jeb bush

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  • #612527
    zappy
    Member

    do you think jeb bush will run for president?

    #1010957
    TheGoq
    Participant

    If he runs I don’t think he will win the last name is too much of a liability that is not fair but it is still true, nothing will energize the democrat base like a presidential candidate named Bush, not that they need to be more energized what with getting votes from non citizens and such.

    #1010958
    charliehall
    Participant

    He was a decent governor of Florida with a moderate conservative record. He like the rest of his family rejected the nativist hate that is infecting too much of the Republican party today. And his protege and successor as Florida Governor, Charlie Crist, was run out of the Republican Party and is now running for Governor of Florida as a Democrat.

    I don’t see how the extremists who have taken over the Republican Party will allow him to get nominated.

    #1010959
    nfgo3
    Member

    Re comment by charliehall, final sentence: I think you are underestimating the power of the moderate/business-friendly/country-club/establishment wing of the Republican party.

    Jeb Bush would be a strong candidate in the general election, and the Republican party establishment would rather win than be ideologically pure (which, incidentally, is not a bad thing in a democracy). But 2016 is a long way off, and speculation about who will be the candidates, and who will win, is fun but meaningless.

    #1010960
    akuperma
    Participant

    His conservatism with its support for ethnic minorities will help politically, and the nativists (who by definition are Protestants) will still prefer him to the danger of eight more years of far left control over the White House (and a guarantee of the Supreme Court moving radically to the left). Especially if by 2016, Obama’s foreign policy is a proven failure (which depends on what happens in places such as Iraq, Afhanistan, and Ukraine, as well as the Middle East), being a “Bush” won’t be so bad. Romney always was into “big government” and was famous for having constantly changed positions – not so Bush. One should look at 2014 to observe if many of the “far right” Republicans are pushing extreme non-electable candidates, or are supporting candidates with mainstream backgrounds who are likely to be elected. Bush can also listen to the “radicals” and cherry pick ideas without losing his main street base.

    Of course, if in 2016, foreign affairs is going strong (Afghanistan and Iraq have democratic government opposed to Al Queda, what’s left of Ukraine is joining the EU and NATO, the Middle East hasn’t exploded), the economy is no worse than it is now, and most people decide they are no worse off with Obamacare, the Democrats should have little trouble winning no matter what the Republicans do.

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