what some gedolim might have held in 1948 and 1967, when the only “facts” available were Zionist lies, you can’t blame them for getting it wrong then. And the WZO fiasco was based on a totally fake heter, as Rav Aharon Feldman pointed out in writing at the time and later publicly denounced at the following Agudah convention; there was no “teshuva” ever written to discuss how it could overturn a wall-to-wall mesorah for a century unlike the millions of teshuvos that Rav Moshe and others wrote on matters far less severe. This is sick and sad.

    #2277702
    yankel berel
    Participant

    My experience with hakatan taught me that any fact or shita quoted by him is suspect.
    It has to be checked in its original source with critical thinking applied.
    One cannot take it on face value.

    #2277701
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    The difference between secular Zionists and Satmar is that the secular Zionists say כחי ועוצם ידי and Satmar says כחם ועוצם ידיהם.

    #2277707

    Mdd, Ukraine has lots of great systems by now, just not enough of them for the territory it has. Maybe if Ukrainians abandon their villages and bunch all together in an area size of Israel, they’ll be able to protect themselves. But as it is, at least Israel (and partners) downing all these projectiles over the heads of Arab countries is the most economical way to get rid of them. If Parsiim would not send them towards ISrael, they’ll sell them to Russkies and get something even more dangerous in exchange. So, gam zu l’tova, however horrifying it is.

    #2277772
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    I got this in a forward. Didn’t confirm if the author is real, but as this was the first time ballistic missile interceptions were performed, an act viewed as “hitting a bullet with a bullet”, the statistics he cites are real. Yes, what happened Shabbos was not a conventional military victory but a miracle. If you don’t understand, feel free to research ballistic missile interceptions so you can understand he miracle:
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Words written by a Physics Professor who worked in Israel’s Defense Industry

    I wanted to share something that is much more than a feeling. Something that comes from a real calculation: What happened in Israel on last Motzaei Shabbat was not less than the scale of the splitting of the Red Sea.

    I am a Professor of physics and I worked for several years in the defense industry in Israel, in projects that are still the cutting edge technologies of the defence of the State of Israel. When I look at what happened on Motzai Shabbat, on a scientific level – it simply cannot happen!! Statistically.

    The likelihood that everything, but really Everything works out, does not exist in complex systems like the defense systems that were used to defend Israel from the massive Iranian attack.

    These systems have never, but never, not only in the State of Israel, been tried in real time!!

    I took a pencil and dived into the calculations to check the statistic probability that such a result would materialize. The large number of events that had to be handled, when each missile or UAV is handled independently (that is, human error or some deviation of one operation, is not offset by other successful operations), compounds the chance of making a mistake.

    With all the high technologies, a breach was expected in the defense of the skies of the State of Israel.

    Even if we got 90% protection it would have been a miracle!!

    What happened is that everyone, but everyone – the pilots, the systems operators and the technology operators acted as one man, at one moment in total unity. If this is not an act of G-d, then I no longer know what a miracle is.

    It is Greater than the victory of the Six Day War or the War of Independence. Those wars can also be explained through natural events.
    BUT
    The rescue that took place for the people of Israel on Motzai Shabbat is simply impossible naturally. I believe that this miracle saved the lives of many people from Israel.

    If the defense system had failed to intercept a number of cruise missiles, the result would have dragged us into a very complex war. I wouldn’t bet that next time it will work like this without Divine supervision. The simple proof of what I said is that the managers of the defense industries, who develop and manufacture these systems guarantee no more than 90% success!And we all saw, with our own eyes 99.9% !!!

    Thank You Hashem!!

    “From the day you came out of the land of Egypt I Have Showed you Wonders”,

    M. Abitbol
    _______________________________________________________________________________________

    Please stop hijacking this thread with the usual “Empty Wagon” sound bites. The Brisker Rav zt”l, while hating the Zionists, did NOT avert his eyes from obvious miracles. He just said it wasn’t for the zionists. This is my central point: that there were obvious open miracles. Real Satmars can see them, just it’s maaseh Satan. (As well, real Satmars balance their anti-zionism with chessed and caring for other yidden. They also don’t hang out on ywn because Yiddish is their first language. ) The only ones who can’t see the miracles are the “Empty Wagon” fanboys, and I feel bad for you. You are missing out on a connection to Hashem that the Briskers have, even as they hate Zionists with the same passion as you.

    #2277776
    DaMoshe
    Participant

    During the Six Day War, when it was announced that the IDF had captured the Har Habayis, R’ Yaakov Kaminetsky went into the Beis Medrash of Torah v’Daas, made a Shehechiyanu, and recited Hallel Hagadol.

    #2277777
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    Here is a repost from “Understanding War”, a defense analysis site. You can google this paragraph to confirm it’s unaltered from the original source and it’s a real website not something made up:
    _________________________________________________________________________
    The strike consisted of approximately 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, and 120 ballistic missiles.[1] The drones were launched well before the ballistic missiles were fired, very likely in the expectation that they would arrive in Israel’s air defense window at about the same time as the cruise missiles and drones. The Russians have used such an approach against Ukraine repeatedly.[2] The purpose of such a package is to have the slower cruise missiles and drones distract and overwhelm air defenses in order to allow the ballistic missiles, which are much harder to shoot down, to reach their targets. The Iranians very likely expected that few if any of the cruise missiles and drones would hit their targets, but likely hoped that a significantly higher percentage of the ballistic missiles would do so.

    Only a few ballistic missiles penetrated Israeli air defenses and struck near Israeli military bases out of the 120 or so the Iranians fired.[3] Ukrainian air defenses have averaged interception rates of only about 16% of Russian ballistic missiles during recent large strikes. The Iranians likely expected that Israeli rates would be higher than the Ukrainian rates but not above 90% against such a large ballistic missile salvo—the Russians, after all, have never fired close to that many large ballistic missiles in a single strike against Ukraine. Ukraine frequently intercepts more than 75% of Russian cruise missiles and drones, but many of those interceptions occur within the air defense umbrella that is also occupied with ballistic missile defense. The Iranians thus likely expected that at least some of their drones and cruise missiles would interfere with Israeli targeting of incoming ballistic missiles, whereas apparently none did.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    In short, a 100% interception rate is NOT bederech hateva in any way shape or form. Feel free to be a Brisker and hate the Zionists and everything they stand for. Just when Hashem performs obvious miracles, don’t deny them.
    Obviously even teva is a miracle, just we are used to it. This one was out of the range of teva, and it behooves us to acknowledge it instead of denying it. This is not a proof to Zionism in any way shape or form, just like the miracles of 1948 and 1967 weren’t proofs to Zionism. They are miracles done for the frum people of Eretz Yisroel, not the apikorsim. But they are miracles nonetheless. Hodu Lashem ki tov!

    #2277795
    smerel
    Participant

    Many years ago I read an article in an atheistic science magazine analyzing how was it possible that the 39 scud missiles shot by Iraq at Israel during the gulf war caused so little damage. It was a real scientific analysis contrasting general times scud missiles were shot at similar distances to places with similar population density and similar defense systems and the intrinsic power of a scud missile to cause damage. As a science magazine they acknowledged that the results should have been very different based on the factors involved . As an atheistic magazine they attributed it in part to random good luck. Even though such publication don’t usually believe in random good luck. That article belongs in The Empty Wagon but ch”v to consider it Torah Haskafa

    #2277825
    mdd1
    Participant

    LT, is that professor a Mizrachi kanoi? At most, it was a neis nistar. An open miracle is something totally she’lo ke’derech ha’teva! get it through your head! And, again, I do not know how unusual it really was. There are people I do not trust about such a situation. Again, Ukraine’s air-defences are NOT on the same level like the Israeli ones.

    #2277797
    smerel
    Participant

    >>>the Brisker Rav famously stated that “the State they have managed to achieve is the greatest victory of the Satan since the sin of the golden calf”.

    The Brisker Rav never said such garbage. I learned in Brisk for three years. I heard endless anti-Zionist sentiment but I never heard any Brisker claim the Brisker Rav ever said such a thing.

    I did hear that sentiment from other anti-Zionist zealots and that sentiment is basically creating a new religion out of their hatred for Zionism. Yeruvem Ben Novat making ACTUAL idolatrous cows and forcing people to worship them, Menashe burning every Sefer Torah in all of Eretz Yisroel, the churban of the first and second beis hamakdash etc. etc. etc. etc. etc. nu nu that still isn’t as bad as the state of Israel . Because the issue for those who say such things is their hatred for Zionism. Not Torah. It’s not about Torah anymore. It’s only an independent hatred for Zionism that can cause someone to believe such a thing

    #2277830
    mdd1
    Participant

    LT, is the Iron Dome performance also a miracle? An open one?

    #2277907
    HaKatan
    Participant

    LerntminTayrah:
    Whatever nissim did or didn’t happen in the Iranian barrage against Israel still do not change the facts:
    nissim happen only in the zechus of frum Jews who need those nissim
    Zionist wars were conventional military victories

    Smerel:
    Yes, he did. Rabbi MP Lorincz quoted that from him, as I recall. That’s the same Rabbi Lorincz who misreported to the Brisker Rav what the Satmar Rav didn’t say. If you believe him as gospel truth to attach the Satmar Rav who never said the Satan won the Zionist wars then you can also believe him that the Brisker Rav made this statement, too.

    #2277898
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    Iron Dome is NOT Arrow. Iron Dome is for slower missiles. Ballistic missiles are an entirely different ball of wax. They move much faster and are much harder to accurately detect, let alone hit. Many thought the system would never work as it’s trying to hit a bullet with a bullet. Shabbos was the first test, and it was a test. A 90% success rate is MUCH easier statistically than a 95% success rate, and that is much easier statistically than a 99% success rate, and that is much easier statistically than a 100% success rate. It’s the same way that getting a 90% on a test is much easier than getting a 99%.
    Nu, iveir bechoichesh yehalech. I did mine. Hodu LaShem ki tov.

    #2277920
    ujm
    Participant

    Did any of the tziyonim here yet acknowledge that they were peddling a bubble maaisa about Rav Yaakov saying at the Agudah convention that he changed his mind from supporting the Satmar Rebbe’s view to opposing it in response to what the “askan” Itchie Meyer Levin said?

    #2277943
    smerel
    Participant

    >>>Rabbi MP Lorincz quoted that from him, as I recall. That’s the same Rabbi Lorincz who misreported to the Brisker Rav

    Oh, of course. When Rabbi Lorincz is being quoted to you about what the Briker Rav told him it must be true.(I read what he wrote about his encounters with the Brisker Rav in his autobiography and don’t recall any such quote) When he himself is talking to the Brisker Rav himself he misrepresented the truth…

    #2277952
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    mdd1, Iron Dome is a kiddie toy. It goes against slow-moving rockets. It is very successful but is a neis nistar like most technology.

    Ballistic missiles are entirely different. Many experts thought that shooting down ballistic missiles in real time was an exercise in futility. To knock down every ballistic missile in a target-rich environment and an overwhelming attack is not derech hateva. But don’t believe me. Do your own research on ballistic missile interceptions and feel free to show me which experts thought it’s easy. Trite sayings don’t compare to facts, and the facts say this is a huge miracle not “teva”.

    #2277953
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    HaKatan, nothing you said changes the facts: There were open nissim here. We need to recognize them and be makir tov. Scoring points against Zionism is irrelevant here. Hashem did a great miracle on Shabbos by making the interception rate much higher than it should have been. That’s the bottom line. Hodu LaShem Ki Tov.

    #2277957
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    I also felt it’s prudent to point out that the rebuttal of the Gaza death toll being 10 times less than the Fallujah death was ” Arabs can’t fight so of course the tziyoinistim were going to have it easy”. This falls apart when you realize that Fallujah is settled by those very same Arabs. Yet the death toll was ten times higher. The only difference between Fallujah and Gaza is Yidden, in which case you are forced to acknowledge it as a miracle.

    “I know nothing about ballistic missiles” is also not a refutation of the miracle that took place.

    Nu, some were meant to not be zoiche to see miracles, it is what Hashem decreed. This has nothing to do with Zionism. It has to do with miracles.

    #2277988
    DaMoshe
    Participant

    Joe, there’s been no proof that the story isn’t real. I heard the same story years ago, although I forgot from whom.

    #2278013

    For those who do not want Zionist military to be the source of the nissim, note that US also used several amti-missile weapons that were never deployed before and were also successful. So, you can attribute the nissim to general zechus of EY. You can ask the USS Carney personnel where exactly the missile was aiming to figure out whether it is zechus of a particular yeshiva, whether charedi or hesder.

    #2278026
    mdd1
    Participant

    LT, so far you are the only person that I hear this from. Are you an aerospace engineer? Nobody else is saying this. Okay, by some people everything is a neis nigle.
    And what happened with the nissin on October 7?

    #2278027
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    I would like to share this quote from an Axios story about the Iranian missile attack:
    “We think it will be very hard to replicate the huge success we had on Saturday with defeating the attack if Iran launches hundreds of missiles and drones again — and the Israelis know it,” another U.S. official said.

    In other words, it is NOT teva to be that successful. 90% coverage is orders of magnitude harder than 75% coverage, 99% coverage is orders of magnitude harder than 90% coverage. The unnamed US official is saying “lav bechol yoma israchish nisa”.

    The attack was incredibly large. It was designed with slower uav’s up front to exhaust the defenses, followed by cruise and ballistic missiles after that to get through the gaps . It was a well-thought-out strategy that should have worked. It is nissim that it didn’t.

    A paper called “A New Methodology for Assessing Multilayer Missile Defense Options”, published by Rand Corporation, is easily accessible via Google. It talks about how difficult it is to achieve even a 90% coverage rate for missile attacks.

    In short, a huge miracle that we would be fools to ignore. Such is the zechus of Torah.

    #2278045
    ujm
    Participant

    DaMoshe: I asked two people who were at that Agudah convention. Both said it is a complete bubbe maaisa. One of them actually started laughing when told this “story”.

    #2278046
    HaKatan
    Participant

    smerel:
    The fact is that, as per his book, what Rabbi Lorincz claimed to the Brisker Rav in the Satmar Rav’s name is against what the Satmar Rav writes explicitly in his sefarim and something the Satmar Rav never said.

    LMT:
    So, in other words, your mischaracterization of maaseh Satan and the Satmar Rav’s use of that is of no consequence since – who cares – there were big nissim done. Well, the Satmar Rav might care. As should you, if Torah Jews looked askance at the Satmar Rav as a result of your mischaracterization of him.

    #2278054
    yankel berel
    Participant

    My experience with hakatan taught me that any fact or shita quoted by him is suspect.
    It has to be checked in its original source with critical thinking applied.

    #2278055
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    Mdd1, did you bother to check? LMT suggested to Google the first paragraph. I did, and found this article. I already passed it on, to bring more thanks to Hashem when people realize what a Ness just took place.

    You can, of course, go on worshipping the sun.

    #2278069
    yankel berel
    Participant

    Raabbi Lorincz keeps his hazaka of kasruth .
    Notwithstanding katans unfounded allegations.

    #2278103
    LerntminTayrah
    Participant

    we’re not doing a repeat of this from your other thread. You said it once now done. You have points to make, go ahead, but we aren’t destroying individual posters.

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