MM- I do not think that the educational problem that I brought up is the primary reason, but it is one of the reasons.
Nor do I agree with A600KiloBear that the primary reason was the disengagement from Aza. This change preceded the disengagement. As far as the disengagement embittering RZ people: while a great many disagreed with it, the vast majority accepted it. The threatened “revolt” of RZ officers and soldiers never materialized. Yes, several “hilltop youth” resolved not to serve, but let’s just say that they are not exactly considered “grade-A material” by the IDF in the first place.
Somehow I doubt that the “older, established” folks who supported settlement in Aza and are disappointed by the disengagement turn to Chareidi philosophy as a remedy. Chardali? Perhaps–but the operative part of that includes “dati leumi” which means service in the IDF etc.
What makes a person Chareidi? The clothing? Who cares about the style of dress? (Spoken like a true RZ, I know.)
The primary reason for the shift are the birthrates; the numbers there are difficult to ignore.
A600KiloBear is correct when he posts that “MO young people do not go into chinuch in the US”–at least, currently. Yet, things change, and I know several young people who are doing exactly that. Perhaps things will change there, perhaps not.
As far as Hareidim succeeding financially–I certainly hope so. Unlike others, I do not say that any hashkafa other than my own is “not Torah Jewry”. Nor do I wish upon them poverty, lack of financial success, or anything else. That does not mean that I see supporting the institutions condemning my hashkafa as my responsibility, nor do I think that such teachers should be employed in my children’s schools.
And as far as the comparison between Teaneck and Yerushalayim–I think not. We still see large numbers of RZ youth in IDF induction centers, asking to go into all-volunteer infantry units. The RZ schools are full, and Universities are full of RZ students in every field–some of them including a half day of kollel along with their University studies. (By the way, these programs are stock-full).