HaMevaser Jerusalem Mayoral Election Poll

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According to the daily HaMevaser on Sunday, 22 Elul, Degel Hatorah has decided to commission a poll and this will assist in determining which candidate it will back in the Jerusalem mayoral race. HaMevaser preempted with a poll of its own. The poll, according to HaMevaser, intends to show both Degel Hatorah and Shas that candidate Moshe Leon, who Shas is already backing unofficially, does not have support among the secular and more traditional public, so there is great risk in backing him.

The poll was conducted by the Shiluv Institute polled the non-chareidi residents of the city, published in HaMevaser, which is aligned with Shlomei Emunim and its candidate, Deputy Mayor Yossi Deutsch.

The paper did not specify exact survey data, but general data. Throughout the article, it seems that they chose words carefully, as if they were trying to convince them that Leon’s popularity is weak among the secular and traditional sectors.

If Berkowitz, Elkin and Leon were to take part in the elections, Berkowitz and Elkin would receive significant and double-digit support, while candidate Moshe Leon would win a single-digit rating. According to the survey, even among the chareidi and traditional public, Leon receives little support to make up for the gap between the two other candidates in the general sector, so that in a scenario of three candidates – Berkowitz, Elkin and Leon – among the traditional and religious public, Leon receives only 10 percent – a suNJ hipport rate almost identical to the low support he receives in the secular sector.

Strengthening the findings of the survey for the mayoral post is also obtained from the data on the distribution of seats, according to the survey. The results show that while Berkowitz’s’ Hisorarus faction wins 29 percent of the vote and Elkin’s party wins 10 percent of the vote.

Interesting data was found when the pollsters presented the respondents in the non-chareidi sector with the candidacy of Yossi Deutsch. In every scenario of two contenders, Deutsch wins 8 to 11 percent of the vote, with each percent equal to about 1,000 votes, reflecting more than 10,000 votes for the chareidi candidate among the non-chareidi sector.

The survey also shows that in a race between Deutsch and Elkin, about a quarter of non-chareidi voters do not support either of the candidates, in addition to the 10 percent who will vote for the chareidi candidate. Even in the scenario in which Deutsch is facing the leading secular candidate; Ofir Berkowitz, Deutsch wins 11 percent of the non-chareidi public’s vote.

(YWN Israel Desk – Jerusalem)