FLASHBACK TO 2015: Then-Senator Marco Rubio Warns President Obama Against Signing A Disastrous Deal With Iran

Secretary of State Marco Rubio listens during a roundtable discussion on college sports in the East Room of the White House, Friday, March 6, 2026, in Washington. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

In September 2015, a first-term senator from Florida rose on the Senate floor to oppose the nuclear deal President Barack Obama was about to sign with Iran. Marco Rubio said he wanted his words preserved.

“I do want to be recorded for history’s purposes,” he said, “for I know what is going to happen with regards to this, if it goes through.”

Eleven years later, Rubio is secretary of state. And the administration he serves just signed its own understanding with Iran.

The 2015 speech was a list of predictions. Rubio said Iran would pour sanctions relief into its military. He said it would build “anti-access capabilities, rockets capable of destroying our aircraft carriers and ships,” and the fast boats that “swarm our naval assets.” He said Iran would work with terror groups to “target American service men and women.” He said it would keep building “long-range missiles, missiles capable of reaching the United States.” And he said that at some point, “when the time is right, they will build a nuclear weapon,” once a strike became too costly to attempt.

“It exists in the world today,” he said. “It’s called North Korea.” He warned the country would be left to live with “a lunatic in possession of nuclear weapons.”

He described Iran’s supreme leader as “a radical Shia cleric with an apocalyptic vision of the future,” a man who wanted to trigger a final conflict between the Muslim and non-Muslim worlds.

“Iran may have a Supreme Leader, but America does not,” he said. “Soon we will have new leaders.” He prayed that on their first day in office they would “reverse this deal and reimpose the sanctions and back them up with a credible threat of military force, or history will condemn us for not doing what needed to be done.”

History gave Rubio nearly everything he asked for.

A new president took office. Trump pulled out of the Obama-era nuclear agreement, which he viewed as “disastrous” and “one-sided.” Sanctions came back. And the credible threat of military force became actual force. The Iran war began at the end of February 2026, with the United States and Israel fighting Iran on multiple fronts. Fourteen Americans died, by the count of Rep. Seth Moulton. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. blockaded its ports.

Now the war is ending the way Rubio once prayed it would begin: with a deal.

Trump and Vice President JD Vance both signed a memorandum of understanding with Iran, which would cease fighting on all fronts for 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. and regional partners will develop a reconstruction plan for Iran worth at least $300 billion. Iran affirms that it “shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons,” and the two sides agreed to “resolve the disposition of stockpiled enriched material” at a later stage. Trump said the memorandum did not include immediate sanctions relief, but that the issue would be discussed later. He warned the U.S. could resume bombing Iran “if they don’t behave,” telling reporters, “If it doesn’t get done in 60 days, that’s all right. We go back to bombing.”

The Iran across the table is not the Iran of his 2015 speech. The supreme leader he called an apocalyptic cleric is gone. But Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is an apocalyptic cleric too.

In 2015, Rubio said those who opposed the Obama deal “understood where it would lead.” He asked to be recorded, “for history’s purposes, if nothing else.”

History has arrived. It handed him the president he prayed for, the sanctions he wanted, and the military force he said was missing. It also handed him a seat at a new table with Iran, a $300 billion reconstruction plan, and a nuclear question left, once again, for later.

What must Marco Rubio be thinking today?

(YWN World Headquarters – NYC)

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