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Is the new administration heavy on PR?
There is an announced goal of administering 100 mln people in 100 days (first dose, I believe).
Note on 1/15, US already administered 1.1 mln doses and trajectory is increasing with average 0.2 mln more doses every day for last 10 days.
Is this a purposely low goal to then beat expectations, combined with denigrating previous efforts? I am genuinely puzzled and looking for good answers.“Is this a purposely low goal to then beat expectations…”
What world do you live in? If they are successful in getting 100 million Americans vaccinated by the end of April, that will be a neis m’shamayim. The rollout at the state level has been a disaster and will not be so quickly “fixed”. Watching the heart-wrenching photos of elderly lined up for hours, including some in wheelchairs, after spending for a “confirmed” time slot makes you wonder how they will get even close to that target.“The rollout at the state level has been a disaster”
States have been getting mixed signals from the Trump Administration, which can’t or won’t reliably tell states what to expect. This ends Wednesday. 🙂
Total baloney
AAQ is right. If we are already giving a million doses per day, 100 million doses in 100 days isn’t a very ambitious goal.
Exercising my usual 20/20 hindsight, probably would have made more sense for the drug companies to be allowed to deliver directly to the major retail drug chains. They were able to inject over 125 million flu shots during Q4 2020 during a pandemic so clearly the are set up for a high volume operation and already have their own online registration platforms in place. While the new vaccines pose greater storage challenges, would still have been better than the current approach of delivery only to state health departments.
Always_Ask_Questions,
If they would have come out and said that Trump did x but we want to be more aggressive and try to do x+x (without giving numbers) would you be happy ?
American’s realize that over 400,000 Americans died from Covid by Jan 20, 2021 and that unless we become more aggressive in our efforts to prevent the spread and to give the vaccine the numbers will continue to skyrocket.That is the totality of what the Biden administration is trying to do.
Trump supporters are right when they realize that 400,000 dead American’s due to covid is not something that they can be proud of.
AAQ, it’s not just a question of math. Production bottleneck and lack of coordinated distribution has resulted in some areas having unused vaccines and others using up supply and having to cancel appointments. There’s currently an excess of vaccines overall (36m distributed, 16.5m administered per NYT), but getting to 100m in 100 days is not a given without fixing the system and/or approving additional vaccines.
It’s not a given, because perhaps there could be regression, but it’s not a very ambitious goal to merely maintain the same rate.
If appointments are being cancelled, then the system as it exists is regressing. Cities that could continue the pace that led to 0 to 1m/day are not being given enough doses to maintain that pace. Essentially the 1m/day pace was possible because for the first few weeks, many vaccines were delivered but not administered, so there was supply to go through (which also means averaging probably gives you a better picture of the overall state). Once those doses are administered, the vaccination rate will fall. According to some reports, Pfizer and moderna together are manufacturing 4.5 million doses a week at close to max capacity, which doesn’t get you to 100 million in 100 days even if they can maintain production.
they’re doing under 5 million per week?? then how In the world were they able to make hundreds of millions within half a year??
4.5 million per week was one number I came across. If I remember correctly it was based on the the number of weekly vaccines allocated to states. Since other countries are getting vaccines as well, the actual amount manufactured is probably higher.
AAQ, I don’t know who said they were given no plans. I did see a clip of fauci saying the Biden administration is not starting from scratch. Your original question was why is 100m doses in 100 days ambitious, which is entirely different.
Maybe a good analogy is if you have a weekly magazine subscription that piles up for a few weeks. If you sit down and look through 4 back issues one week, it doesn’t mean you can continue reading 4 issues of that magazine per week going forward because you’re still only getting 1 new issue every week. To maintain that pace, you’d have to either get the magazine to publish more frequently, or subscribe to additional magazines. It’s more complicated than just maintaining the current plan.
That said, I’m sure some aspect of this is to set expectations that you can beat. But it does appear to be more complex than just continuing the plan rolled out by the previous administration.
AAQ, if you mean that full capacity now translates into increased rates when the vaccines in production now are done, that could very well be. I am only pointing out that your cynicism about Biden taking over a successful program and pretending that it was broken was unwarranted. You presented it as straight math (1m a day for 3 days translates to 100m over 100 days), but it isn’t as explained earlier.
“Do they not teach time series and linear correlations in yeshivot any more?!”
They can start with basic civics lessons.
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