Syag, I’m not taking hashgachah out of the picture entirely. What you seem to be arguing is not about Hashem protecting the Jews, it’s that Hashem protects Jews in Eretz Israel more so than b’chutz. Why would it be unfair to ask why that only applies to the medina’s boarders and not the halachic boarders?
If you’re angle is that you wake up on this day, December 5th 2017, and think that from here on out, Israel will be safer than the US because that makes all the sense in the world going by the Torah (which I don’t deny), then OK; I envy that amount of emunah. But, sadly, every day from 1948 until today has not gone your way. What we’re clearly arguing is that, in galus, you’re no more protected in Eretz Yisroel than anywhere else. Simple logic favors our side, the Torah might favor your side (I wouldn’t mind sources, but I’m taking your word for it for now). It seems we’re at an impasse.
“When people compare apples and oranges, pretending they are also talking about smoothies is just being joseph.”
I know that’s supposed to be an insult, but I’ll take it. I’ve admired Joseph for years as the YWN CR legend.
P.S. Sorry if I come off too strongly in my previous post. I do respect your opinion on this, I really do; it’s just too much of a stretch for me to accept.