The folks at the Farmers� Almanac can be forgiven for feeling smug: The 198-year-old publication correctly predicted the past nasty winter while federal forecasters blew it.
Memories of the polar vortex and relentless snowstorms won�t soon be forgotten. And the editors of the publication are predicting more of the same for the coming season.
�Shivery and shovelry are back. We�re calling for some frigid conditions, bitter conditions,� said managing editor Sandi Duncan.
The latest edition, which officially goes on sale this week, forecasts colder-than-normal and wetter-than-usual weather for three-quarters of the country east of the Rocky Mountains. Drought-stricken California, along with the Pacific Northwest, will see normal precipitation and cool temperatures this winter, the almanac said.
The publication, not to be confused with the New Hampshire-based Old Farmer�s Almanac, uses a secret formula based on sunspots, planetary positions and lunar cycles for its long-range weather forecasts.
Modern science doesn�t put much stock in the formula.
But even modern meteorologists can stumble on long-term forecasts. The national Climate Prediction Center forecast a strong likelihood of above-normal temperatures from last November through January.
�Not one of our better forecasts,� Mike Halpert, the Climate Prediction Center�s acting director, said at the time. There�s still no good explanation as to why the polar vortex moved so deep into the U.S., he said.
Of the Farmers� Almanac, he said, �Good for them if they got it right last year, and I�ll leave it at that.�
The almanac�s editor, Peter Geiger, can also gloat over his Super Bowl forecast. The almanac forecast a snowstorm Feb. 1-3 in New Jersey. It was 49 degrees at the start of the Super Bowl on Feb. 2, but a snowstorm created havoc the following morning.
The almanac wasn�t spot on everywhere: The Pacific Northwest was wetter than expected, and California and the Southwest were drier than projected.
The almanac also contains gardening tips, trivia, jokes and natural remedies, like catnip as a pain reliever or elderberry syrup as an immune booster, in this year�s edition.
But it�s the weather prognostications that tend to grab headlines.
The editors encourage readers to be prepared � and to make the best of it. �When it snows you have two choices: Shovel or make snow angels,� Duncan quipped.
(AP)
2 Responses
There are two kinds of man: the ones who make history and the ones who endure it.
– Camilo Jose Cela
A prediction from Farmers’ Almanac isn’t all that interesting, except when the NOAA (the “weather bureau”) comes up with the same.
With 100 % certainty one can predict that one of three things will happen: it will be unusually cold, it will be unusually warm, it will be neither unusually cold nor unusually warm.
I guarantee with 100% reliability that one of those will be correct.