Always_Ask_Questions

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 50 posts - 7,001 through 7,050 (of 8,116 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: Medicating vs Spanking #1983135

    IYK > So please tell me, how was I to learn the necessary life skills to control my own emotions?

    R Pliskin gives the following suggestion to exactly this question askeb by someone whose parents did not show a good example.
    He asks back – did you ever see good behavior that you could emulate?
    – Yes, but only several days year, when visiting someone, and the rest of the time – only bad
    – If you play good examples in your head many times [rather than bad ones AAQ] , it would be equivalent to seeing it many times, and it will help you train yourself

    in reply to: Is English the new Yiddish? #1982685

    philosopher, >> A newspaper named Der Emes would be spelled in Yiddish דער אמת

    FOUR mistakes in the word “emes” from the actual paper … Should shock you into how much we know of language and, in this case, history …

    >> was surprised that they did not mention the third reason, loshen, that they spoke their own language was the third reason Hashem took the Jews out of Egypt

    this is a good point, sad when Torah is presented in a convenient way to conform with the hashkafah .. also, note that Yiddish obviously originated as a mixture of Hebrew and the local German language. If Jews in Mitzrayim spoke something like a mixture of Hebrew and Mitzri, not sure the Midrash would say that they spoke their own language. Possibly true, that at some point Jewish groups adopted old-style levush and loshon to resist modernity, but not to say that either of them originated as distinct.

    In regards to the midrash, possibly a case can be made that these are last-resort measures that were necessarily in the presence of slavery and the absence of any other ways to unite between Jews and separate from Mitzrim. One would think that Torah might be a sufficient way to separate.
    By this logic, those who learn may not need levush, those who do not – do.

    in reply to: ADHD help #1982650

    ADHD, do not try to be like the others. It will depress you … One possible explanation of ADHD is that neural signals fire at multiple places instead of one. That non-ADHD people will be happy doing an assigned task, whether it makes sense or not, an ADHD person will insist on doing something more interesting. There are (unfortunately?) enough people who will do dull routine activities, memories pages by heart. You don’t have to do the same. Contribute what your personality gives. As mentioned above, find what is stimulating in learning, family, just direct it towards the good things. Say, instead of video games, play something more educational or good for their brain, play with alefbeis, chess, bring challenging questions, not sure how old your kids are. You don’t have to do “kamatz-alef” with them, just do what is exciting to you and kids.
    In your learning, take a topic that connects multiple issues together and try to resolve them, instead of going systematically through all items. Look at books by Edward Hallowell, I think latest is ADHD 2.0, I found his approach very reasonable.

    in reply to: Is English the new Yiddish? #1982640

    philosopher, thanks for the reference. SSeems like this gefilte fish line is really a recent innovation started in Poland due to growth of beet sugar industry .. How could people insisting on “ein hadash” and wearing 18th century hats agree to change _the_ gefilte fish is not clear to me!

    As to Yiddish, there was a newspaper “Der Emes”. How would you spell it?

    IYK, I am not sure why you think a professional job does not pay expenses for a family. In my experience it did, And you do not have to be a slave. Get some experience or an experience partner/advisor and start your own business. I did.

    I understand that we all can find reasons to complain and worry about future –
    but note that each of us is richer than the King of England two hundreds years ago in terms of ability to travel, communicate remotely, access information, even eat exotic food from far away locations. We all have millions of slaves, literal who pack the food for us, and golems that keep lights and heat on. when you do work, you have computers, internet, Amazon Marketplace all designed to make you ore efficient. We are even for now far away from tyrannical regimes of the past – Crusaders, Tzars, Nazis, Commies. If this generation complains …

    in reply to: Taking bets re Israel’s government #1982634

    Gadol > Likud and the religious parties had years to rid the country of Netanyahu

    I am sure you can list reasons to not like bib or his policies, but to suggest that all parties, including those n the coalition, should have a goal of get rid of a prime-minister with so many successes sounds absurd.

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1982616

    Obviously, difference between yekkes and chasidim reflet the differences between host namtions. Primo Levi, an Italian Jew, writes about a difference between German Lagers and Russian command that he also exzperienced. When Germans say “tomorrow”, it means at 9am tomorrow, there will be signs everywhere about what exactly is going to happen. When Russians say “tomorrow” it means – in the near future, possibly.

    in reply to: Taking bets re Israel’s government #1982615

    CTL, rich Arab countries are done undermining Israel. They may even prefer a righter government that will be stronger against Iran.

    in reply to: Taking bets re Israel’s government #1982614

    > It is in the Arab world’s best interests to have Israel without a government that can rule.

    Jewish people survived “without the government” for centuries during time of shoftim, as well as the last several years. Fastest vaccination campaign in the world “without the government”. Several peace agreements.

    to answer the original question: It well may be that such a strange government, united only by the desire to keep the government” will lead to some healthy dialog. Israeli governments are often simply separate groups trying to tax the other guy and get something to themselves. This is not advancing society at all. So now, it is hard to imagine that each individual minister will succeed doing something that others disagree with. They’ll try and there will be a lot of drama. Maybe Bennett will be able to advance some right-wing policies relying on Knesset opposition support for them. Maybe other factions will join and there will be 119 member faction, agreeing only on excluding Bibi.

    IYK > . Jobs are being offered for approximately $12.50/hour,

    you are right. It used to be possible to be in a “working class” – have a simple decent job and earn respectable living. So, it was possible to learn until you need to work and then simply start working. The trend is for some time that jobs are separated into low end that you mention and higher end that requires either education or business acumen. Note that there are still good professional jobs that do not require higher degrees. As the story goes – a neurosurgeon calls a plumber in the middle of the night and explains that there is an emergency in the house and he needs it to be solved ASAP as he has to get ready for an important surgery in the morning. Plumber quotes $2,000. “What, I am a neurosurgeon and do not charge that much”. “you are right, when I was a neurosurgeon, I also did not charge that much”

    in reply to: So does anyone play WOW here? #1982481

    R Feinstein played chess, but at a wises age of 9, realized that it takes too much time from his learning and quit. Yehuda Halevi and Bin Ezra played it
    I think, Samuel Reshevsky of Monsey came from Gerrer Rebbe’s family

    in reply to: Taking bets re Israel’s government #1982482

    I bet on the Jewish people lasting longer than others.

    going to sleep is influenced by biological clock – when you feel tired. Getting up is driven by social restrictions – school and work openings. Thus, those in Eastern part of the time zone go to sleep earlier (in clock time) and sleep more than those in the Western. There is research taking pair of US cities one in the western part of their time zone, others – on the eastern in the next time zones – and the Easterners have higher average IQs and incomes.

    in reply to: Outdoor Minyan still going. #1982483

    Forshayer, Our outdoor minyan is doing similar, masks became optional a couple of weeks ago. Tent was used only duting Yamim Norayim when there were lots of people. We have about the same group as we had in shul, Rabbi included. As long as you doing out of the right reasons – prudence re:Covid (*), I don’t see a problem at all. R Lebowitz, YU, talked about this a couple of weeks ago, saying that return to shuls seems to be more complicated than leaving and other Rabbis reporting what common saychel says. R Lebowitz mentioned was sounds like a good criterion – it is a problem if you are now participating in other comparable activities, but not opening shuls. I do not, so it is not a problem. I would add a qualification to the Rav’s definition to exclude parnasa-related activities, where one is allowed to take risks that he does not have to take for davening with the minyan.

    (*) US would definitely do better if people and government had a little more resolve. As opening accelerated in last 3 weeks, decline in cases over US in general stalled at the level 20x higher than Israel, including NE states that have slightly lower rates. R0 grew from 0.7 to 0.87 in 2 weeks and at that speed will hit 1 in a week. UK reaches a similar case rate as US and now has R0=1.5 ….
    Vaccination rate reached daily 1% of population on the day biden gave a speech and now is back to 0.3% that Trump was doing. It seems the failure of the government was inability to achieve sustained high vaccination rates for 2-3 months as Israel did while people felt urgency, so now it is a struggle to convince people who do not see urgency. So, all power of government to fight COVID promised by Biden was a pre-election bluff.

    in reply to: 40th Siyum Harambam This Sunday!!! #1982198

    Avira,
    ok, seems we do not disagree much. I would like to mention one point though – your usage of Reform, etc as a warning. We need to maneuver carefully when encountering threats – Hellenism, Islam, Haskala, Communism … On one hand, the approach of keeping away from the threat worked many times at the time of encounter On the other hand, long-term we need not to get carried away and modify Yehadut in opposition to the threats long-gone. We are not stopping learning Humash because of Tzdukim … but we did stop reading ten commandments …
    If Reform abused tikun olam, does not mean that we should ignore bein adam l’havero and push and shove each other on the way to a “mitzvah”. Secular studies were strongly associated with non-religious lifestyle at some point, and this now prevents people from getting honorable professions. Maybe Rambam’s/Aristotle’s halakhot deot applies here: community, as a person, needs to generally keep a middle path, but should deviate to compensate for a trend. As with a skidding car or a stable inflation rate, applying such controls inappropriately may end up in a ditch on a left or on a right side (or inflation/deflation), thus a need to see big picture where we are and which way we are moving. Maybe second derivative also.

    As to learning psak v. meta-learning, my Lakewood Teacher explained 1/3 humash/mishna/gemora as applying to total learning, so at some point one needs to learn more of the gemora (reasoning behind laws, rather than just laws) as it is a much bigger field. Hate to bring covid here, but it aptly demonstrates that modern life brings new issues very fast comparing with cneturies ago where drastic changes were relative rare. So, ability of the community to adapt is even more important.

    in reply to: 40th Siyum Harambam This Sunday!!! #1982065

    AviraDeArah> Torah lishma is your intention, not your methodology.

    this is an interesting question.. We discussed here recently a Maharal in Netivos Olam that explains why a confused Bavli won popularity context against a more knowledgeable Yerushalmi .. [just imagine all Tannaim who made fun of those in the West seeing yeshivot learning Bavli, they’ll be confused more than Moshe in R’ Akiva’s class]. So, Maharal sees that Bavli had to reconstruct missing information and developed a method to do that (akin to modern pattern analysis – my words, not Maharal’s). So, now we can apply the same method to new situations. Thus, Bavli turned out more useful for future generations than Yerushalmi.

    So, if I understand you correctly that we need to only learn halakhic conclusions without thinking how the authors came up to that, Maharal above seem to support the idea that learning how to think is also Torah. And there is enough in the Torah that different people can enjoy different parts of it. We don’t need to argue which part is more important.

    Even in pure halakhic analysis, you may want to know the approach. for example, if you have multiple opinion, but many of them come from the same school or are independent opinions; whether they are using rational argument or relying on mesorah, and how strong that mesorah is; and whether underlying assumptions of the rational argument hold in current times.

    in reply to: 40th Siyum Harambam This Sunday!!! #1982056

    >> Knowing random words from the rambam without gemara-context or psak is arguably not aisek, nor yedias hatorah

    The way I (imperfectly) understand Rambam, he directly contradicts you and suggests reading him without sources. Luckily I can resolve this machlokes between CR and Rambam – maybe Rambam directed this just to balabosim like me.

    As to calling “rationality” as “haskala”, I asked a deep Chabad scholar about some Rambam shita and Muslim philosophy and responded “Rambam was not afraid of admitting truth from any source”.

    MosheKapoyer, admittedly, a lot of Talmidei Chachamim felt same way when Daf yomi was starting, so AviraDeArah is in a good company. If you ask me .. It is interesting, but takes time away from Torah learning :). At least with mussar, famous R Salanter’s answer was to spend available hour on Mussar and not Gemorah, as it will lead you to finding more time to learn Gemorah. I do not yet feel same effect from the Daf, maybe I need to finish it first …

    PS another “proof” that R Soloveichik was bothered by attitudes of halahkists and not just baalei batim is a story that I heard (from a partisan source, so please correct me if this is out of context, I was not able to find it in writing). He was asked – given that he spend so much time pursuing academic studies, how was he able to catch up with other Talmidei Chachamim in learning (*)? His response (tongue-in-cheek in I presume) – when others were learning Torah, I was also learning Torah, and when others were saying lashon hara about me, I was learning secular studies. So, we were learning Torah same amount of time.

    (*) this seems to be R Feinstein’s most concerning issue – that secular study will take time from Torah learning and thus will not be able to develop into Talmidei Chachamim. R Feinstein was asked whether it was ok to cheat on a secular test and not waste time from learning (Igrot Moshe, Choshen Mishpat, Siman 30). He categorically disallows cheating but, I think, says that you don’t have to go take those secular tests. Not sure whether this is directed only to those who plan to cheat or otherwise. If someone has a source handy, could you please clarify?

    Re: Rav Soloveichik.
    >> is the unique stand taken by many of our Jews on matters of Law and tradition. We have reached a stage at which party lines and political ideologies influence our halakhic thinking

    I see how you read “our Jews”. At the same time, next sentence mentions “halakhic thinking”. It can be read in a different ways. I also agree that 50s might have been a hotter time than now, but it did last quite some time. So that you get a taste of the tension, here is a quote from a notorious letter in 1984:
    With this we are publicly protesting against those who call themselves ‘‘great sages’’ and ‘‘heads of yeshivas’’ in the United States, who give obsequious praise to the known ‘‘uprooter of Israel,’’ the tyrant from Boston, product of the cursed Berlin Haskalah, and poisoner of the hearts of the Children of Israel through his venomous and ugly opinions, as is well known. That the aforementioned (sages) issued their letters of mischief on the occasion of the eightieth birthday of the Boston Sadducee borne on the pages of the ‘‘sledgehammer’’ that carries the title ‘‘honorable Rabbi.’’

    This was directed to Rav Feinstein, Rav Gifter, Rav Ruderman writing things like this:
    I come with this to send my blessing to the editors of this festschrift that the students of the great genius, our master Rav Yosef Dov Soloveitchik shlit”a arranged in his honor, as he reaches the age of strength [eighty]. And also to offer my prayer that God lengthen the days and years of my dear, great friend, in old age, full of sap and richness [Ps. 92:15], and that he continue to spread Torah in public and to engage in public matters, in honor of God and His Torah, and as an honor to our families. With friendship and appreciation, Moshe Feinstein

    Avram > I have a hard time believing that a Rosh Yeshiva would “give a lesson” to a father and teacher in front of his son and a talmid

    I was there in the room. Rav Gans did not lecture the father, he addressed the child directly in a very friendly manner and lead him to make a commitment to interrupt soccer and daven for a couple of minutes. The question was not about “ideal”, the question was what was appropriate for that kid at that time. The father was a very intense person capable of learning hard lessons and went thru enough of them in his life already, so I presume the Rav knew that the father will get the message and he indeed did. He and I discussed it without the kid.

    in reply to: The future of the democracy of the U.S. government #1981641

    CTL, I mean the software protocol, not the business structure. www is accessible to everyone. You don’t need a company like facebook to access postings. Search engine can index them. If one search engine downgrades sites, you can switch to another search engine. If ywn is too restrictive, you can create your own website and post there. In contrast, fbook and twitter own the data itself. People volunteer to post on the private property, so “we the people” are at fault for losing freedom of speech.

    Somehow millions of people were following Trump on twitter. They could as well read his blog, but it appears too hard for many ..

    in reply to: setting up kiddush during mussuf #1981639

    Participant, in the evening, your family members are waiting at home to fulfill kidush mideoraita, and you will be drinking shnaps in shul? And where women are also in shul, kids are more likely to be in bed at night

    in reply to: 40th Siyum Harambam This Sunday!!! #1981638

    /As a halacha sefer, we often do not pasken like the rambam

    Rambam is in a league of his own in pursuit of truth using rational methodology. If you learn from him how to reason, you will not waste your time

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1981256

    CTL, do you know what was thinking in your family when they moved to America?
    The stereotype is that Goldena Medina was attractive to those who were escaping poverty and to non-religious who were not afraid of assimilation.

    in reply to: 40th Siyum Harambam This Sunday!!! #1981250

    meirs, why would you be celebrating Rambam?

    Rambam learned chochmat goyim, even philosophy, wrote in Arabic, did not speak Yiddish, and even disapproved of those who take money to support their learning.

    in reply to: Is English the new Yiddish? #1981254

    DY? He says – no need to teach parnosa, Gemora says there is a need. Pick a side.

    in reply to: Are we too welcomimg #1981179

    > Is this the way of Avrohom Avinu?

    2020 pew research shows only 2% of conservatives becoming O-. as well as 1% of Reform and unaffiliated. So, we are definitely not welcoming enough despite well publicized efforts…

    in reply to: Is English the new Yiddish? #1981178

    meirs, who are you to argue on the Gemorah? or you don’t think kids becoming listim is a problem?

    in reply to: The future of the democracy of the U.S. government #1981177

    to borrow a phrase: Government spent money creating ARPAnet and now Fbook is exploiting for profit. Zuck, you did not build it! I am not sure why humanity needs to offer control over their thoughts to corporations instead of writing on open internet, like this site does. Fbook then is free to index that and provide ad-based interface to the free postings.

    CTL, I agree on liberal Republicans, still not sure whether lots of Jews voted them, maybe in CT they did. My Father O’H felt unease when he saw the mother of a CT Jewish D- politician – she presumed everyone voted for him and my father did not want to disappoint her.

    > Who asked him the shaila?
    here it is in full, judge for yourself whether it is about halakha or not

    January 12th, 1953

    Dear Rabbi Rosenfeld, I acknowledge receipt of your letter. In my answer to your precious inquiry concerning the permissibility of instruction of girls in Talmud I stressed that unless I am assured in advance by the school administration that my recommendations will be followed I would not take the trouble to investigate the matter. Since such an official assurance has been withheld(your letter did not contain any such commitment) I must decline to consider the problem. The reason for my reluctance to engage in this controversial issue is the unique stand taken by many of our Jews on matters of Law and tradition. We have reached a stage at which party lines and political ideologies influence our halakhic thinking to the extent that people cannot rise above partisan issues to the level of Halakhah-objectivity. Some are in a perennial quest for “liberalization” of the Law and its subordination to the majority opinion of a political legislative body, while others would like to see the Halakhah fossilized and completely shout out of life. I am not inclined to give any of these factions an opportunity for nonsensical debates.

    Sincerely yours,
    Joseph Soloveitchik

    Avram, missed an old post about a kid not davening mincha

    >> I think you have misjudged that situation and ascribe much more negativity to it than there was.

    there was no negativity. My friend & teacher was definitely right to drag us an hour away to ask this shailah. He just did not expect that the lesson will be directed to him. I was there and we talked about it, not something that I observed on the street, so I am pretty much sure of what happened,

    in reply to: Shelach – See the Good #1980977

    So, why did everyone else cried when they were given an opportunity to stay in the yeshiva of Moshe Rabbeinu for their whole life?! On full support! Would our generation cry or be happy?

    Avram, no problem, I am glad you are feeling better with the position when stated by R Soloveitchik than by an AAQ. To clarify – in that letter, he is refusing to make a halakhic decision as he is not told that something practical will come out of it, and he will get into a controversy with other halakhists, not CR. At least this is how I understood it. Look it up and see if you understand it differently. He eventually ruled on the issues when it became practical.

    in reply to: Are we too welcomimg #1980971

    common, you seem to presume that Italian Jews volunteered to live a sheltered life behind the walls. You are projecting.

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1980970

    > ‘peasant from the east’

    with due respect to your Oma, Jews in the Pale were rarely allowed to be farmers. Maybe she combined hidden references to “am haaertz” and east, as Babylonian are looked down by Israelis in Gemora

    There are two stirah:
    1) Americans say – early bird gets the worm. Chinies – early bird gets eaten … minhag hamakom

    2) bein Rambam v’Rambam. In one place, IIRC, he suggests sleeping 8 hours and wake up with sunrise. In deot, as mentioned above, he suggests learning during day and night, which facilitate different type of learning. Resolution seems to be – even if you want to be healthy follow the first advice, if you want to learn well – the second.

    in reply to: The future of the democracy of the U.S. government #1980968

    CTLawyer, interesting story – this seems to be an early documented case of attempted fake voting. I presume not every fake voter is unlucky to meet the son of the stolen identity person.

    Out of curiosity – did you ask him who he planned to vote for? If he stole a Jewish identity, he must have presumed that the voter is a Democrat, so he was probably a Republican.

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1980675

    Ctlawyer, re:alarm clock. I have it worse : I have only a minute amount of yekke blood, so I can feel the time (Kids once in a while test me asking for the time), but it does not prevent my non-yekke yetzer from being late. I used to wear a clock on public transport and watch how many minutes I am late. I once forgot the watch and realized that the watch was not at all helping me to get there on time. So, now I was able to read…

    I would not wake up to make a 3am clock, I would go to sleep late.

    I presume Swiss Jews at least wear the watches?

    in reply to: COVID VACCINE FOR CHILDREN #1980307

    Guys, you need to get some numbers to make a conclusion. When you are saying, I don’t know kids who got dangerously sick from covid, what does that mean: out of 100? 1000? Do you know whether there’s long-term minor damage?
    And when you say, there are complications from vaccine, is it 1 in 10,000?
    I am not saying one way or another, but you are making conclusion based on feelings
    As to the current virus level, USA is 30x more than Israel. Also remaining virus circulates among unvaccinated groups such as teens, who communicate with each other.

    in reply to: Why do used car salesmen have a bad reputation? #1980168

    Market works only when there is sufficient information. If I am selling you a car and you do not trust me, then you can only offer a lower price for it as you have to presume that inside is rotten. Then, an honest seller can not sell a good car on the open market, and the only sellers will be those with cars rotten inside. Thus, the “used car salesman”.

    As mentioned above, you need to show it to a disinterested car mechanic – pay him well for the estimate and make clear that you are not going to bring it to him for repairs.

    The same rule works in other fields where buyers can not fully evaluate quality of the product – universities, schools, doctors ..

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1980167

    RebE >> This is similar by the chassidim when getting up, making a big noise so the children see it. However, by the yekkes iit s done quitely in order not to wake up everyone.

    interesting …
    Would it, like, depend on whether kids need to get up?! Or have alarm clocks?

    Maybe chasidim are getting up later, so it is time for kids to get up already? And he is afraid that the kids will sleep late if he leaves?

    And yekkes kids get up on their own at the prescribed time?

    in reply to: COVID VACCINE FOR CHILDREN #1980166

    Yserbius. I am not discounting your doctors at all. I am just saying just because someone has an MD, is not sufficient to be viewed an expert on an emerging threat. Back to Meir Twersky’s last year letter – he said similarly that on a regular case we can ask one doctor, in a new uncertain case, we should ask several and take the safest of all. Except here we can’t take the safest approach as it is a trade-off between two risks.

    in reply to: The 5% Prime Minister #1980169

    > One of the most important things that Israel needs right now is a budget – this is the overriding reason for a Govt.. This was one of the reasons the last Govt failed

    Who said Israel needs a budget and that the government “failed”. Stop reading newspaper headlines and think a little.

    It failed in a narrow political sense – that it lead to elections, but it seems that the government during last 12 years performed reasonably well economically, and exceptionally well during last year – in vaccination and foreign policies.

    in reply to: COVID VACCINE FOR CHILDREN #1979853

    > And the reported cases of heart inflammation in teenagers?

    See statistics above. It is very easy to get distracted by a spectacular case. This is not a consumer case complaining about late delivery by Amazon/Fauci/doctors … it is an ongoing pandemic that killed millions of people. Try to make a reasonable informed decision. You just happened to be on a Facebook feed about vaccines, but not about Covid. Maybe go visit a COVID ward and then compare with what you heard about vaccines, or review the numbers I posted above.

    > I trust my doctor a thousand times more than anything I read on the Internet

    Yserbius, first it depends on a doctor. some have a trusted knowledgeable one, some have a random graduate of a random medical school.

    2nd, ask them what they base their decisions on. A good doctor will be able to discuss his reasoning.

    3rd, decision may depend on your personal preferences. The doctor may assume that your kid needs vaccine to attend wild parties. Tell him that your kid sits by himself and learns, and conclusion may be different. Also, decision point is not to – take or not take vaccine, but take a vaccine now or delay a decision by 1-2 months when more information will be available.

    in reply to: COVID VACCINE FOR CHILDREN #1979585

    here are some numbers that can be a starting point to help you make a deicsion or discuss with the doctor. Disclaimer: I just know numbers, medicine is not my area of expertise, so please double-check the information.

    General CDC stats: children have 2x less cases that 30-40 y.o, 10x less hospitalization, 50x less mortality.

    Now, specific to vaccine risks, the one major risk discovered so far is myocarditis in younger population:

    Risk of myocarditis in teens/young adults after Pfizer vaccine: 5 per million after 1st dose, 25 per million after second dose. Higher rates for pre-existing conditions and younger age. [Israeli data]

    Risk of myocarditis for children when infected by COVID: 0.1-0.3%, or 1000-3000 per mln. [multiple papers] And about same number of other similar complications. Total hospitalizations among children: 2,600 per mln.

    So, roughly if the child is in an environment where his cumulative risk of getting sick w/ COVID is 1%, then his myocarditis risk is 1% of 1000 (3000) = 10-30 per mln – about same as of the vaccine.

    How likely the kid to be in 1%? CDC estimates that 40% of children were already infected in 13 months (until March 2021). That is 3% per month.

    Things are getting better. Month of May was ~5x safer than previous ones. So, an average kid may have 1% risk in 2-3 months going forward. So, it matters if the kid will be in a risky environment – high-density school, no ventilation, community with low vaccinate rates among both adults and children and international travel, or in a safe environment, like home/online school with responsible adults.

    Some emerging ideas:
    – do an antibody test before vaccination
    – do one vaccine dose [Israelis are considering that]
    – wait for end of trials that are testing lower doses for smaller children
    – wait for more information available next couple of months before the school year starts

    in reply to: The 5% Prime Minister #1979556

    Could someone remind me what is the purpose of government? If the government can have combination of all possible opinions: anti-religious, religious, very religious (Islamists); also peaceniks, rightwingers politically, etc – then it is meaningless and VERY unequitable to not allow remaining parties that have some other permutations of the same opinions? So, all parties should be in the government. Let each knesset haver be a minister of something for a month. If they taki do not like Bibi, they can exclude him from Knesset (is bill of attainer legal in Israel?). Make him a Melech or a Nasi or a Kohen Godol.

    in reply to: COVID VACCINE FOR CHILDREN #1979425

    there are several things you might consider, a couple for your
    1) what would be the case level in US in the fall. It is going down right now, thankfully, similar to UK, and 20 times larger than Israel. Will it continue going down? New factors for that: UK had an increase due to Indian variant. Vaccination doses in US fell down from 1% daily to 0.4% and continue decreasing (thanks, Biden’s valiant efforts!). At current rates, we are at least 4 months behind Israel on total doses.

    2) how likely your kids will get COVID, especially a large dose. If they will stay without social distancing and ventilation and case level among mostly unvaccinated kids will not decrease – reasonably high

    3) this one for the doctor – what are risks for your kid from COVID and from vaccine

    in reply to: Where have all the Yekkes gone? #1979406

    CTLawyer > our family left Germany for America in the 1860s.

    I think Yekkes are real survivors – they were mostly first Ashkenazim to experience Haskala, were in totally unchartered waters, and those who stayed Jewish and observant should be very special people. Are you considered vaccinated by modernity – and figured out how to live with it -, and were there less assimilation and Reforming issues with observant Yekkes when families moved to America, or not? maybe this can be seen – did Reform in America consist of those Germans who were Reform already in Germany, or was there also a flow from observant Yekkes already in US?

    in reply to: Fauci’s Fraudulent Fearmongering #1979409

    Yserbius: government has no need to regulate safety for things that are common sense? I pashut don’t get that reasoning.

    First, American libertarian thought is that government should not regulate something that only hurts themselves.

    2nd, this may depend on how well society follows common sense and level of intrusion required to regulate. Why not, for example, have government sponsored/required physical training as Nazis and Soviets had to ensure that men are ready for the Army? With government-subsidized helathcare, this may become an item.

    3rd, carrots and tricks seem to be working in modern society better than sticks. Signing up employees automatically for 401k with an option to switch it off works way better than giving people an option to enroll.

    An example where intrusion prevents good regulation in Gemora: when there are several farmers along the river, we let the first one to take as much water as he wants instead of putting an inspector. L’derech shalom. (some could argue opposite: that shalom requires dividing everything equitable )

    in reply to: The 5% Prime Minister #1979413

    would this be a government of doing nothing? the moment one faction will want to change something, another one will threaten quitting? or, alternatively, bringing more right-wing parties in?

    this should work well for domestic issues (and Kissinger said this is an only one in Israel), but could be a danger for international.

    note that last 2 years of “instability” worked spectacular internationally – best in the world vaccination, peace agreements, reasonably well prepared for Hamas attacks (both Iron Dome and note tunnels became a non-issue – this is not for the lack of trying).

    one question – Yesh Atid is making decision right now, but who will be deciding on changes in coalition? would it be a collective decision? I presume Bennett will not be able to drop lefties and invite Likud back in two weeks later?

Viewing 50 posts - 7,001 through 7,050 (of 8,116 total)