In response to threats by Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman to topple the coalition, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu told Israel Radio �that while I do not wish to hold elections today, if that will be the reality I am not afraid of the outcome�.
It appears the prime minister read the latest Yisrael HaYom poll which questions the outcome if elections were held today.
In the race for prime minister, the incumbent would earn 29.1% of the vote against Kadima�s Shaul Mofaz with 4.6%.
The poll commissioned by the newspaper was carried out by New Wave Research involving 500 adult residents representing a cross section of the population. Margin of error is +/- 4.5%.
The following is a list of how many seats in the 120-seat Knesset would be earned by the different parties. The second number is the current Knesset status of the party.
Likud (31/27), Labor (17/8), Yisrael Beitenu (14/15), Kadima (13/28), Yair Lapid (12/-), Shas (9/11), Yahadut HaTorah (5/5), Meretz (4/3), Hadash (4/4), HaBayit HaYehudi (3/3), Ra�am-Ta�al (3/4), Balad (3/3) and Ichud HaLeumi (2/4).
The poll does not list the Atzma�ut Party, the breakaway from Labor that is headed by Defense Minister Ehud Barak which has five seats in the current Knesset.
The outcome concurs with the political analysts who say Shas� Eli Yishai is particularly opposed to elections today, aware of the growing popularity of Aryeh Deri and the fact that his party would lose footing in Knesset.
(YWN � Israel Desk, Jerusalem)
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3 Responses
Can someone explain to me how a study of 500 people can give an accurate poll on a keneset that has 120 seats?
So what would an election accomplish, unless Netanyahu feels he’ll lose ground by next year. I believe he needs a majority of the kenesset to call a new election at this time.
proud orthodox jew, the 500 people constitute a sample of the Israeli population. The statistics theory goes that if the sample was selected randomly, the sample is a true representation of the entire population and the findings from this sample can be extrapolated to the entire population.