With just days left before Election Day, a trio of new polls paints a sobering picture for former Gov. Andrew Cuomo � and a commanding one for Democratic Socialist front-runner Zohran Mamdani.
According to the latest Quinnipiac University survey, Mamdani leads Cuomo by 10 points (43% to 33%), with Republican Curtis Sliwa pulling 14%. That marks a tightening race from earlier this month, when Mamdani held a 13-point edge. �Zohran Mamdani has a 10-point lead over Andrew Cuomo, with Curtis Sliwa a distant third,� said Quinnipiac�s Mary Snow, noting that the growing number of undecided voters could inject volatility in the campaign�s final days.
But an Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll released Thursday suggests a far less competitive contest. In that survey, Mamdani commands a 25-point lead, 50% to 25%, with 21% backing Sliwa � nearly splitting the anti-Mamdani vote. Emerson�s data shows Mamdani surging seven points since last month, while Cuomo�s support slid three. Among Black voters, Mamdani�s support skyrocketed from 50% to 71%, solidifying a crucial bloc that once leaned toward traditional Democrats.
A Marist Institute poll also released Thursday morning falls between the two, showing Mamdani up 48% to 32%, with 16% for Sliwa. �It�s Mamdani�s race to lose,� said Marist pollster Lee Miringoff, noting that despite relentless attacks, Cuomo has failed to dent Mamdani�s popularity.
Indeed, Mamdani remains one of the most favorably viewed candidates in the field � 57% of likely voters hold a positive opinion of him, compared to 55% unfavorable for Cuomo. �Cuomo is upside down,� Miringoff added bluntly.
The data underscores how Sliwa�s presence is fracturing the opposition. In a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, Mamdani leads Cuomo by just 7 points (51%�44%), but when Cuomo is removed from the equation, Mamdani�s margin over Sliwa balloons to 26 points (59%�33%).
Demographically, Mamdani�s coalition mirrors the progressive base that vaulted him to prominence. He dominates among voters under 45 (64%�21%), trounces Cuomo among liberals, and holds a decisive edge among women and minority voters. Cuomo maintains a slim advantage among moderates and older voters, while Sliwa consolidates conservatives with 45% support from that group.
Even among Jewish voters, where Mamdani has faced sharp backlash for his anti-Israel rhetoric, he still commands about one-third of the vote, while Cuomo leads with 55%, according to Marist.
Taken together, the new numbers suggest Mamdani�s hold on the race is firm � and barring a late-breaking shift, the Democratic Socialist firebrand is poised to reshape City Hall in his image.
(YWN World Headquarters – NYC)