rabbiofberlin -“health- the gemoro is in chulin 7B :”ein odom nokef etsbu-oi milmatoh elo im kein machrizim olov milmaloh” . Rashi mentions that the word means “to hit”. But it does not deal with punishment at all. It means that everything -even a small matter of hitting one’s finger’- is directed from the heavens. You see that from the pesukim from where the gemoro learns it. From tehillim (37): ” MeHashem mitsadei gever konnenu” And, if you look at anyone who discusses this, it is clear that we are talking about events ,not punishments.”
I’m sorry that you keep changing the Poshut Pshat to be right. The Gemorrah isn’t talking about any event, but only ones where you have pain. When you get pain in doing something it’s to remind you to do Teshuva and it’s also a Kappara. This is the way e/o learns the Gemorrah, even Artscroll.
And of course the Medina was a great thing and also the Shmadding of the Sefardim and stealing their babies – these were all Brochos from Hashem via the Medina.