The following are the results of a poll conducted a day after Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni announced she would not cave into extortion by the Mina Tzemach Dahaf Institute, commissioned by the daily Yediot Achronot. Undoubtedly, her statements influenced the poll Dahaf officials add.
Who would you vote for is elections were held today?
Kadima 29 seats
Likud 26
Labor 11
Shas 11
Arab parties 10
Yisrael Beitenu 9
NRP 7
UTJ 7
Meretz 6
Green Party 2
Pensioners Party 2
The poll was conducted among 500 respondents representing a cross section o the voting adult population. Margin of error +/- 4.5%.
(Yechiel Spira – YWN Israel)
YOU ARE MISREADING THE RESULTS. WHAT MATTER IS HOW POTENTIAL COALITIONS ARE DOING, NOT PARTIES OR PERSONALITIES.
1. All Israeli polls tend to be biased towards the left (people see the pollster as being from the mass media, and give the poll taker the answer they fell he is looking for).
2. Parties with only 2 seats don’t meet the threshold.
3. If you add up the total, the above numbers would result in a Likud-led government UNLESS some “right wing” parties (frum ones or Lieberman) supporting Kadima. However a shift of over 10 seats to the left will make it very likely for Likud to form a government.
Polls, especially in EY are meaningless; unless you consider the corrupt pollsters who make a living off it.