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Dr. PepperParticipant
Can you at least say what it is? (Or should I just dust off my “Jump to Conclusion” mat?)
Dr. PepperParticipantI think you knew good and well that there is no way to solve this using a Venn Diagram- it’s not a problem involving subsets.
My original intentions was to get you to divulge what the “wagon” is (and the Venn Diagram involved in that case) but that didn’t work.
If Moish01 ever comes back to visit maybe he’ll show us how to make Venn Diagrams out of text.
Dr. PepperParticipantWhat bracha in the regular weekday shemona esrei mentions a person and his grandson but not his son?
Dr. PepperParticipantsqueak and ICOT-
The method is correct but I like to set it up differently.
This riddle falls under the category of Bayesian Estimation with a Discrete Prior. (Sounds innocent to me?)
I like setting it up in a table like a spreadsheet.
There is one column for each category, in this case two.
Line one is the “Prior Probability”, or the probability of being in the category.
Line two is the probability of of that outcome for that group.
Line three is the product of line one and two. It is summed at the end.
Line four is line three divided by the sum of line three. It gives us what’s called the “posterior probabilities”.
in Excel-
0.014285714 0.985714286
0.92 0.02
0.013142857 0.019714286 0.032857143
0.4 0.6Using formulas:
=1/70 =69/70
=0.92 =0.02
=A1*A2 =B1*B2 =SUM(A3:B3)
=A3/C3 =B3/C3So there is a .4 or 40% chance of having the allergy given that he had the allergic reaction.
The benefit of this method is that one doesn’t need a Venn Diagram to solve it.
Dr. PepperParticipantfrumladygit-
Sorry if it wasn’t clear.
I was trying to show off my sholom bayis skills learned in chosson class so I complimented my wife that this is the best supper she ever made. The only problem was that it wasn’t my wife who made supper, it was the guests.
Dr. PepperParticipantWow oomis1105- that’s a good one.
This happened indoors but is still embarrassing.
A few months after we got married my sister-in-law and her friends had a G.O. convention or something nearby and asked if they could come over for supper.
I had no idea about this but they came early, told my wife she could have the afternoon off and made supper for her.
Of course I had to show off what a good husband I am so I made sure to compliment my wife. “You know Honey- this is the best supper you ever made.”
After a long, uncomfortable silence someone explained what happened.
Dr. PepperParticipantoomis1105-
I left you a link in the Limericks thread, I guess you missed it.
Thanks for clearing that up.
Dr. PepperParticipantminyan gal-
How much did the government spend to put man on the moon?
How much does it cost to provide all citizens with the best medical coverage?
Does that answer your question
Dr. PepperParticipantCan I use a Venn Diagram?
Dr. PepperParticipantWhere do you live that insurance is only $400 a month? What kind of insurance is that? What does it cover? Our insurance is over $1400 a month (self plus spouse and children, my employer pays most of it).
You probably should look into getting a legal job. Health insurance is very expensive (and it’s going to increase drastically when the new stuff goes into effect).
Dr. PepperParticipantSJSinNYC-
I agree, Hashem created everyone and everything for a purpose.
Dr. PepperParticipantI found him guilty based on his lawyers stupidity and arrogance but that was before jury selection. I wasn’t picked for the case though. (Supposedly if you stare down the defendant they remove you?)
Dr. PepperParticipantbombmaniac
a trial by jury is nothing more than a popularity contest. think about, you drag 12 people who were too dumb to get out of jury duty in the first place out of their la Z boys
I think it’s a problem that people have this attitude, if CV one of us were to be on trial what are the chances that we can have a jury of our peers?
Recently when I had jury duty I used it as an opportunity to catch up on personal stuff (my employer gives us off for jury duty).
I met R’ Reuven Feinstein by Shachris, told him that I had jury duty and asked him for advice. His response was “If I could go why can’t you”. (My intended question was “What are my responsibilities as a Yid in a secular court?”)
By the way, I didn’t notice any other Frum people there.
Dr. PepperParticipantSome old timers may remember when the were two people who went by the name Joseph.
During the CRs infancy the title under the screen name was a link to the members’ profile.
As it turns out- one was Joseph and one was Josephf but he somehow kept the “f” invisible.
Both of them haven’t been heard from in a long time.
Dr. PepperParticipant4. What word becomes shorter by adding letters to it?
Short becomes shorter when adding the er to it.
Dr. PepperParticipantsqueak-
We use it for both frequency and severity (as long as the variance is less than the mean and the distribution is discrete).
I don’t work with credit scores.
Dr. PepperParticipantsqueak-
You don’t need it in that case, you can use it if you wish.
Where do you need to use it?
Dr. PepperParticipantThere sure is a standard deviation.
(Given parameters m and q the standard deviation is (m * q * (1-q) )^.5)
Dr. PepperParticipantIf you tell me what the “wagon” is I’ll tell you why you need it.
Dr. PepperParticipantSqueak:
Here’s my question for you-
If the binomial distribution is discrete why do you care what the standard deviation is?
Dr. PepperParticipant1=3
2=3
3=5
4=4
5=4
6=3
7=5
8=5
9=4
10=3
11=6
12=6
October 27, 2010 3:47 pm at 3:47 pm in reply to: Rav Moshe Feinstein: Prohibition of social dating #705662Dr. PepperParticipantPashuteh Yid-
Reminds me of a post in the “Funny Shidduch Stories” thread about a friend of SJSinNYC who fell in love with her step-brother while inhaling the strong chemicals in the cleansers while cleaning for Pesach.
They got married.
Dr. PepperParticipantnew2thescene-
If you have any questions feel free to post them here, some of us should be able to help you.
Also if you’re a former student of mine keep in mind that I offer free unlimited tutoring for life.
Dr. PepperParticipantI can only try-
I was just teasing you- making a reference to the comment about teaching new tricks to old dogs.
Dr. PepperParticipantoomis1105-
Yikes!
I hope he didn’t take anything with him.
Dr. PepperParticipantSacrilege-
That’s one of the buildings I was referring to, I’m not sure which post you’re talking about.
Dr. PepperParticipantI can only try-
Can I teach an old dog another new trick?
Would you like to learn how to put links in HTML?
Dr. PepperParticipantBP Totty-
It was this week, 29 years ago, that a Russian submarine named Whiskey ran aground in Sweden.
Just thought I’d share it with you.
October 26, 2010 2:34 pm at 2:34 pm in reply to: VOTE! who would you like to see a street named after in jerusalem? #703579Dr. PepperParticipantJosh31-
I’m assuming that the person can no longer be living.
Dr. PepperParticipantCorrect,
And let me guess how you knew that- you thought I shouldn’t go out with her and know that we can’t agree on anything? 🙂
Dr. PepperParticipantapushatayid-
I heard that Satmar comes from St. Mary.
Have you heard that?
Dr. PepperParticipantBen Torah-
Oy vey, I knew someone was going to ask.
Story was- shadchan tries to set me up with a girl, I already knew enough about her to know that she wasn’t for me (not just a personality issue but a skeleton hiding in the closet). Being that there was nothing to discuss (no point in saying any loshon hora) I didn’t give any reason just a strong “no”. The shadchan, not knowing about the skeleton, just assumed I was nervous to start dating and told the girl I wanted to go out with her.
We both agreed that if it’s a strong “no” then there’s no reason to give the shadchan any reason. What we didn’t agree on was if I should have gone out with her or not.
Dr. PepperParticipantMy grandmother told me that when you feel the “click” you’ll know she’s the right one.
After a few dates with my wife I had to seriously think if she was my bashert or not. I mentally replayed all of our dates replacing her face with the face of the least appealing person I dated to make sure it was her personality that I liked and not just her looks.
I was more positive that she was the right one but didn’t feel the “click” until my wife asked me if we can have an argument to see if we can agree to disagree. We had the argument (we still don’t agree on that issue) but we saw that we can respect each other’s opinion even if we don’t agree.
That’s when I felt we “clicked”.
Dr. PepperParticipantThis story was going around in the early 90s. It probably never happened as each time there was a different ending to the story.
The teacher was late for lab and when he was heard coming some guys turned on the gas and they all slumped over (either their desk or the floor) with their tongues hanging out the side of their mouths.
Here are the different endings I heard:
1. The teacher got up on his desk and danced a jig,
2. The teacher grabbed a chair and smashed a window,
3. The teacher went home and called in sick,
4. The teacher came in, gave his lecture as usual and left.
Feel free to make up your own ending.
Dr. PepperParticipantBen Torah-
I can’t answer for “anon for this” since I know very little about her (although I think she’s an engineer).
What I could tell you is that when I took Differential Equations I used the outline for extra help with Laplace Transforms. Have I used it since then? Probably not.
What is the purpose of learning all these things?
There are a couple of answers:
1. It was part of a course that I was required to take to graduate, and there’s now way I could have gotten the job that I have without a college degree. The hiring manager who made me the offer said he wouldn’t consider a candidate without a college education since they can bluff their way through an interview but the only way to know for sure if they are capable of performing the tedious calculations is to see how they performed in these upper level math courses.
2. As was mentioned in a different thread last year- equations for a mathematician are like tools for a plumber. A plumber will buy some tools that he’ll never use just in case he ever needs it. There was a riddle that Squeak posted in “The Riddle Thread…” which I solved using a function that I only used in one other time.
3. Many courses are more for the discipline than for the material. These upper level math courses teach students more how to look at the equation and know how to tackle it than how to solve a specific problem.
So to answer your question- she probably doesn’t use Fourier Transforms but the learning it and understanding it is what actually helps her today.
Dr. PepperParticipantThe mean is 2/3 and the variance is 88/144 => the standard deviation is .781735959970572.
3 is 7/3 from the mean which is 2.98481002897854 standard deviations.
Dr. PepperParticipantCan you explain what the wagon is?
Is it worth passing by on my way home?
Dr. PepperParticipantIs this for ICOT or can I answer?
Dr. PepperParticipantFrom the position that I’m in I can only see the ferry. I do pass the cupolas on a regular basis but I don’t see the building with a plane on top on a regular basis.
Did I miss the wagon?
Dr. PepperParticipantCan you give it a try? Can you explain what “the wagon” is?
Dr. PepperParticipantCan you be a little more specific? I don’t know what the North Building is.
Dr. PepperParticipantCan you give me the length of two of the sides and the angle between them so I can pinpoint the location of the wagon?
Dr. PepperParticipantSqueak-
I’m missing something.
Dr. PepperParticipantI can only try-
Yes, it was in response to your answer.
I noticed that the posts are only being approved every couple of hours or so. When I logged on and saw that some where recently approved I wanted to send a quick post before the mod logged off for the night, therefore I only had time for a one word reply.
Here’s the formula I used in Excel
=BINOMDIST(3,8,(1/12),FALSE)Dr. PepperParticipantWhat subjects?
Generally speaking I’d recommend Schaums Outline.
Look it up on Amazon.com.
I found them to be better than the textbooks and about %10 of the price.
Dr. PepperParticipantExactly!
Dr. PepperParticipantModerator-80-
OK, give it a shot- you just might give him the hint he needs to figure it out.
Dr. PepperParticipantI was asked to sub a kindergarten class and had about one minute to prepare.
Getting up in front of all these 4 and 5 year olds I asked who knew what was special about that day.
One kid raised his hand and said it was Rosh Chodesh. I was very impressed and asked how he knew. “My Tatty went to shul this morning!”
Then I explained how they could tell it’s Rosh Chodesh by seeing that there’s no moon in the sky…
Next Question: Why was it important to know when Rosh Chodesh was? (I was hoping someone would answer that since I didn’t know what to tell them.)
One kid raised his hand and said, “So that my Mommy will know if she has to put a white shirt on me.”
I had lots of fun that day, but I can’t imagine doing it full time.
Dr. PepperParticipantBP Totty-
I walked by that building many times but never noticed what anything above the ground floor looked like.
Dr. PepperParticipantBP Totty-
I just noticed another interesting building very close to that building. I think the address is 15 Park Place (J & R Music is on the bottom floor). The building has around 30 floors but the top three are two three-floor cupolas at either end of the building.
The bottom floors are offices for J & R, 11 to 26 are apartments, I’m not sure what’s on 27 but floors 28,29 and 30 are the cupolas which are empty. If I had $60-80 million to burn I’d sooner move in to one of the cupolas and just fly first class if I ever need to travel.
This building might have once been the tallest building in the world. If anyone has any way to find out I’d appreciate it.
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