commonsaychel

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  • in reply to: Exodus From NYC #1919918
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    A article in the NY Post shows that over 300,000 households have left NYC,

    Top ZIP codes New Yorkers exited between March 1 and Oct. 31, 2020, with the number of change of address requests for each area:

    1. Upper West Side, 10023: 3,368
    2. Upper West Side, 10025: 3,000
    3. Murray Hill, 10016: 2,889
    4. Upper West Side, 10024: 2,708
    5. Chelsea/Greenwich Village, 10011: 2,520
    6. Upper East Side, 10128: 2,165
    7. Downtown Brooklyn, 11201: 1,836
    8. Gramercy/East Village, 10003: 1,677
    9. Upper East Side, 10028: 1,631
    10. Midtown East, 10022: 1,410
    11. Midtown West, 10019: 1,484
    12. Upper East Side, 10021: 1,506
    13. Chelsea, 10001: 1,222
    14. West Village, 10014: 1,192
    15. Park Slope, Brooklyn, 11215: 1,006
    16. Rose Hill/Peter Cooper Village, 10010: 1,002
    17. Midtown, 10018: 987
    18. Tribeca/Chinatown, 10013: 899
    19. Midtown, 10036: 837
    20. East Village, 10009: 728

    in reply to: Deep trouble ahead for the yeshivas under Biden #1919665
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @huhu all the evidence you need is that someone like Randi Weingarten is under consideration.

    in reply to: Deep trouble ahead for the yeshivas under Biden #1919639
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @akuperm: “Given the results of the Congressional elections, Biden is unlikely to do anything especially radical about any policy.” I guess hashem sent the refuah before the Makkah, but they can still make peoples lives misrable with rules and regs.
    BTW I am 100% agreement with you about the overdependence of the yeshiva on government funds, my father told me that when all this started in the 50s and 60s they were a sizable minority who were opposed to using government funds for yeshivas.

    in reply to: election campaign spending #1919328
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    I just saw the numbers out of the 17th CD NY, Josh Eisen spent $205 per vote for the 5,700 votes he got, i guess there is nothing worse then a fool and his money

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1919310
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @se2015, your wrong, it did have overnight , for some reason you are focusing at the national level, take Jerry Nadler for example he always won big in Boro Park from the year he was he was elected and now a unknown who didn’t campaign won BP 17,000 to 3,700, Monsey usually votes Democratic and went GOP 3 to 1 for down ballot people

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1919237
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @alwaysaskquestions,” I don’t think there was much of a shift. If you saw exit polls showing otherwise, let me know. Both sides brought people who did not vote last time.”

    Read what I wrote “What is interesting is the seismic shift in voting Republican in the Frum olam”
    I am not talking about exit polls in Oskosh WI. Kalamazoo Mi or Pine Bluff Ar. I am talking about right here in our frum community, and it happened, read my first post about the results.

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1919243
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @se2015, “Of course that doesn’t explain the blind attachment to an immoral party over the last few years.”
    Yup that is probably it, there was a blind attachment to the Democrats that still exists in certain parts of MO and secular Jewish community, the Democrat’s attracted every immoral tilth and the Frum voted for them anyway holding the nose [ with the exception of Rav Avigdor Miller ztl and a small group of his followers], We watched as those who hate us being welcome in open arms into the Democratic Party till this year they said enough is enough and swung to the GOP

    in reply to: Will Biden Throw Israel Under the Bus? #1919108
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    they would thrown under the bus in a nanosecond to appease AOC and the now 100 members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1919001
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @always ask questions, and what exactly does that explain the huge shift to the GOP for other candidates?

    in reply to: Election Fraud #1918958
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Lets see who is singing the count each vote song? its every Congressional Democrat who is trailing, ie Suazzi, Rose, Balter, etc. etc. Its every Democratic State Senator and Assembly Member who is trailing

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1918915
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @smerel and withheld, this is not about the frum/ Jewish support of Trump vs other ethnic groups but the huge shift of support by frum to the GOP down ballot that never occurred before, for example Jerry Nadler was trounced in Boro Park 17,000 to 3,700 by a nobody who never campaigned. Was it because Nadler took a lead roll in the impeachment, came out against the embassy move and in favor of the Iran deal or is it a shift in the default allegiance to the GOP?

    in reply to: Affinity for Donald Trump #1918904
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Ruvain, Frum is generally used to describe an Orthodox Jew a/k/a a Shomer Shabbos, Avi Berkowitz was the first “Frum” person who worked in the west wing.

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918814
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @crazykanoiy, you say look the the party as a whole and you will see its centrist, that is a laugh, look at the projected numbers for the 2020, the Blue Dog Coalition is projected to shrink to to 17 and the Progressive caucus to grow to 100.

    @CharlieHall
    , any Congressmember who is gay and opposes Israel is nuts, Hamas excutes people if they are gay. Jones was J street endorsed but I am not worried, he won in a 7 way primary and if tacks far left he is a one termer.

    in reply to: Trump support or a shift in thinking #1918673
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @CharlieHall,Bloomberg was a democrat who use the GOP as a flag of convenience

    in reply to: Affinity for Donald Trump #1918540
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Reb E & GH, this is a whole other thread about the character vs issue, this deals about the level of his support not about him as a person.
    GH, the support went beyond beeping minivans on the GSP, look at the election returns.

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918442
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Charlie Hall, the mere fact that BLM even ever had the vitriolic Anti Semitic – Anti Israel position should scare the heck out of every Jew, they retracted the statment after a huge amount of negitive PR, a Leopard never changes its spots.
    As to your second part of your statement

    “Protests were “necessary,” the Democratic candidate for Vice President said, as “the people’s voices must be heard, and it is often the people who must speak to get their government to do what it is supposed to do, but may not do naturally unless the people speak loudly — and obviously peacefully.”
    Harris also praised the “brilliance” and “impact” of Black Lives Matter, without criticizing the ongoing violence at rallies held in the organization’s name in cities across the country, nor the shooting of two police officers in Louisville. “I actually believe that ‘Black Lives Matter’ has been the most significant agent for change within the criminal justice system,” the former California Attorney General said.”
    Give me a break, I stand by my words 1000%.

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918449
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @crazyKanoiy, are you kidding me?? the 17th CD is a Liberal stronghold? That Rockland and Westchester Counties, Trump won Rockland with 65% of the vote and Jones opponent won 40% of the Westchester vote in spite of not campaigning and spending the grand total of $10,000 on her campaign.
    Bigger proof the the national democratic congressional sentiments is the the fact the blue dog coalition is 26 members a mere 10% of the Congressional Democrats and Congressional Progressive Caucus has 95 members of 40% of the Democratic congress members.

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918267
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @CrazyKano “The one Democratic poll that matters is the Democratic primary which was won by one of the most centrist Democrats in the pack ”
    Lets see, Bowman beat Engle, Jones replace Lowy, sadly I think your out of touch with reality.
    PS Josh Gottheimer race was rated safe Democratic from the onset, all of Teaneck could of voted for the other guy and he would have still won.

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918104
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Any Jew who cares about Israel should be as scared as heck of the Biden Administration, read the Black Lives Matter position on Israel, and Harris marches in lockstep with BLM.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1918068
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @gadol, just about everything in Israel is politics, from the type of kippa/hat, to the hechsher that you eat to the way you vote. a Dati Leumi will only vote for Mizachi, a Sefardi will only vote Shas, a Litvsher will only got for Degel, a Chasidisher will only vote for Agudah Etc. it is so ingrained there that a Rav really does not need make directives, they just vote because how they vote is self understood.
    the endorsement of a Rav can make the difference of winning or losing for example the special election for congress after Anthony Weiner resigned.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917881
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    ChanaiaL, you obviously have zero grasp of Rockland County politics. the districts I listed were random districts from across town to show you the strength of Weber’s Support. Actually there are 108 ED in the town, of that about 50% are exclusively frum so we are talking about roughly 55 districts that are only frum, of the remaining districts about 30 are half frum, mostly Airmont, Chestnut Ridge, Wesley and New Hempstead, so about 23 districts don’t have a frum presence, I suggest you go to the Rockland BOE website and look at the Town of Ramapo map and the district by district breakdown.
    It would be helpful if you know what your talking about before you write your comments.
    PS Lawler wiped the floor with Jaffee is district that were heavy Dem, its a loser clique to say it anti over till is over.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917832
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @ChaninaL, Is Ellen Jaffee going to rise from the dead after the absentee voter count? How about Donald Trump in PA? Max Rose and Andrew Gounardes? at they all suddenly going to win?
    I am talking facts and numbers not wishful thinking.
    FYI not sure if you have the entire race numbers from Monsey so here goes a sampling:
    District 20 [New Hempstead] Melnick 23 Weber 240, District 28 [Concord] Melnick 56 Weber 272, District 40 [Central Monsey] Melnick 20 Weber 376, District 60 [Airmont] Melnick 59 Weber 434
    District 56 [Forshay] Melnick 69 Weber 521, District 84 [Olympia/ Hoton Bates] Melnick 20 Weber 582 District 96 [Spring Valley] Melnick 85 Weber 388
    THE FRUM VOTE DOES MATTER!

    in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1917812
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    The greater question should be should the Americans living in Israel leave? there will be a lot more pressure on the Israeli Government during the Biden administration then pressure on the American Jews with a GOP senate in control.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917807
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @huju The frum vote was instrumental in throwing out a 14 year incumbent left wing assemblywoman and flipping a state senate district red in Rockland county, the frum vote was instrumental in flipping the 11 Congressional district and the 20 State senate district red in Brooklyn and Staten Island, so the frum vote mattered on the down ballot.
    BTW the frum vote went heavy for Trump in Miami
    PS on a per diem basis I am willing to bet that there were far more Anti Semites supporting Biden compared to Trump. Read BLM stand on Israel.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917777
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Charlie Hall, Riverdale is only about 1/3 orthodox, remainder being left of center so its hardly indicative of the MO thinking.
    I did check Frum area of Far Rockaway and Trump beat Biden 2,3,4, to 1 depending of the district, Trump beat Biden 4 to 1 in Belle Harbor,
    Trump beat Bden 4 to 1 in the frum districts of KGH, Kew Gardens and Forest Hills
    These votes are much more reflective of the thinking of the MO community then an area where they only account for a third of the vote,

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917591
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @godalhatorah, I checked the 2016 results and in New Square 130 people broke ranks with the leadership and voted for Trump over Hillary and in Kiras Yoel the vote was 50/50 inspite of the fact that the leadership supported Hillary.
    Just wondering if you have such accolades for those “independent minded voters” of 2016

    in reply to: EY Rebuilding Bridges with EY #1917393
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Frankly I would not hold my breath, Bernie AOC and company will dictate his foreign policy.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917384
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Godalhatorah, Ok lets take the rest of the Greater Monsey Area, Wesley Hills, New Hempstead, Pomona, Chestnut Ridge, Airmont, these are populated by MO, Yeshivish and independent minded chasidim, Trump won those areas by 3,4,5 to 1.
    How about his victory in Flatbush?
    You love to quote Chazal, how about this quote acharay rabim lhotos

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917356
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Bored Guy, the entire Lakewood Township population is 106,352 of that 35% of the population is under the age of 18 making the the 18 plus population 69127. Factor in about 4000 non citizens being in the total eligible voter to about 65,000. Actual number of registered voters in Lakewood 48537 and that including ALL residents Jewish and not Jewish

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917226
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Gadolhatorah, for years we were captive to the Democaric machine, BH we finally broke the chains to the DEMS

    in reply to: Now What? #1917157
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Hashem sent the refuah before the makkah, a net change of one senator and both new Dem senators are moderates, at least 15 seats will flip red forcing Pelosi to compromise.

    in reply to: how the frum olam voted #1917153
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Silent Moshe, Governor Cuomo also knows that the Frum vote in Rockland unseated an 14 year Democratic Incumbent who gave nothing but grief to the frum in addition to flipping the State Senate seat red. The frum area in Staten Island also flipped an assembly district red.

    @Coffee
    addict, the vote breakdown is given by assembly district, since Rosenthal’s district does not have a heavy cluster of frum in one area its hard to pinpoint the Queens vote, I also tried to get a breakdown of the five town vote and was unable to.

    in reply to: Now What? #1917121
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Catch Yourself, sorry you were awarded the Chicken Little title for your constant complaining that the shuls should not open

    in reply to: Straight Republican Ticket #1916766
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Well it looks like it happened, I looked at the results in the frum areas of Brooklyn, Rockland, Orange, Sullivan, Nassau counties NY and Ocean County NJ and i saw a HUGE straight GOP line vote

    in reply to: Down Ballot Races #1916674
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    NJ 3 Kim relected
    NY 13 Rose Defeated
    State Senate 22 Bruno elected
    State Senate 38 Weber elected
    Assembly 97 Lawler Elected
    so 4 of the five races the GOP flipped the seat

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1916480
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @yytz Lets see, who has more of a following the 6 undersigned Rabbis or Rabbi Lichenstein and Rabbi Genack, not even close, my guess is that Rabbi Druckman and Rabbi Lior each have 10 times the followers of Lichenstein and Genack.
    PS NPR just did a write up on the voters in Israel

    in reply to: Down Ballot Races #1916425
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @ulm I am asking about those races in particular because they are toss ups and how the frum vote plays out can make the difference

    in reply to: spanking #1916413
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @johnklets my rebbe in cheder use to do that all the time. I think he enjoyed it, but then again they were less selective who they took.

    in reply to: Straight Republican Ticket #1916280
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    There is a huge push to vote a straight GOP line in Rockland County to send a message to the NY Democracts that we are very angry.

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1916210
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    so long as its postmarked by election day it will count

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1916140
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @slimshim, copy and paste of exact same thing in 3 separate topic

    in reply to: Esav and Trump, Red and Orange #1916137
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Exact same post 3 separate topics

    in reply to: character vs policy Which is more important? #1916136
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Slimshim, how exact same post in 3 different topic, a all new record

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1916062
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @thefrumguy, because its individuals making the endorsement not the organization, the African American churches do that all the time

    in reply to: Everyone must vote!! #1916016
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @CT Rebbe, Florida is a swing state and has a significant Frum population

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1916013
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Takahmamash, Rabbis Fendel and Shapria are both US citizens and there is a large number of dual nationals in Israel who they are moreh derch on, including from a lot of swing states such as PA, FL, GA, AZ, MI and WI, so this is not insignificant

    in reply to: Daati Leumi/RZ Rabbonim call on public to vote for Donald Trump #1915919
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    Wow, no response from the MO readers?

    in reply to: character vs policy Which is more important? #1915798
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Reb E, I no longer read anything you say from a torah prospective, anyone who can justify what Bill Clinton did has ZERO credibility to say anything from a torah point of view.

    in reply to: character vs policy Which is more important? #1915782
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Reb E, do us all a favor and cease quoting torah, anyone who can defend Bill Clinton actions in the White House is not worthy of discussing dvar torah with.

    in reply to: character vs policy Which is more important? #1915679
    commonsaychel
    Participant

    @Reb E, the GNP grew in 2017,18 and 19 much more then in Bill Clintons days. As far as the Jews he was much better the Clinton ever was.

Viewing 50 posts - 2,301 through 2,350 (of 2,803 total)