According to Allan Lichtman, an election forecaster renowned for his accuracy in identifying the presidential election winner since 1984, the “Keys to the White House” currently tip in favor of President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump. Lichtman’s predictive model, which incorporates 13 true or false questions, offers insights into the potential outcome of the upcoming presidential election.
Biden currently holds five of these “keys,” while Trump has secured three, Lichtman told MarketWatch. However, with five keys remaining undecided, there is still ample opportunity for either candidate to gain ground before November.
Among the factors considered are party mandate, incumbency, economic indicators, policy changes, and charisma. Biden’s incumbency automatically grants him a point, as does his lack of significant third-party competition. Additionally, his administration’s economic growth and policy initiatives contribute to his key count.
On the other hand, Trump benefits from his party’s majority in the House of Representatives and is given a key for charisma. Lichtman suggests Trump could gain another point if Biden fails to achieve a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Lichtman’s track record includes accurately predicting Trump’s victory in 2016 and Biden’s win in 2020.
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7 Responses
If Biden wins Trump even with cheating that’s will say everything you need to know about the dumb American people.
Here you have 2 presidents who will have 4 years each, one did very well even with all the corruption against him and one who single handily killed this country in every measurable way, and yet millions of people will still vote for him. Besides him being a senile idiot
He was wrong in 2020. He said Biden will win…
Impossible predictable evil. Do not partner with America. Pick up your Torahs and walk home. Torahs don’t belong in America or world but Israel. Do not be fools
impossible……only way this can happen is by way of theft as the first………time for all of us to put our prayers first ….. I know I am….this Beit Din, thankfully known to all of us and its meaning should not surprise you of how Hashem works…..
There’s election fraud going on otherwise ID would be a requirement for voting. However, perhaps also the majority of Americans are permanently effected by TickTock and other social media sites and the entertainment industry, as well as the diseased “education system” in the US, which stunted peoples’ intellectual and moral development. There’s also the factor of millions of children of illegals who are eligible to vote and who don’t have the US’s best interest in mind, only voting for the party that will give them more freebies.
Yeshiva World News had a choice. They could have written the headline in favor of Biden (which they did) or write it in favor of Trump (which would sound like this “Trump has opportunity to defeat Biden). Lichtmans prediction left room for each. Yet time and time again this supposedly right wing Jewish publication chooses the left wing stance.
Here are some examples in the last week.
“Ben Shapiro ‘gushes’ over Trump” (False)
“Russian Stooge?” (Tilted against Tucker)
And then this one.
Why does YWN tilt against the right? Maybe it’s because they aren’t really ‘Yeshiva’ World News and just sensationalist journalism.
I’ll continue reading to call you out each time you do this. But for others reading I ask you Why? Don’t allow a publication that in name should stand for you, actually oppose you.
Moderators Note: This is an unedited actual email YWN received today. It’s great to know that 50% of our readers this YWN hates trump, and 50% think YWN loves Trump. Just perfect. By the way, why didn’t you list all the anti-Biden headlines? People read and see what they want to read and see:
https://www.theyeshivaworld.com/news/general/2259536/nikki-haley-trounced-by-none-of-these-candidates-option-in-nevadas-gop-primary.html
you could spin this either way. I know you’re a fan of Trump (I was, but his juvenile behavior is unacceptable), but let’s be objective here–Trump got no votes either. Let’s give a normal person (i.e. Nikki Haley) a chance.
Mod,
Was trump’s name on the ballot? It didn’t sound like it
So in essence I assumed it to mean that those (none of the above) was really trump