Zohran Mamdani is proving nearly impossible to shake.
A new Siena Research/New York Times survey finds that the socialist assemblyman would still beat former Gov. Andrew Cuomo in November�s general election, even if the crowded four-way field somehow collapsed into a one-on-one showdown. Mamdani leads Cuomo 48% to 44% in a hypothetical head-to-head, the poll shows.
That scenario depends on two major �ifs�: Mayor Eric Adams and GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa exiting the race. Absent that, Mamdani dominates a fractured field. In a four-way contest, the Queens progressive pulls 46% of likely voters. Cuomo lags far behind at 24%, while Sliwa and Adams trail at 15% and 9% respectively.
�The big question is what happens if Adams and Sliwa are out,� said Siena poll director Don Levy. �Cuomo would capture most of their support and consolidate older voters. But right now, Mamdani is in control of this race.�
Cuomo, running as an independent after losing June�s Democratic primary, has yet to find traction. Adams, also pursuing an independent line, is rumored to be eyeing a federal role � with Trump officials reportedly exploring ways to ease him off the ballot. Sliwa, meanwhile, insists he�s not going anywhere, swatting down chatter about a potential Trump administration appointment.
Mamdani, who has built his campaign on affordability, rent freezes and taxing the wealthy, hasn�t cracked 50% in any survey. But the issues are breaking his way. Nearly half of voters say he�s best positioned to address affordability. A plurality � 43% � trust him most on Gaza, despite his sharp criticism of Israel. And nearly 70% back his plan to freeze rents on New York�s million rent-stabilized apartments, while more than 70% favor higher taxes on the city�s richest households.
�Mamdani holds a huge lead among younger voters, while voters 45 and older are split between him and Cuomo,� Levy said. �Unless the field changes dramatically, Mamdani is positioned to ride that coalition straight to Gracie Mansion.�
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4 Responses
mandani�s ideas, leaving the anti-israel and antisemitic stuff aside, are completely cuckoo. promising lots of free stuff, should be a red flag – most new yorkers are street-smart enough to know that there ain�t no free lunch. especially when they realize that they�ll be included in those �rich people� that mamdani intends to tax. and that�s before holding him to account for his racist ideas like raising taxes on neighbourhoods that are �too white and too rich�. just show him up for what he is, in his own words.
Another Mamdani advertisement without any reality.
it�s time to roll out the �anybody but mamdani� coalition, and unleash the attack ads.
YIMACH SHIMO. HKBH. Please let us read about his obituary tomorrow.