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Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant
>> Israel’s Covid strategy – besides the vaccines which he deserves credit for – was simply put;
So, for those in US who feel slighted that Americans did not give Trump credit for vaccines, here is Bibi who vaccinated more than anyone in the world short of a Rock of Gibraltar – still not good enough for Israelis…
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantujm >> presumably, you know the source for Emunas Chachamim.
In a Baraita in a list after Derech Eretz and a good heart? I would refer you to 2007 Essay by R Nachum Rabinowitch “What is “Emunat Ḥakhamim” where he defines Emunas Chachamim to include a very respectful attitude towards halakhic rulings, and a requirement to understand the reasoning behind them, as the individual himself remains responsible for his action (more so in divrei reshut, if I understand him correctly). Many people use Daas Torah somewhat differently. I am not learned enough to know whether Chasam Sofer meant that.
It is also not my intention to analyze Arizal, I’m busy understanding pshat to be so presumptuous to weigh on kabbalah. I thought you asked that question. Unless there are tw2o ujms here (maybe a sitra aherah?).
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> If someone has stock in a chametzdig corporation,
I see quotes By Dayan Shlomo Cohen from Igrot Moshe Even Ha’Ezer 1:7 that an insignificant ownership is not a problem (Rav Cohen’s estimate 3%), and Minhat Yitzhak, Vol. 3 1:11 that it is but be sold with your other hometz. The latter opinion makes investment in treif, shabbat violations, forbidden interest. Badatz offers kosher stocks.
On a lighter nbote, I hope you do not hold HMZ and HMTZ stocks (looks like some Metals and a Russian Chemical plant, but they just do not sound right!)
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> no progressive income tax.
here are a couple of principles I can glean from Bava Basra –
1) taxes should preferably be allocated according to the benefit: paying for the wall may be according to number of people, level of danger, etc. That is, when possible, use “user fees”. For example, gasoline tax or turnpike fees look better than income tax – as long as they pay for the roads themselves.2) apply wisdom, if possible, and use majority if not. A case of a guild who limited competition and then cut the skins of those who broke the rules. They are told that they should go to a Talmid Chacham in their city. If there is none, they are ok to follow majority.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> Divrei Chaim says sefard not to ashkenaz
I presume he means Chasidic nusach, not nusach Sefardim. I think we need to recognize this as it is – innovations, not supported by previous sources. It may or may not be obvious to the reader when sources are quoted in a line without times. MA (17th cent), Pri Megadim (18th), Diveri Chaim (19th).
Also, according to the summary of the letter in YWN a couple of years ago, Divrei Chaim seems to recommend the practice (a) for refined people, (b) trusting the gedolim of the generation
>> anyone whose soul is refined can rely on the leaders of the generation,Interesting, if we accept that Chasam Sofer was a major innovator of the notion of Daas Torah, then here Divrei Chaim is using DT to overturn Chasam Soifer stand on Tefilah (“with all due respect”, I mean Divrei Chaim to Chasam Soifer). “Refined souls” footnote seem to be forgotten also, as now it is nushach recommended to the whole community. Interestingly, I don’t think Sefardim proper, at least in our times. think that it is good for Ashkenazim to switch Nusach the way (some) Chasidim do.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCommon, >> secular education down the throats… Satmar Rebbe Shilta sat side by side.
good example – does it mean they’ll tell everyone to not get secular education? Long ago, one person was invited by the Satmar Rebbe to be a doctor during a yom tov. When they had a minute to talk, he volunteered that he is not just a doctor, that he is getting a semicha soon … The response was – besser rofeh cholim mimatir asurim … Maybe the semicha was too modernishe, but still
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantSyag: you are missing the basics.
Syag, I asked you and others multiple times to explain your position, either in simple terms or in theory. I even suggested at the top of this thread several references to such controversial MO Rabbis as Vilna Gaon, Netziv, Ball HaTanya. You continue saying that I am not getting it right and not telling me what is right.You seemed appalled with some statements that sound non-controversial to me. To pick an example – that “Daas Torah” (if it exists) is a Democratic (or maybe more precisely, Republican) institution – there is a certain hierarchy with multiple branches up and everyone at each level makes selections whom to ask hard questions and this way Jewish community (hopefully) organizes around a Talmid Chacham. I am aware that Moshe Rabeinu was not selected this way. But this seems how things happen in our days. Is it different in your community? Do you follow a strict hereditary Rebbe – always to the oldest son?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCommon: Imagine if Trump did that what ENS, AAQ, Charlie Hall and the rest would be saying
Common, your argument can be extended further: list all crimes that Trump was not proven of, despite everyone from NY to Peter Shtup investingating? With what we now know about NY gov, I presume he made a couple of calls encouraging such investigators. With the business and private life Trump had, you have to be a tzaddik gamur, not to have anything found in almost 6 years already. Latest I read in a lib rag that someone wants to compel son of Trump’s accountant to cooperate based on him not paying taxes when Trump let the guy live on his property for free.
I had to double-check whether the article was not about Jimmy Carter or Mother TeresaAlways_Ask_QuestionsParticipantTOI >> The gemara says
you meant “gemOra” because Sephardi GemArah is apparently OK with the vertical.
And stop disturbing shalom in Reb Eliezer’s home! from his description of his family, he is doing _something_ right! maybe it is a proof that his 22.5 degree mezuzah is working
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> Tur and Shulchan Aruch long preceded Chasidus.
There are Chasidim all over Gemorah. It is like “liberals” and old-time “Liberals”….Even then, they did not always lived to the name. The one in Bava Basra 7b built a gate house and poor would not come to him (your theme, Charlie!), so Eliahu stopped coming.
by the way, could someone help me answer a basic question about this – did not the Chasid realize that he was wrong after Eliahu stopped coming?! If yes, did not he take the gate house down?! If yes, sounds like Eliahu still did not come back?! Does it mean that the character flaw of not thinking what could happen is that great?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcharlie >>Well I wish we did have Netanyahu as the US head of government
Charlie, you understand, of course, that were you to live in Israel and have similar political views to the ones you have now – you would be cursing Bibi left and right and explaining why he did not do anything to get vaccines, they appeared by themselves. Maybe thinking this over could make you think about hidden biases that diminish our thinking abilities.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> much more generous welfare state.
Not always. It is somewhat hard to compare policies across mutiple times and income levels, but again we have arguments for being generous and for having limits:
We have an argument that even a poor person has to have Pesach wine EVEN MIN hatamhui! usually, a person is eligible for public food if he does not have food for 2 meals. [similar to medicaid requirement to have no more than $2,000 or something like that]. At other times, a person “should make his shabbat like chol” but not ask for support. At the swame time, we are supposed to maintain a rich person at his level (this sounds like a distinction between unemployment and welfare).THere are several agadot, I think in Bava Kamma, about poor people asking for “stuffed chicken”, one does not get it, is offered same beans as Rav (?) himself is eating and dies fromn it. In the other case, Rav(?)’s sister arrives at that very moment from far away and brings a “stuffed chicken” with her.
I thin this is “complicated”
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCharlie: They inderstood 1500 years ago that markets are imperfect
Maybe I was too brief – R’ Huna’s solution was specifically to combine charity with market power. The market was “imperfect” before his intervention, he enabled/”made the market” (same thing that midrash mentions about Yaakov): R’ Huna waited till the end of the market to buy leftovers. Farmers, who would know R’Huna would buy leftovers, would not hesitate to bring a little more perishables, thus lowering the prices to benefit poor people. Furthermore, he will _not_ distribute food he bought. If he were, the poor will not buy on the market and wait for his charity. Question was asked – how could he waste that food? answer – “throwing down the river” means people in other places (not connected to this market) will pick it up. Similar to USDA buying extra food from US farmers and donating overseas.
It shows that it is possible to pursue both goals – economic activity and charity. You may have to do trade-offs some time, but you need to keep both in mind.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantI obviously don’t know who the author is, but if his occupation is Toirah Learning (as implied by “bein hazmanim” reference), then where did the minhag of taking vacations start? I understand that bein hazmanim in Gemorah referred to a need to go home and work the field.
Netziv was convinced by family and doctors to take a vacation on Lithuanian lakes. He ran away back home from boredom. Rav Salanter did go to the “waters”, but did not eat mehadrin on the way because he was using OPM (other people’s money). This would not apply if you earn your own money, of course.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantThey would not call him אשכנזי for no reason! you would not be called a “New Yorker”, if everyone around you were New Yorkers …. But he definitely was not a Litvak or a Galitzianer!
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCharlie >> Regarding business conduct the Torah is arguably to the left of Bernie Sanders
This is an interesting topic. You can find both pro-business and pro-worker laws in the Torah. Obviously, and Can we be more specific with the claims?
for example, we have a Gemora how Talmidei Chachamim tried to ban yetzer hara when coming back from Bavel (Sanhedrin 64)- and caused a chicken recession. We see here that yes we want people to not follow their own interest and desires, but economy is not working without it. A pro-business President Coolidge said something similar to his wife, but this is a family website.Rav Huna had some ideas about helping poor (Taanit 20b): he would break dangerous walls. If the owner could afford it, he would have to rebuild himself. If not, R Huna would (not sure, whether it means as his private charity or community funds). More interesting is his approach to an imperfect market where farmers bring food into the city. He did not buy food to feed the poor so they would not rely on him. Instead, he would pay farmers for left-over food and send it down the river. That is, farmers are not afraid to bring more food and, thus, there will be more competition and poor will get cheaper food. So, he worried about helping poor, keeping them independent, and making economy better.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCommon end haverav – you are not providing any positive explanations – what did you ask, what was the answer you got, and, hopefully, an explanation why this course of action is better than the other.
Explanation may help us understand to whom your ruling would be applicable.And you are continue confusing me – so public pronouncements by Roshei Yeshivot are not of interest to anyone? Nobody follows Roshei Yeshivot but instead ask their own Rav? Do Roshei Yeshivot not have students? I am very confused by your claims.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCommon, you are right, I probably last been in Lakewood when R Wachtfogel Z’L was alive. I do keep us with the new. but in this case seeing is probably better than hearing indeed. So, thanks for assuring me that these were not yeshiva-connected people who did not listen to Roshei Yeshivot, but some Brooklyn transplants.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantSyag, Common, I am trying to learn from people here how they use daas Torah, and so far, I am coming empty-handed. I may have missed some posts, but I did not see anyone confirming that they personally asked a shaila and what kind of an answer they got. If you asked but were sworn to secrecy, just say so, I’ll respect that.
Syag > You cannot apply global statistics to a specific area.
While this is a great truth in general, and an area of my study and parnasah in particular, I think you are using this notion to support your denial. Are you saying that people in your area are great tzadikim have better outcomes than others? I think it is generally not recommended to draw on your zehuyot in this world. It could be that you are defining your community too narrow, so that you are randomly lucky. As an illustration, there is research showing that death rate in nursing homes is 50% higher when they are located near universities, with COVID unwittingly brought there by nurses who are also enrolled in school, despite them being careful. Would an individual nurse or a college student observe that connection? No.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliya > Interesting idea, but I personally prefer to be open about my bias.
Agree. This is 2nd best thing to trying to question your bias.
> Israeli right-wing parties are conservative but not libertarian.
Also, agree. Bibi is probably the first pro-business PM, previous Likudniks were on the right politically
but still reasonably pro-government on economics.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDon’t make Arizal responsible for Jews in Ukraine or Belorussia changing their minhagim. They made their own decisions.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantSyag: unless you literally cut yourself off from all living beings, you probably got it somewhere in the following 12 months. Stop thinking everyone who got covid was negligent or ignorant
I am absolutely not claiming that everyone who got sick is at fault. And it is obvious that people have different circumstances – some taking care of patients or relatives, some send kids to grandparents because there is nowhere else to go, etc. At the same time, I am rejecting your fatalism that if it is dangerous out there, then we should give up on precautions. If I understand your description, you people are not very careful, then some of the sick people are due to your being not careful. You semi-acknowledge that those in your area who were slightly more careful got it a year later. This is, of course, already a great thing, as you are saying – as medical treatment now is better, about half of people getting sick a year later will pass away.. it is a big difference.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon >> @AAQ, how about I was in Lakewood and saw it first hand the purim went on as normal
I did not use google to tell me what happens in Lakewood on Purim. I used it to find Rabonim asking for precautions. It would be sad if you are right and all these youngeles did not hear or did not listen … I wish they were able to go to a yeshiva that teaches them to respect their elders.
I am still thinking that things are not as bad as you are saying. It is a matter of perception – we see people out and about and do not see those who are sitting at home. When I read YWN article about Ponevezh Rosh Yeshiva having a first public shiur in a year, and only to vaccinated students, I thought I never saw mentioned that he was not in public. Probably, there are other like that. So, I acknowledge your personal observation but refuse to believe lashon hara that noone listens to Rabbis at Lakewood.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantEmes>> As the Republican party refuses to deal with climate change
What is your position on green nuclear energy? It should be able to save the world.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantAJ – interesting note. Indeed, seems like the groups that abruptly changed minhagim (to be fair – mostly towards Jewish minhagim from other groups), are now the most militant in holding to them …Could one use this as a reason to return to previous minhagim? On one hand, the new minhag is a multi-generation neder. On the other hand, someone might say that he is shocked to discover that his great-grand-father was a Litvak and, were his ancestors more aware of this fact and how the matzo balls taste, they would surely have eaten it!
PS The slippery part of this logic is that Chassidim might have tasted matzo balls on the 8th day, but one can argue that they lost the art or that matzo balls taste special on the first day of Pesach
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE: between Rashi and Tosfas whether to place the mezuza horizantialy or verticaly
your compromise is that you have a mezuza at the angle that nobody likes. We just put 2 mezuzot. Or you can have 2 entrances and multiple rooms with mezuzot at random angles. Or no mezuzot, as shalom bais is a bigger segulah than mezuzah.
CTLawyer: ‘uninvolve’ your families
There is another wise advice – let (mothers)-in-laws take a position to support the other side of the family in the dispute.
One old book on ethnic psychology in the chapter on Jews says that the Jewish families differ as, instead of each person following advise given to him specifically, start all discussing roles of everyone else. Like this room.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon – I just googled that Lakewood Rabbonim called for various safety measures and reduced fesitivities. Are you saying that people disregarded that? I presume you simply saw people who came and did not see people who did not come. And those who came are not careful all the time, so half were already immune. Where I live, there is a pretty representative group of people from Lakewood, some recent arrivals, and while a larger number of them walking maskless is larger than in other populations, there are a lot who are complying with government and Rabbi’s orders.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon, how do you know it is “in spite” and not because many were careful? Also, with elderly people getting vaccinated, b’ezrat Hashem, there will be less visible signs
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliya, I am the center. Everyone on the right of me is a Nazi, everyone on the left of me – a Commie. Try using this attitude, it really works! Common is mistaking mask wearing for left-of-centre.
Seriously speaking, there are multiple dimensions in politics – economic, social, international. For example, Israeli haredi parties are on the right are on the right socially, but on the left economically. US 2-party system forces people into two large camps, which has a lot of benefits, but clarity of mind is not one of them.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE >> The rich use more government infrastructure, so they need to pay more taxes.
I agree, this is a great way to estimate. Well, rich would pay more in taxes even without progressive taxation, just as a percentage of their higher income. What do we want from the government? some protection is per person – and that should be a “hetzi shekel”, same amount for everyone. Life has the same value. Other protection is for property – and that should be progressive: the more property someone has, the more he benefits from the government.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantA medical observation: there are several esteemed CR mebers who have enormous erudition and chesed in some aspects – some in Midrashim, others in Science, but then fall to pretty generic unsupported statements when Pres Trump’s shadow appears in the topic. We should stop worrying about long COVID and start worrying about, lo aleinu, long TDS. Refuah Shleimah.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliyah: Trump haters spew easily debunked ‘motzi shem ra’ too.
Why don’t we all stop? This is a Jewish forum, after all. I don’t think halakha allows being first in lying or second. I suggest making genuine arguments, rather then repeating what you saw on another channel.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantem, not sure where your partner is holding, but right now you can go through Pesach – from Hagada to cleaning and product kashrus. Use zoom/whatsapp to review the labels, matza quality and maybe even search for missed hametz 🙂
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantGadol,
2017 tax law had specific goals. It was, after all, a _tax_ law. You may disagree with them. fine.
Current is the “covid relief” bill that incorporates numerous policy items. News items discuss checks to taxpayers, leaving the policy almost unmentioned. That is my objection here. I am not discussing policy preferences.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE,
according to my quick test, you can cram 25K bills into a cubic ft. You can re-test at home using your stimulus funds.I don’t usually get payoffs in egg boxes, what is the size used by meir’s generous donors?
PS shoebox dollar carrying capacity was litigated in Brooklyn District Court in 2005 during Gotti trial.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCTLawyer, you are right – some states won, some lost, with -0.4% on average accordin to today’s WSJ. Here is their list from the bottom up to -2%: several big R- states among quite some of D-s:).
Alaska Oregon Hawaii North Dakota Nevada (-9) Florida (-8) Texas (-7) Montana Louisiana Oklahoma (-4) West Virginia Minnesota Connecticut (-2) New Hampshire Pennsylvania New York
here is the top down to +3%, not overwhelmingly D- or R-:
Arizona (-40) Nebraska (-12) Rhode Island Vermont Alabama Colorado South Dakota Utah IdahoI am not sure what is a fair way to help out several bottom states, maybe by supporting their struggling industries, looks like hospitality and oil?, or by indeed giving all states some reasonable amounts. Total US state revenue is $2.1T, local is $1.6T. So, $400B would be 10% of their total budget. This seems out of proportion of the problem – there are only 7 states with this type of reduction.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE: The rich do not grow the economy, if they don’t do capital investment to provide jobs.
Agreed. And, presumably, that is what they do. You are quoting someone who tries to convince you that “at this moment”, rich are not using their money productively (buybacks?!) – and thus we should take it from them and do better. I know Hashem decides who is rich, but I don’t think he delegated this to the federal government.
Either this is “partially correct” information – do we fully know where money goes – or, for some reason, investors temporarily are not investing. Maybe they feel that it is too risky or there is less incentive due to anticipated taxes, or there are less taxes in other countries. Either way, it is either a temporary rational decision, or something that can be fixed by better economic policies. For example, Obama was threatening companies that moved headquarters from US with no effect, Trump reduced corp taxes and companies came back.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantP>vaccine doesn’t increase a chance of a mutation. it increases non-mutations’ demise but the probability of a mutation occurring not only doesn’t increase, it actually decreases.
We often use similar expressions. Wind “blows”, economy grows. We have “yad Hashem”, etc.
To be precise with language, a half-baked vaccine or a half-baked vaccination increases a chance that a mutation that can survive the vaccine takes over the world.Scenario 1: everyone is vaccinated quickly, virus propagation decreases rapidly, and it stays in small pockets in remote areas with small chances of mutation. (number of mutations is proportional to number of virus available = (number of people carrying it) X (virus per person)
Scenario 2: partial vaccination with fixed vaccine. Rt less than 1, say 0.98. Amount of virus slowly decreases, while having a lot of chances to mutate. The less there is of the virus, the less careful people are, the more chances for the virus to stay in the game. Each mutation that can fool the vaccine will have higher chance to survive, so while overall prevalence is decreasing with increasing resistance. At some point, it can get to a mutation that vaccine is not helping against, it then starts propagating fast because people are not careful, so it ends up[ with mutation “growing”
Scenario 3: mRNA vaccine will be quickly re-targeted, this is being tried right now, and surveillance will identify new mutations quickly.
Scenario 4: Russians and Chinese come up with stronger strains that do not kill only people who drink vodka or eat bats. L’Chaim and bono appetito.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY >> Technically, it would take longer. Unless individuals in the home would isolate from each other as well.
You are right. That is why it takes a kid to observe that the solution is technically simple – everyone stays by themselves for 2 weeks … the key being everyone. Of course, this is not feasible, but the ideal looks good.
This is almost like Bradbury’s Sound of Thunder, where one wrong step changes history. Think of it, the guy who either ate the bat or threw it in the garbage in the lab did a similar thing.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantakuperma, interesting comparison w/ Reagan.
Reagan had very specific ideas that he was able to articulate and lead others with that.
Biden lacks these, although, I would agree that he has some principles that he was able to articulate and can use to guide his positions even if he is not fully there.But someone would need to keep him in check. This is a favor that media does to Republicans, but not always to Democrats. Obama would have benefited from having his policies discussed in the open. His intuition for a beer summit was a good one.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliya is asking a good question – where is the boundary for risk? What does Gemora mean by “saving one life = saving the whole world”. I understand halakhic guidelines as what is seen as normal in daily activity. This is, of course, relative. There were times during human history where COVID would not be considered much comparing with damage by other illnesses and by people to each other ….
But before doing a cut-off, we need to first order threats according to their danger and describe costs of preventing them, and then apply some limits based on danger and costs. Naturally, Jewish considerations might be different from US government .. for example, there is an issue of your own decision in a famous case where you are at the wheel of a train that is going to hit 5 people, are you allowed to turn to the different track where you will hit “just” 1 person…
but, back to basics:
it seems that current COVID dangers are way over car crashes and flu. So, it is worth paying attention to before addressing flu.
what about costs – many here listed mental, learning, societal costs. Ok, so let’s list what we can do to address COVID sorting from those that are easy on people. At the same time, some might be machmir especially on themselves if they value their Yiddishkeit.Some simple ideas, tell me whether you are doing them or are they high maintenance?
– open windows in shul and school
– not flying for vacation
– ordering delivery from the store instead of going there
– learning with your child for one day a week, or forming a small group with neighbors, instead of sending to a crowded school
– going one time less to shul, or not talking there, or not staying for kiddushSome of this may require a small effort or even cots, but, I think, not more than shlepping to buy shmurah matza or buying an esrog mehadrin. Presumably, those who are not machmir in this, simply do not consider this a mitzvah, but just a consideration that they can entertain lightly “how about the flu”, rather than asking shailos and learning tosafos.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE, not sure whether these numbers are going … but
$1.9T is 19 thousands TONS of $100s – not counting the weight of the boxes! – too heavy for Hunter to sneak it out on his own.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantre: Israeli matzos. Let’s not bad mouth it.
We should not confuse actual quality and market forces. I recall a story that some Americans used to sneer at Sifrei Torah imported from Europe – it was of low quality. European view was: where else can you sell a low-quality Sefer if not in America?!
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE: It did not affect the economy to invest in capital enhancements by increasing jobs but used for stock buy back.
Look, I think we need to be humble here. I am not an economist, and possibly you are none also. And even if we were, “best of the economists to Gehinom” ^BS^BS, I mean, “predicted 10 out of last 5 recessions”. So, any smart economist can convince us with some magical thinking about “no inflation”, “just buying back stock”,”invest in the future”. We have no idea whether this arguments are true or they simply highlight one part of the picture, while ignoring another, on purpose or not.
So, I am always trying to look at simplest fundamentals: when you “tax the rich” in US, you forcibly take money from those who earned it, mostly thru business, rather than just inheritance, and give it to someone else who (a) needs it, (b) is not so productive. So, you want to take as little as possible and also give it to the right people who need it with right incentives.
With that said, Trump’s policies achieved improved employment for many disadvantaged groups – that is better help than welfare [omit nonsense that improvement was at the same rate as during Obama – Obama’s rate was from peak of unemployment to good economy 2 times longer than usual, and worse if you count broader measures due to many people going off-market, while Trump took it from nominally good employment to below “natural rate” of unemployment and into pockets of long-term minority unemployment. Just to illustrate the idea – decreasing unemployment from 10% to 8% is not very helpful, but from, say 2% to 0% would be a miracle].
So, now, government is taking a big chunk of money (and we’ll pay for that somehow, of course) and starts giving them away to all kind of interest groups, despite a diminished need for help. How is that good? Why would a long-term senator Biden is better in “investing” money than all businessmen he is taking them from. If he was “on the wrong side of every issue” in foreign policy (al pi Bob Gates), do you think he is better at domestic?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantThe way such bills are popular is well understood in theory: benefits are specific, while costs are diffused. One person sees $1,000 for people w/ children, great! Another – $1,000 for people w/out children, also great! Charlie is seducing us by $2B for private schools. Cool. At the same time, cost of each item is insignificant per tax-payer comparing with a visible benefit, and is also claimed to happen sometime later. This is how every avoda zara/yetzer hara works – shows you an immediate free miracle with the hidden cost later.
If someone, for some reason, wants to see his personal benefit, you can count whether you get to $6,000 per person, including children, that this bill costs. You might say, CTLawyer does not mind this bill. But then, consider whether CTLawyer could keep his money and spend on tzedokah himself.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> “virus naturally mutates toward that group”
> another one who thinks covid has a brain.This is a good illustration how we sometimes misunderstand reading old books. Someone reading these lines from another time period will report that 21st century Jews had a machloket whether viruses have a brain.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantYt, I presume you did not do it in the South … I once left a purse on a ledge (not on Shabbat) in a building, came back 2 days later, it was still there.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY, ujm, My understanding is that it is not yet proven that vaccines reduce spreading, but there are indications that it will. The main effect would be not just effect per person, but overall reduction in virus prevalence. So, until the time rates start going down, personal benefit from the vaccine will have counter-balanced by increase in propagation if the vaccinated will become significantly less cautious. To illustrate, a cautious 80-y.o. has almost 0 chance of getting sick. A non-cautious vaccinated 80 y.o. has some chance.
It seems that society has barely enough will-power to become more cautious when rates are high and then relax when it just starts decreasing. I think countries like NZ keep it at much lower level by immediately ratching up protection when there is an arrival of a new case (not that Us is an island, of course). As a kid put it nicely “if the whole world would stay home for 2 weeks, COVID will be gone”.
participant> naturally mutates
Ok, looks like you cleared it out. Sorry for a shorthand. The effect of selection is that virus variant that has best chances to propagate becomes prevalent. Based on current situation, it would be a variant that gets into 15-60 year olds, grows slowly without causing immediate symptoms. the more chances these variants will have to interact with vaccinated people, the higher chance that it will mutate to avoid vaccines.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCharlie, $2.7B in private school money from D-s is indeed remarkable
to compare, 2020 bill had $42B for schools,
of K-12, 70 percent went to public schools and 30 percent went to private or charter schoolshere are some items in the bill, as reported by covidmoneytracker:
Expand Child Tax Credit from $2,000 to $3,000 ($3,600 for children under age 6) and make it fully refundable for one year $110 billion
Expand Earned Income Tax Credit to childless adults for one year, tripling the credit, and include those aged 19-24 and over 65. Permanently allow recipients to have more investment income and expand the EITC in territories $23 billion
[ 2 policies above – for children for childless people, basicly to anyone]Provide grants to multi-employer pension plans and change single-employer pension funding rules $58 billion
Expand Affordable Care Act subsidies by reducing the maximum cost of insurance plans $34 billion
Increase base Medicaid match to states that newly expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act $16 billion
Allow states to expand Medicaid coverage for prisoners close to release and for pregnant and postpartum women for 5 years $9 billion [no breakdown between these 2 groups 🙂Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantI am not sure who the President is right now, but the next President will be serving his second term anyway.
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