HaToirah Chosa al MeMoinam Shel Yisroel

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  • #2017240
    @tothepoint
    Participant

    As a poshute Yid looking to help others, I would like to post to the Oilam, to please watch over your money. We’ve been through economic meltdowns where people have lost fortunes, Moisdois have had difficulty surviving etc. Right now many are in places and positions of plenty. Please save your money, act with prudence, put away money for your families. It pains me to see the fortunes squandered, as the wheel of fortune and misfortune rotate.
    We all know there will be another economic downturn, though none of us know when. It may be vicious. Real Estate, bonds, stocks are all at historically highly over valued prices, according to many experts.
    Please for everyones sake. Take heed before it’s too late.
    Thank You

    #2018191
    Yabia Omer
    Participant

    If you pronounced every cholam as “oy”, why not Chosa as choisa?

    #2018216
    Shimon Nodel
    Participant

    Because there’s no cholam in chasa. It’s two kematzim. It’s a rashi in chumash. I think it’s a gemara too. The quote is in past tense. I think it’s from parshas metzora when the cohen tells the baal habayis to remove his belongings before he is declares the house tamei

    #2018227
    ujm
    Participant

    @tothepoint — Thank you for this essential advice. Can you please, specifically, advise me how to save my money, exactly what prudence I should engage in as well as what I should do with my overpriced real estate and stocks/bonds.

    Yasher Koach!!

    #2018263
    @tothepoint
    Participant

    Hi ujm

    I am not an economic advisor, please seek out advice from someone you trust.
    My intention was not to offer specific economic advice, but to remind us all of our feelings in 2008, when all of us said to ourselves we would never risk so much capital again, we would be conservative and prudent. As the time goes on, and everyone drinks the cool aid, we forget. How much pain and suffering can be avoided, if we internalize this.
    Such a waste of good Yiddishe gelt … such a pity … Chevra think about it !

    #2018289

    > but to remind us all of our feelings in 2008,

    there is indeed a theory that crashes come at about every 20 years – when there is a new generation of financial advisors who do not believe that a crash can really happen again. Difference between personal experience and intellectual knowledge. We have a lot of Torah on that – that Noah believed and did not believe that flood is coming …

    #2018292
    @tothepoint
    Participant

    I feel passionate about this.

    We need to scream it from the rooftops, “Yidden save your money, the good times won’t last forever, do it for yourself ,your families and your communities”.

    #2018291
    @tothepoint
    Participant

    Indeed.

    See Mr shiller’s recent article [author of the Shiller index] where he did a study of people today who believe if the Dow falls 3% in one day that translates into a buying opportunity, the results of the study were staggering. People have been trained by recent occurrences to buy buy buy.
    We know this will eventually come to an end.
    Human nature ie. greed tells us to keep going and make more and more.
    But we pay for it in spades … the families, the communities, the moisdois, the Chesed Organizations, they will all suffer.
    Look around, BH there are many who are prospering and G-D bless them, may they make more. But please lets not let it go to waste.

    #2018295
    Shimon Nodel
    Participant

    Nu, just bet against the market as a hedge. Buy some put options to bet against the sp500 and calls on the vxx. Problem solved.

    #2018582
    @tothepoint
    Participant

    Shimon :

    I am not opposed to your idea of hedging, what’s important is that it shouldn’t remain as an idea, but actually get done.
    Also, keep in mind not everyone is long the market, some are heavily invested in real estate, nursing homes, and other investments, there may not be one fix for everyone.
    The important thing is the message gets out and people internalize it.

    #2018610
    Shalom-al-Israel
    Participant

    Rosh Hashono 27a

    re Shofarot.

    #2018611
    Shalom-al-Israel
    Participant

    Re spelling in title: either:

    Mamonam, (he)

    or Momonom, (yek.)

    or momoinom, (Yesh.)

    Or Mumoimom. (ch ).

    #2018646

    an example of successful market strategy:
    When Rav Huna was told that he is wrong not paying workers who already stole from him and paid them: either vinegar (literal “stock”) became wine, or price (NYSE stock) of vinegar went up. Maybe there is an economic pshat here: when people behave positively towards each other, there is less mistrust in the market, and the stocks go up. Similarly, Yaakov “created markets” and also urged shepherds to work the full day honestly without mistrust to each other.

    Another way to invest is in your own skills: have a profession/skills that is not tied to dealing with speculative things, like stock markets, but to something that can be useful in any market: plumbing, medicine, teaching and then you’ll survive the downturn.

    #2019185
    Abba_S
    Participant

    I am not sure I understand the OP. Is he saying that people shouldn’t waste money on vacations in the middle of a pandemic. Who says if he saves this money in a bank or other investment vehicle it will be there when he needs it. Inflation and other market factors can reduce it’s value.
    The money is his to spend it as he sees fit. He can spend it on himself, invest it for the future or give it away to charity.

    #2019234
    philosopher
    Participant

    What if you save dollars which goes on to lose all value? What if dollars don’t lose their value but the banks crash like during the Great Depression? I’m thinking about investing in gold.

    It’s crazy times. I don’t feel comfortable investing anywhere. I think the US is heading down the same road Venezuela is on. I don’t think the market will just crash once and then recover, I think it’s the end of comfortable times in the US.

    #2019469

    despite all our complaints, the rest of the world generally moves money into US during troubled times. But diversify, of course. Yaakov kept two camps when meeting Esav. We mention on Purim that this was the time of high risk because all Jews lived in the same empire.

    #2019557
    Shimon Nodel
    Participant

    I don’t think gold is good thing to safeguard your money. Demand for gold will decrease in case of a financial meltdown. Guns and ammo, now that’s something valuable

    #2020024
    Abba_S
    Participant

    I am not sure what is meant by invest in guns and ammunitions. If you mean invest in the companies I think many of them will go bankrupt. If you are saying buying actual guns there are restrictions as to weather you can even own guns in many of the communities where Jews live. Even those communities that allow it there are restrictions as to how many guns you buy. This is besides the hazard of a child or someone else misusing them.

    #2020059
    ujm
    Participant

    Invest in art.

    #2020075
    philosopher
    Participant

    Is there a stable country that has frum infastructure, shuls, moisdos, etc. to invest in real estate at this time? I don’t consider Israel to be stable due to the government which is run almost like a dictatorship. The US is out of course. I don’t think it will last much longer.

    #2020097
    ujm
    Participant

    Philosopher: Australia might be a good choice.

    #2020118
    philosopher
    Participant

    Ujm, is that a joke? The Australian government is worse than the Israeli government.

    #2020170
    ujm
    Participant

    Philosopher: The UK is very accommodating lately, with few restrictions on personal freedoms. Perhaps that’s up your alley?

    #2020180
    Shimon Nodel
    Participant

    I meant to buy guns and ammunition. They will be in high demand and the value will rise significantly. Keep it in storage. I’m not aware of any limits. Yiu can buy them in New York state, just not in the 5 boroughs. Also in Connecticut. You can’t bring them back obviously, so you would need to pay for storage.

    #2020182

    Invest in Russia: there is a Jewish community, people don’t care about COVID, there’s a lot of real estate. To diversify, invest in Ukraine, Poland, Lithuania, all Russia’s enemies, have lots of tzadikkim buried, so one of them will work out

    Ultimate diversification: Yerishalaim and Rome. One of them is always up according to financial advisors from gemora megillah

    #2020189
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    Judging by the Shul signs, התורה חסה translates as: your property is up for grabs.

    #2020229
    ujm
    Participant

    HaLeVi: Please thank you brother, on my behalf, for bringing you back here.

    #2020247
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    Sure. And you thank him for those wonderful titles.

    #2020295
    Abba_S
    Participant

    In New York Statw if you posses 5 or more guns and are unlicesensed you can be charged with intent to sell which is a felony. Guns and ammunition is highly regulated and each sale must be reported to the ATF. If your intention is to be a licensed gun dealer then everything is fine but if your plan is to sell them from the back of your trunk that is illegal. As far as selling it to a gun dealer, he wil probably pay you a fraction of what you paid for it. So where is the profit.

    #2020358
    Naftush-2
    Participant

    You’re big-league wrong about gold. It is famous among investors as the commodity that they rush to when instability and recession threaten. The expression the use is “flight to safety.”

    #2020359
    Naftush-2
    Participant

    I think he’s interpreting the expression “mamonam shel Yisrael” as meaning that individual Jews’ wealth actually belongs to the Jewish collective, Yisrael, and that Jew who puts it to personal use transgresses this principle. There’s something to be said for that but within limits.

    #2020360
    Naftush-2
    Participant

    Retract that. Ammo contains explosives. Storing it requires special protections by law and by common sense. Venishmartem.

    #2020381
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    Invest in potatoes. No matter what the economy this will not run out of style. And I’m speaking of model 0001.00.

    #2020399
    ujm
    Participant

    Potatoes haven’t been around for that long, relatively speaking. They’re an American discovery. Wait till the next best thing comes out and displaces it.

    #2020428
    Abba_S
    Participant

    Potatoes like all fruits and vegetables will rot over time so unless you are in the business of buying and selling them, they are a poor investment.

    #2020516
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    @Abba_S, good point. In war time, those who’ve invested in sugar made it big. But I was referring to the potato market rather than a particular potato.

    #2020517
    HaLeiVi
    Participant

    Also, I Hayley to think that silver is more stable than gold. The fact that gold is going up shows that it isn’t stable. Now, putting money into something stable is not an investment per sè (or is it sé), but it is good for inflation protection.

    All this is only an issue for the מרבה נכסים guys. My biggest investment was a laptop.

    #2021240
    philosopher
    Participant

    Haleivy, you have a point. Potatoes and I think corn as well seems like good commodities to invest in.

    #2021241
    philosopher
    Participant

    Gold has actually been pretty stable, the value has not changed much over a year and the value it gained in previous years were pretty much in tune with inflation.

    #2021568
    Reb Eliezer
    Participant

    Yaakov Avinu went back to collect the pachim ketanim, small pitchers. For tzadikim their money is zahav tahor, pure money through no ganeiva. By the negah the house is emptied before declared tamei.

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