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147: Enjoy it while it lasts. If a significant number of hareidim resist (as opposed to “evade” or “dodge”) military service, and the Palestinians realize they have an opportunity – you’ll have a one-state solution in the near future. The only way to avoid a confrontation is if the government gives up the idea of rounding up yeshiva students, and settles for cutting off funding (which will have no impact on non-zionists who don’t accept zionist money).
Health: Lapid’s views on security are very similar to Likud – keep some settlements, ditch the rest. Also, Lapid like the Hareidim is largely a one-issue party that can be “bought” — give Lapid what he wants (a Hareidi draft with few loopholes) and he’ll compromise on other issues. Lapid might also agree to recognize “religious objections” (he’s big on respect for international legal principles”) to military service especially if coupled with restricting government funding to veterans.