IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir said in a recent security assessment that the region is entering a period of high uncertainty, estimating that a potential U.S. military strike on Iran could take place “within two weeks to two months.”

According to an Army Radio report, the current assessment is that no strike is expected in the coming days, at least for now. The report also notes that the US is not fully sharing its intentions with Israel and appears to be excluding Israel from its decision-making process.

Senior defense sources warn that the coming weeks are expected to remain tense. Beginning today, Iran marks the Ten Days of Fajr—the period between February 1 and 11 commemorating the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. Tensions are expected to persist into mid-February, when Iran will observe 40 days since the deaths of thousands of protesters killed during demonstrations in early January.

According to Israeli intelligence assessments, divisions are emerging within Iran’s leadership. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei opposes any concessions in talks with Washington and continues to adhere to a hardline stance, while other senior figures are urging a more pragmatic approach in negotiations.

Israel’s main concern is that President Trump could reach an agreement with Iran focused solely on its nuclear program, without including restrictions on ballistic missiles.

“Trump will be able to claim he reached a better deal than Obama,” one source said, “but it would still be a bad deal for us and for the entire region—because the Iranians will continue to manufacture missiles in massive quantities and continue operating their proxy forces.”

For now, contrary to some reports, Iran has not yet surpassed the number of ballistic missiles it possessed prior to the Israel-Iran war in June 2025, but it is approaching that level.

(YWN Israel Desk—Jerusalem)