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This is what’s confusing and inherently untrue about statistics. And it’s unfortunate that our business and our country are run off such flawed statistics.
The odds of an individual being born on a given day is 1/365. Period. The fact that the parents also have the same birthdates has no effect whatsoever on this statistic.
If I were to wager on which date a child will be born I would look at it as a 1/365 chance irrespective of what his parents birthdates are. Also, the chances of being born on a particular hour is 1/24, irrespective of the hour his parents were born.
The chances of an individual winning a lottery ticket does NOT diminish just because they have previously won the lotto. Their chances are exactly the same!
So, I need to be convinced here of the legitimacy of these statistics.
Droid: Placards are placed in order to (try to) prevent ticketing when double-parking during a boost, etc.
Reflecting jackets are to be used when working on the road (changing tires, boosts, etc.) during dusk to dawn, for safety.
As a Chaveirim member for many years, I can attest to you that unlike most of the other organizations, the Chaveirim members conduct their holy work in a low-key and low-profile manner. There are no flashing lights, no radios, no photo-ops, and no kovad to speak of. They come quietly, professionally and unobtrusively.
“Seafood”. Basically, when my wife doesn’t cook dinner, and we rummage around the pantry and “what we see is what we eat”.
Rapahel. The russian word is pronounced “paskudnya”
My wife is looking for a pesach chocoloate/mocha squares cake recipe which appeared in the Mishpacha magazine 2 or 3 weeks ago. Any help would be appreciated. thank you.
Thank you bpt
TGI Furniture on 62nd street between 15th and 16th avenues in B.P. Major sale now.
Some analagy to leasing.
Is it better to lease a vehicle or to buy a vehicle? On a lease, you’re in essence paying “rent” for the car, as you would for a home. It’s money lost. As opposed to a purchase, where you’re investing in the car, which you can then keep or sell after it’s paid off.
Of course, a car decreases in value, whereis a home will increase in value (in most cases), but there is sufficient similarity to warrant some comparison.
Thoughts?
Mazel Tov! Mazel Tov! We’re talking Nachas Nachas here!!
Be warned that you’ll be seeing double from now on!
I actually have twins myself (boy and girl). A little difficult at first, but then, oh so rewarding! I recommend it to all!
If I may please add my two cents.
Private schooling tuition in the non-Jewish world by far exceeds the tuition fees asked by heimishe schools. In fact, the costs allocated to a public-school attendee is considerably higher than our tuition costs (I think they allocate $18k per child). Our schools give us a considerable break in tuition as compared to their true expenses per child; even more so in Chassidic-oriented schools.
They schools have historically supplemented their shortage by going out there and asking for individual donations, parties, Melave Malka’s, etc.
Now, with the economy being in shambles, those private donations are reducing, in some cases significantly.
Towards the top of the page (right beneath the Home button) you will see the words “Welcome, Ben Simpleton”. Click on your name and it will list your activity. At the bottom of the page it will list the Topics Started. If you don’t see it there, then the mods either didn’t get to it or they chose not to display your topic.
Good luck
I have very limited knowledge of medicine so please take my words with a grain of salt (perhaps several grains).
In the event you are prescribed antibiotics, it would be appropriate that you take acidophilus during this period. Acidophilus is a friendly bacteria which will aid in the prevention of your intestines from being harmed by the caustic properties of oral antibiotics.
Sammygol/Feivel/starwolf. I would appreciate your opinions on this matter.
Thank you.
– Leider
working –
Did you get to Bushkill Falls? If yes, how was it?
Share your experience!
Anon. Don’t know because I never use those mixes.
Make sure to use unsweetened applesauce. Perhaps you can also reduce the amount of sugar the recipe calls for to compensate for the oil/applesauce switch. (and you get a win-win situation. Less sugar and no oil).
That’s why it’s always good to try them first on the simple, cheap, and easy-to-make cakes, so you get the hang of it.
Cherry. You may be right. I should try it just to test it). I was always concerned that it may still be cooked K’maachal Ben Drosoa.
Joseph. The practical difference (at least for me) is that if I would need to cook up an elaborate story each and every time, I will eventually tire. I just know that a time will come when I won’t have the mental energy to deal with it.
If all I need to do is disregard it, by saying to myself that I am not in a position to judge the person simply because I don’t know the circumstances and the whole story, this will allow me to keep up this middah throughout the rest of my life (hopefully).
Haifagirl and Berlin:
With regards to totally raw cholent. This is far from a simple solution nowadays. The reason is becase the food most be totally raw at the time that Shabbos commences. The question arises when Shabbos really commences – at the Shkia or at the Tsais?
Although we each may take the position of respective Rishonim when it comes to davening, etc., nevertheless, even those who take the position that nightfall begins at the Tsais (Rabbeinu Tam), such as us Chassidim, we still begin Shabbos at the Shkia. The food therefore has to be of the sort which takes more than 72 minutes to begin to cook K’Maachal Ben Drosoa, so that the food will still remain totally raw when the Tsais arrives.
I am persoanlly not aware of such a food item. Generally after an hour all foods are cooked at least nominally.
anon. I couldn’t agree more. I doubt it is our function to try to fabricate some far-fetched story for every event. We just need to tell ourselves that there may be a valid reason for the seemingly wrong behaviour and we are not to judge the person unavorably.
Substitute the oil with a like amount of unsweetened applesauce. Yes, applesauce!
Now, I would highly recommend that you first try it with a simple recipe (pick any one of the easy-to-make simple cakes) so that you get the hang of it. You may find that you wish to change the oil/applesauce ratio.
600Kilobear:
Keep it up! Humor and benign cynicism is what’ll keep us going! It’s what kept the Jewish nation going throughout the ages.
Go for it buddy!
I believe it is illegal to pick up a hitchhicker in NYC. It is most definitely illegal upstate, as I was ticketed this summer for picking up a yungerman!
Needless to say, it is also potentially dangerous for both the driver and the hitchhicker.
I do not permit my children to hitchhike.
He’s working on his laining.
Wolf is probably the Baal Korah, which is why he finds himself “constantly talking during laining… and unable to stop”
Yes, Bushkill is very close to the Delaware River. From Brooklyn you would take the I-80 until you hit Pennsylvania. Bushkill Falls is a short ride from the river.
– working
Why don’t you try Bushkill Falls. It’s a beautiful place to spend the day and see Hashems stunning handiwork. You can spend one day at the falls and another day biking or boating on the Delaware river. Great family fun!
You can stay in one of the many rustic and quaint lodges in the area. I think you will find them rather inexpensive.
I’ll gladly assist you further if you wish.
Thank you ICOT.
More than one lie
One of my twin uncles
A virtual glass
The act of organizing [Organism is paramount to proper budgeting]
Squeak. No offense taken. Mod 26 is right. I have a headache…
In that case, I give up. No time or head for it.
Mine’s got beans and stuff
squeak? You speaking to me? I do pay full tuition (4 kids in school) and I do not have any government programs.
I agree with your attitude, by the way.
Squeak. I’m not looking for proof. Just a quick overview of the significance of the number 42 (besides, of course, it being the precise number of people who leave their alarm clocks on at 645 on Shabbos, and also very likely the total amount of people who shut their phones on Shabbos).
The Wolf. Our posts crossed. Indeed I see that the number according to squeak is 42.
Please explain how and why that number is the answer to everything?
Kapusta. We’re just having fun with words, is all.
Squeak. Perhaps you can answer this one?
You what? You know how many of us turn off our phones on Shabbos? Shikur here is looking for a number. 14 or 154 or 673 would’ve been a valid answer (assuming you took such poll).
Sorry, but your response is not nearkly as eloquent and poignant as Joseph’s.
I own a summer home (nothing big – nothing fancy – just nice and cozy). I plan on going upstate for Chol Hamoed. My kids will enjoy romping around with the others more than the synthetic fun provided by rides and the likes.
-Leider
Joseph answers well; as usual.
Your question should have been posed as follows: “Do you turn off your phone on Shabbos and Yom Tov?”. By posing your question in the manner you did, it seems that you are looking for some form of existing survey or census.
In any event. I usually turn it off. If I get a wrong number it’ll remind-buzz me throughout the whole Shabbos.
-Leider
Started 8:00 both days (different shuls)
Day 1: Ended 4:15 (1/2 hour break) Rabbi spoke
Day 2: Ended 3:45 (1/2 hour break) Rabbi spoke
ronrsr.
Thank you. You put me to shame.
OK Mepal. I’m running out of words and my brains’ a hurtin’, but here comes…
To become crass [The teacher was perplexed by his defined behavior]
To drown in an organized manner [The lemmings synchronized]
To check if it rains [The seaman did a raincheck prior to embarking]
A master bowler
Inherently unintelligible
Did do
C’mon people. Where are you?
ICOT: I call upon you to share the electronic podium with me.
A quiet harp
More fun; funner [My party was blaster and funner than yours]
To let out
Time for a divorce
[Mod: Please remove if you find this offensive]
A get-thin program
A little bit of dust
Let’s keep ’em coming!
Here are some more. Compliments will be accepted with dignity and grace.
Was mad [He mode because of the spilled milk]
Transported by car [She card her kids to school]
To yell for help
Did sneeze [Little Bobby eschewed in my soup]
Constantly raining
Thanks NY Mom. I try.
A small chair
Wall Street gurus
When it was still broken
To hate your dining-room furniture
To end the day on a kind note, I shall wish everyone:
Have A Great Evening
a.k.a.
Divide A Shred Aligning