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Coffee ☕, with More details coming out, president Manchin has multiple drilling and mining ⛏️ programs as part of clean energy spending. Didn’t see specific financials, though. It was maybe not so nice of him to not involve his old friend senator Biden into negotiations, hope the latter will not object and veto it
RebE, but you should also arrange to give an interest-free loan. For that, you need to find a struggling businessman and also have sufficient – and honestly earned – funds that you can lend.
Also, arrange for paying workers on time. I guess, you can do on a cheap this with cleaners.
Drilling eved ivri’s ear seems illegal in USA, so we skip that, or travel somewhere else to perform.
To catch a rodef, you may want to work as a policeman, soldier, or CIA. Maybe just volunteer as a security force at your shul ..
There is also a simple half-pasuk that we repeat weekly, but not everyone treats this is as a mitzva (some do): sheshes yamim seavod …
huju, “leading producer” and “not much impact” is economic malpractice looking myopically at a small part of a total picture. I’ll eat my hat if this is written by Larry Summers.
If there were no fracking, the prices would have been up whenever Saudis or Russians wanted it earlier.
And this is more than just prices. We are now sending – expensive – LNG to Europe. If we (and others like Qatar) did not have it, Europe would have already forced Ukraine to agree to “peace” losing half of their country.
So, if a potential ger comes to Syrians, do they tell him: “go to Chabad, then come back and we will give you a shishi”?
No, R- lead congressional ballot on average – it was +1%, not 0.2%. In comparison, In 2018, D-s led by 7%-9%
RW, you may not realize that probably China and Russia are pushing these stories that US started this (as well as other pandemics in previous decades). They are posting these ridiculous stories on social media and blogs, some under pretense of being citizens of other countries, and their stories eventually get to you from unknown (to you) direction. This, combined with “covid brain” effect makes the whole country susceptible. In fact, I don’t know whether you are or not a commie bot!
> They dropping like flies in China so I doubt their immunity is better.
Well, official numbers in China are extremely low, but we can’t trust them, of course. Let’s look at Taiwan actually had peak of deaths in last 2 months comparable to US in 2020! Probably, because they met Omicron without previous immunity? But total for whole epidemic so far US has 3000 deaths per million, Israel Canada 1200, Taiwan and Japan 300 – 10 times less than USA. China’s lying numbers are 4 per million …
RebE > Reichstag was done by the Germans to blame the Communists.
? Both sides were “Germans”. While it is presumed to be done by Nazis, Smithsonian article says that this never was proven in any way.
House R 233.
Senate R 51. Counting those who vote for R majority leader. Request waiting to January Senate day one, possibly some will change sides.er > we’ll always see higher crime rates in cities no matter who is in charge
er, NYC and some other cities had a mixture of D- or R- (or moderate D-) mayors. You may want to compare performance in those cities (comparing with others) under D- and R-. Those who live in NYC – were you safer under Dinkins and de Blasio or Koch, Guiliani, Bloomberg?
Gadol, appealing to “gold standard” NBER is a political trick: the estimate will come up in a year, denying us a real-time signal to change economics and – o, horror – politics via elections. We need early signals. Let’s see how recession is defined:
Oxford dictionary: a period of temporary economic decline during which trade and industrial activity are reduced, generally identified by a fall in GDP in two successive quarters.
investopedia: Because recessions often last six months or more, one popular rule of thumb is that two consecutive quarters of decline in a country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) constitute a recession.
wiki: Though there is no global consensus on the definition of a recession, two consecutive quarters of decline in a country’s real gross domestic product is commonly used as a practical definition of a recession.[3][4][5] In the United States, a recession is defined as “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the market, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales”.[6] In the United Kingdom and other countries, it is defined as a negative economic growth for two consecutive quarters
In a 1974 The New York Times article, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Julius Shiskin suggested that a rough translation of the bureau’s qualitative definition of a recession into a quantitative one that almost anyone can use might run like this:
In terms of duration—declines in real gross national product (GNP) for two consecutive quarters; a decline in industrial production over a six‐month period.
In terms of depth—A 1.5 per cent decline in real GNP; a 15 per cent decline non-agricultural employment; a two‐point rise in unemployment to a level of at least 6 percent.
In terms of diffusion—A decline in non-agricultural employment in more than 75 per cent of industries, as measured over six‐month spans, for six months or longerI agree, this is about intellectual and spiritual achievement, not just being ehrliche or shomer shabbos.
There are similar observations in other intellectual areas that may or may not transfer to Learning:
– regression to the mean. Every exceptionally gifted person passes his genes to kids but chances that they’ll be as or more gifted are slim. Starting that he will probably marry someone not in the same category and just basic stats
– exceptional intellectuals are not always good at chinuch and teaching kids alef-beis. I observed this among chess players and scientists: solid professionals invest at teaching their kids their skill and kids may reach same or higher level; those at the top spend 100% time on their own achievement and their kids are either abandoned or intimidated.
RebE > Any radicalism is no good on either side.
FYI, right now DCCCC is spending $$$ to support extreme Republicans in primaries. Even D- congress-“people” are not happy with that. This really makes claims that R- extremists are a threat to the country (unless there is a partisan advantage to milk). See Weimar Republic as a reference: those against Communists voted Nazi; those against Nazis votes Commie. Th rest is history.
As please write to your D- rep to protest this.
R Avigdor Miller seemingly got this treatment by mistake – by people trying (unsuccessfully) to emulate his approach… His posthumous blatt for kids brings this week a kid who was given a tochacha by a Rebbe, and then he gives a “similar” tochacha to other kids. To his surprise, the Rebbe tells him to stop because he is doing it in anger… so, be careful when emulating a style.
jackk > in the over 240 years of this country we have had a peaceful transition between presidents except for one.
Not sure whether we/you actually was here for 240 years. Otherwise, you might know that not everything was perfect: there were transitions resulting from assassinations, one transition lead to Civil War, Aaron Burr almost became President, White House was burned, a Soviet agent was a VP …
You may constructed in your mind that this event is somehow unique in features you describe – but in what sense it is more concerning than several Presidents who were killed? Killing of an Austrian prince caused WW1, but not in US. And so a demonstration that walked into an under-protected Congress was not a burning of Reichstag.
Menachem, RebE, but what is the symbolism behind shmitah, and Torah seemingly means that this is symbolic, not just agricultural technology. If having something “seventh” is meaningful regardless of what it is, then any other “seventh” is also meaningful. The main argument “for” yom = 24 hours is based on preponderance of such statements in mesorah, although some sources may allow other allegories, and also reject other options based on the science of their days. As you read modern authors on both sides (some count actually 6 sides), each of them does not look fully proven (and that is why I am not bothering quoting any, sorry). I guess one lesson we can learn from history of science that sometimes one must suspend judgment until further information. Not everyone in history appreciated how much was still unknown and often “jumped to conclusions”.
covid could already be a DNA weapon. Chinese might have better immunity, not just because China is a police state, and they agree to wear masks, but also because they might have been exposed to similar viruses over time more than other countries.
hm, seems that Manchin is having covid brain effects and forgot what he said last week … can he be recalled?
interesting for the literal shabbos length.
if you are saying that belief in yom being always 24 years is needed to be shomer shabbos, h’V, then what do we do with shmitah that is shabbos for the eretz?! is shabbos a day? then what do we do with a year?
Saying that yom is 24 hours is anachronism. At the Chumash times, Jews probably used Talmudic uneven hours: dividing day in 12 parts. Not sure what Egyptians used. Night didn’t have a sundial for such precision so it has 3-4 shifts. Possibly 12 hours correspond to 12 months or general Babylonian method of dividing 6, 60, etc
Interestingly French revolution converted space and weight to metric but they couldn’t concur Jewish time: ten day week and ten hour day wasn’t accepted, but they tried
lakewhut? H’V, why one needs to go out of Torah environment and also “just work”. This is almost Zoroastrian division of the world into good and bad forces. Why not work in Torah environment, why not work (or study) for a couple of hours? The balance may vary for different individuals, but work is not a satan waiting for you behind a corner, it is a normal human condition allowing you to fulfil a lot of mitzvos! I heard people arrange to be able to do shiluach hakan for good money, why not arrange for paying your workers on time; being honest in business; saving human lives; giving food to poor; making free loans; catching a rodef …
Do you know the history of Lakewood hotel? Who built it and why?
lakewhut
> to be able to learn all day without interruptions
> is a risk that he falls into a bad crowd of other 20 year olds not learning.both of these considerations have merit, but presumably these are for different people. Some may learn whole day (Steipler?) and some are at risk of falling into a bad crowd.
In our days, with so much affluence, the first one for sure should be given a chance to grow into a Talmid Chacham. Ad kan? One Rav I know was asked, when in yeshiva, to help a shul in his community once a week. Rosh Yeshiva told him to decline as “you will be more useful for them later on if you learn full time”.
For the second guy, you should think ahead and help him avoid problems now and also later, and that includes ability to earn an honest living and support a family, which implies either/or professional training and being able to work 8 honest hours. There is no reason this can not be done in safe environment.
rw, you missed out. real estate prices were down.
Ayn hara – just when I mentioned Manchin, he got covid. Maybe all the libs wishing him bad …
RebE, Mitt Romney already tried and he lost because he was too nice to fight fellow Americans who were playing dirty. He was used to respectful arguments in the boardroom. I don’t recall libs saying – look at an honest clean businessman with reasonable medical insurance plan, no, he was guilty of war-mongering and dog-torturing.
It may be that we are rarely revisiting what we learned in the cheder. Yes, Rashi says that yom is 24 hours, but there are other rishonim also.
a simple example that we can comprehend: if you are in a train with closed windows, it is impossible to know whether the train is stopped or moving with perfect constant velocity, with no acceleration. So, it makes no sense to ask “am I truly at rest”? being at rest is same as moving at constant velocity.
the reason we think there is a “center”, because the center is “stationary” while the rest are moving with acceleration around it.
BUT similarly to the above (from memory, not gonna to revisit Einsteinian physics until the kids get there 🙂 turns out when there is acceleration, you will not be able to distinguish it from gravity. At the end, you can write down equations using any accelerating point as a “center” (0,0,0) and describe all other movements relative to that.
>> If you ask any scientist from before the times of Copernicus in the 1500s – they’ll tell you simply that the sun goes around the earth.
this is strictly not true. Several Greeks – Aristarchus, prob most famous – considered Earth moving around the sun. This was soon post-Alexander times; septuaginta. Others, like Archimedes, quote this and disagree. Seems like biggest arguments for Earth being in the center for the Greeks was lack of star parallax: were the Earth moving, then there will be changes in how we see (stationary) stars. They did not appreciate how far stars are.
As to Rambam, I don’t think he would hold by theories of his time now, he would probably have no problem accepting modern physics, so quoting him proves nothing.
Gadol > Not sure what will push it back up after elections,
I think real truth implies that Biden limit anti-oil measures, will speak up oil industry, bow to Saudi King, maybe even slow walk weapons to Ukraine in the next several months to avoid full disaster, but then will reverse those steps after elections. I think he might try this but I doubt that he’ll be successful – oil industry does not trust him and will not invest, Saudi King does only minimal steps …
My prediction is that after failing in everything else, Dems will focus on goading Trump into announcing next run, while talking 24/7 about 1/6.
RebE > Why would Hashem create something complicated when it can be made simple?
this is a fascinating question. Actually two:
1) would today’s world work if it would be a little simpler
2) why complexity of the world in generalOn (1), the answer seems to be “no”. I read somewhere if a gravitational constant would be slightly different, the world would not exist… If you want Newtonian physics to be true, then there is no maximal speed of light and things will be very, very different… mabe big Bang (aka Creation) would not happen.
On (2), we can of course only speculate. Maybe Hashem wants us to give reward for discovering the secrets of the world, both physical and spiritual, whether in science or Torah. One of the rishonim, I think, explains why early people in Chumash lives long lives – as there was no science literature, each of them needed to observe star movements for several centuries to develop understanding of how the stars work. This puts science as a primary reason for human life …
I think she has zero audience – she is a traitor for 70% of republicans and a Republican for 100% of Democrats. Maybe some non-voters are for her, but this is not helpful by definition.
My suggestion – Joe Manchin. He is already holding the partial Presidency for 1.5 years and everyone except Progressive (40% of Dems?) are happy with that.
Avira > A filter which can be turned off at will is not sufficient in halacha.
Even such filter might be useful. Search engines focus on more specific words you use. So if you use an unfortunate word, or even misspell something, then you suddenly get a lot of stuff that you never expected. Search engine filter reduce the problem but it might still happen.
So, for a lot of people, you put the right filters in and it is sufficient. As in any search, most people use default options for anything. If amazon sorts things by “popular item” by default, only minority of users will press the button “sort by cheaper price”.
For people who have bigger problems – a user should have a local account (non-admin), and another user should have an admin or parental account that installs filtering tools. Actually, for everybody: from cybersecurity point of view, you should have an admin account on your PC and use a different account for your internet browsing and email, even if you are using mehadrin filters. Less chances that sheidim will take over your computer.
Gadol, every filter has false positives and false negatives. Google has their own criteria that may or may not correspond to what one needs. So, you might miss on 10% of internet that mentions something that is not pritzut, there is still 90% left. Not sure why you are so flippant.
Menachem, thanks for the reference to the letters referring to Einstein relatively theory indeed as saying that you can use any point as a reference to do computations. Maybe people are confused by their sentiment of “revolving”, somehow hinting to importance/centrality of the object. Revolving is simply an orbit that one needs to compute and “revolving about” is what is in coordinate (0,0,0). As we delegate those computations to the computer, we could care less about revolving. There are way more fascinating topics in the history of science/Torah interaction, such as was world created or existed eternally (ok, cheating, chose a winning topic, but it is still interesting). Look it up.
As to the letters, I wonder:
1) did the OP actually start keeping mitzvos after receiving the public response as he threatened.2) what is the Soviet opposition to Einstein’s theory that Lubavitcher Rebbe is mentioning. I presume this is before they started working on stolen atomic bomb?!
RebE > bigger body revolve around the smaller body
what ujm is saying, that you can write equations from the POV of any one body. Ptolemaic concentric circles were correct, practically speaking. Applied math works based on observations, no need to know the physics completely. Same way as modern AI/machine learning can develop useful patterns using observations, without understanding the mechanism.
Or maybe she was old enough not to go very far/to shul and family around her were not interested/helpful… I once visited an elderly relative in a remote place. After her husband passed away and she lost her vision, my grandfather O’H would come to her and read her Hagada … When I visited, she went to another room, somehow found her Rosh Hashonah Machzor, and gave it to me, saying – please take it as nobody in my family is using it …
As the story goes, r Moshe’s grandson was manning his phone once. A lady called to find out when is the next Rosh chodesh. The grandson expressed doubt that it is appropriate to call Rosh yeshiva instead of opening a calendar. Annoyed lady said: young man, I am calling for twenty years already and always get the answer
Huju, thank you for reacting to the actual argument. Fracking is indeed suffering financially because of price volatility and Saudis at some point trying to keep price low to destroy fracking. If fracking survives as business, it will serve as a limit on the price. And it may need government not to be hostile to survive. The core problem of course is opec now jointly with Russia manipulate market. In a free market, they would be under arrest already.
As to possible damage to others, us courts are available to resolve the nezek.
Syag, thanks for reminding how this panel was formed. This looks like a hutzpa for a speaker 🔇 to reject reps from another party to sit on the panel. They are all duly elected and she can’t use her political judgment to choose which republicans are legit. This actually can be investigated as overturning results of an election!
Ok, surface temperature 🌡️ conditions.
Apologies for mixing up my hellions! That makes sense then no irony, the goyim are close to their avoda zara during their holiday
I am comparing/contrasting their physical proximity to their idol with our closeness to Hashem at the Rosh HashanahAll, Hashem created the world 🌎 for us to enjoy and put all heavenly bodies at the right distances, velocities, eccentricity, inclination… Show hakaras hatov and check out how all of this works! You would not take a psak on halav hacompanies from internet, but you would trust it on maase bereshis!?
Modern, prices are even lower in Persia… But the price of human life is cheaper in those places too… Oil in us is always cheaper than in Europe due to lower taxes. Bidens policies are against the oil industry, so it is not just free market. We discussed this above. Maybe his policies are responsible for only half of the increase and he gets unfairly blamed for all of it. There’s a simple way to avoid the blame;: have pro business, pro people policies
Ketubot 15 seems to say that there are different rules to determine if someone is Jewish, such as a baby abandoned by his mother. More lenient for monetary support and saving on shabbos, more stringent for marriage. So you may have different levels of Jewishness
If you say that your best learning is before 20, either you are not doing it right or you are younger than 20… If you are learning right before you are 20, then you will, b Ezras Hashem , learn even better when you are older.
And if you are a smart learner, you can find a couple of hours a day to get yourself a job skill. And if you are not, then for sure you need to get a job skill and not plan to earn money from your learning
Jews will be the last people in the world to know how to read books, unless someone kashers a mechanical computer 🖥️ for shabbos. People of the book indeed.
Rw, for America specifically pacific current la Nina and oto haish determine a pattern of earm and cold for a year… Given that these current names are so crudely gendered, they will surely be verboten in the near future
And that is why they are called “currents” . So when they will bam these sexist currents, climate change will cease and all years will be equally cool. Omen.
Ps my Freudian spell check tried to change omen to womenFor bochrim specifically this could be a problem of Morris Ayin, people thinking that they are smoking 🚬.and of hillul Hashem, people thinking that their parents and Rebbes let them
Ecigs in theory could be a great mitzvah for those who are addicted and have hard time quitting. Could have saved millions of lives… Unfortunately,. producers forfeited their olam habo for a chance to profit from marketing them to new users. Maybe this is a great example how reshayim get profit, literally, in this world 🌎 instead of the other one
Interesting re mortality. May explain why Chinese allegedly started the pandemic to resolve their pension obligations that arised due to their 1 child policy