A new set of polls conducted by The New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer has found that Donald Trump is leading President Biden in five crucial battleground states. The surveys, which polled registered voters in Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, found that Trump was ahead in all five states except Wisconsin, where Biden held a narrow lead.
The polls suggest that a desire for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black, and Hispanic voters are threatening to unravel Biden’s Democratic coalition. While Biden won all six states in 2020, victories in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin would likely be enough for him to win re-election.
The polls also found that a majority of voters (70%) believe that the country’s political and economic systems need major changes or to be torn down entirely. Only 13% of Biden’s supporters believe that he would bring major changes in his second term, while many of those who dislike Trump grudgingly acknowledge that he would shake up the status quo.
The polls suggest that Trump’s strength among young and nonwhite voters has temporarily upended the electoral map, with Trump surging to a significant lead in the relatively diverse Sun Belt states. However, Biden remains within striking distance, maintaining most of his support among older and white voters.
The economy and the cost of living remain the most important issues for one-quarter of voters, and a significant drag on Biden’s prospects. More than half of voters still believe that the economy is “poor,” despite cooling inflation and significant stock market gains.
The polls also found that abortion looms as one of Trump’s biggest vulnerabilities, with 64% of voters in battleground states saying that abortion should be always or mostly legal. However, Biden’s support among disaffected and disillusioned voters who desire fundamental changes to American society is a bigger challenge for him.
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5 Responses
Crooked Joe would spell the end of 🇺🇸
President Donald Trump שליט”א becoming 47th President of 🇺🇸 is the best thing that could happen for ALL Americans
This means nothing. There’s still 6 months til election day.
Simple reason why Biden is going to have a hard time with reelection. What demographic that voted against him in 2020 can he tap into for support in 2024?
Conversely, for Trump the answer to that question is easy. He can go after people who voted for Biden believing what was Biden’s major selling point in 2020 : That he was someone who will bring moderation and civility back into American politics, someone who will lean across the aisle and work with all Americans for a better future blah, blah, blah . At this point nobody thinks of Biden as being such a person anymore . Among most swing voters Biden and Trump are both viewed as people of low character. So to win the swing voters he needs to prove his policies had better results than Trump’s. How is he going to do that?
Trump ahead, Baruch Hashem! May Hashem guide him to victory in November!
Will Biden even be running? Will Biden and the Democrats have a “Sister Soulija Moment” and dump their WOKE/Hamas faction, or will they end up with a WOKE platform the supports genocide of Jews? Will Trump define “America First” to mean the USA will not risk war to support Taiwan, Europe and Israel, or will “America First” be defined to mean America leads the free world against the “axis” of Russia, China and Iran? And who will be the Republican nominee for Vice-President?
Until the conventions, there are too many variables to make meaningful projections. Come back after Labor Day!