NIGHTMARE DEAL? Draft US-Iran Agreement Could Hand Tehran Billions While Leaving Israel’s Greatest Threats Intact

Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of late Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, attends a rally in Tehran, Iran, in May 2019. (Hamid Forootan/ISNA/WANA)

A reported draft agreement between the United States and Iran is raising alarm in Israel, as the proposed framework would reportedly grant Tehran sweeping economic and diplomatic concessions while leaving many of the threats facing the Jewish State untouched.

According to reports citing Iran’s semi-official Mehr News Agency, the proposed Memorandum of Understanding would inject billions of dollars into Iran’s struggling economy, ease American pressure on the regime, and reduce the U.S. military presence around the Islamic Republic—all while postponing negotiations over Tehran’s nuclear program and excluding its ballistic missile arsenal and terrorist proxies from the talks altogether.

If the reported terms are accurate, Iran would receive many of its key demands upfront while making relatively few immediate concessions.

Among the reported provisions is an immediate and permanent ceasefire across all fronts, including Lebanon, potentially freezing Israel’s military gains against Hezbollah while placing no obligation on the terror group to disarm or dismantle its military infrastructure.

The United States would reportedly lift its naval blockade within 30 days, withdraw forces positioned near Iran, and facilitate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, sanctions on Iranian oil and petrochemical exports would be suspended, allowing Tehran to once again generate billions in energy revenue.

Perhaps the most dramatic provision is the reported release of approximately $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets. According to the report, roughly half of that amount—about $12 billion—would be transferred to Tehran before negotiations even begin on a permanent nuclear agreement.

In exchange, Iran would enter a 60-day negotiating period over its nuclear program.

However, according to the reported draft, some of Israel’s greatest security concerns would remain completely off the table.

Iran’s ballistic missile program—which has supplied thousands of missiles and drones used against Israel—would reportedly not be part of the negotiations. Neither would Iran’s continued support for Hezbollah, the Houthis, Hamas, or the network of Iranian-backed militias operating throughout the Middle East.

For Israeli security officials, those omissions could prove far more significant than the concessions Iran is being asked to make.

Critics warn that billions of dollars in sanctions relief and released assets could allow Tehran to rapidly rebuild military infrastructure damaged during the recent conflict, replenish Hezbollah’s arsenal, expand funding for its regional terror network, and strengthen its domestic economy—all while preserving the military capabilities that pose the greatest long-term threat to Israel.

The reported Lebanon provisions have also drawn concern. A permanent ceasefire without requiring Hezbollah to surrender its weapons could give the terror organization time to regroup, rearm, recruit new fighters, and rebuild positions damaged during the fighting, while significantly limiting Israel’s ability to continue military operations.

The draft also reportedly envisions reopening the Strait of Hormuz under arrangements negotiated with Iran, a move critics argue would hand Tehran a diplomatic victory after demonstrating its ability to threaten one of the world’s most strategically important shipping lanes.

According to the report, any final agreement would ultimately be submitted to the United Nations Security Council for approval, potentially making it more difficult for Israel to act independently against Iran in the future should Tehran violate the agreement or exploit the lull to restore its military capabilities.

The reported agreement has not been confirmed by Washington, and Iranian officials say the draft has not yet received final approval from the country’s senior leadership. It also remains possible that some of the published provisions reflect Iranian negotiating demands rather than language accepted by both sides.

(YWN World Headquarters – NYC)

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