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jackk> How about the 3,000 health people today who will catch covid and die within a few weeks ?
this may not be the case. Possibly, people who are dying now are the ones who were infected several weeks ago at the Omicron peak. So, some opening up policies may be based on the forecasts, maybe optimistic but reasonable. Some of the policy changes are not immediate but 2-3 weeks ahead.
Gadol > These sad individuals typically were angry underachievers prior to Covid and now have a “new” issue to to grab
Not in my observation. Many were for me fellow daveners, who did not exhibit more psychological problems than others, while consuming cholent. Maybe it is just because I did not know them well enough. Most people whom I considered in high regard behaved reasonably. There is also a category, similar to what you describe, generally people you can share cholent with who might gripe about something unreasonably, but not considered danger to people around them. I encountered one at a simcha, where there was a specific request to only have vaccinated people (due to a medical condition of the baalas simcha, that many might not have known about) – that, at the time, meant no children. Hundreds of people followed the request, while generally not adhering to any precautions, including ambushing the lady who was trying to avoid that. Then, I see a family with a kid. After consulting baalas simcha, I kindly informed them, thinking they can take the kid home 10 minutes away and not miss anything. They angrily replied – we did not notice that on the invite and moved hurriedly towards the buffet.
BY > if Always Ask Questions determined this estimate by fiat, it must be true. So I will not ask any questions.
I can answer them anyway: most similar countries have 1/2 death rate. I am excluding New Zealand, etc, just looking at UK/France/Germany overall over the term of pandemic. I am not sure it is right. Maybe US has higher rates of obesity, etc, but 10% difference in vaccination and effect of non-vaccination on deaths seems to be a direct connection.
> I will just point out that the most heavily infected states in the us are the ones with the most restrictions and vice versa.
here are top states by total death rates, your statement seems to be factually incorrect:
Mississippi, Virginia, Kansas, West Virginia, South Carolina, Arizona, Arkansas
Maybe you got this impression by early observations: early hit states were on the East Coast, got most cases, got restrictive policies, people stopped dying. People in Kansas were hit slower, did not pay attention, and continue dying.>> seems to me the covid was just a “practice run” for what they have coming next down the line.
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>> y I was on the train wo a mask and these crazy masked people gave me dirty looksSyag, are you comfortable with the guys like that?
Syag > Are you under the impression the omicron pandemic of today is the same in regards to danger and risk of death as the 2020 coronovirus? This is a yes or no question.
yes and no :). Here is what I understand: Omicron is almost as severe to a non-immune person as the original Wuhan, but less than Delta. As Omicron infects those with previous immunity (both vaccine and disease), there way more cases, most of them light. It seems to be almost over in the areas where most Jews live. While cases fell, the sick people were not all cured. Total death numbers for US in the omicron wave are as high as September Delta wave. And, continuously, US is one of the worst among Western countries by that sad statistics. That is not just “with covid” as lagging “excess deaths” indicate.
But back to my sentiment, you are right, it is primarily towards people who were negligent, or rebellious, in earlier times. It is more complicated now – people had vaccines or were sick already, and everyone is already tired of this, etc.
ujm,
two notes:
1) this is for wuhan vaccine v. omicron, and large number of antibodies are needed to defend against a different variant as each antibody/vaccine encounter is less successful. Omicron vaccines are currently in phase 3 testing.2) people generally acquire long-term immunity (T-cells, etc – beyond antibodies circulating in blood) to coronaviruses by encountered them multiple times during childhood. That is, we still get infected by “common cold” but with no serious damage.
So, presumably and logically, every encounter with either covid or a vaccine moves us towards that goal. According to many, that now include CDC, these encounters need to have some time between them, like two months. You surely want first several encounters to be vaccine and not covid to avoid possible damage. British results on side effects show 2 case of myocarditis/million for both Pfizer 2nd dose and booster, so no increased risk. So, boosters seem to be not controversial at least for population 40+ y.o. So, 4 months is too much, but presumably 6-12 month separate boosters (esp if tuned for the current variant) will make most of the adults fully safe from the “endemic” covid.
RW > I personally had some dope take a picture of me
R Heinemann warned early about trying to go against public policies, even in perception. He was asked whether it is OK to have a minyan consisting of several families, each in his own yard which would technically compile with the lockdown rules. The question seemed to be out of concern whether this is considered a minyan, as for him it was clearly complying with the letter of the covid law, but the answer was – someone passing by will not see the difference, and as a result of your action someone, somewhere, will get denied a ventilator during a shortage.
You are free to disagree with this psak, of course, but could you please provide your halakhic sources for behaving as you want and blaming the world for possible outcomes.
Goldilocks > Let’s all face up to the facts:
You are probably right about entrenched opinions, and it is a sad fact that people follow “beliefs” here rather than trying to find out information. I think psychologists call this “crystallization” – early on information trumps on the further one. Does anyone have an insight what was typical initial information that caused people to conclude that masks are worthless? Was it that they didn’t like it first and then found justification? something they read or heard from friends? something they first “figured out” themselves, like “a small virus will not be stopped by a large filter, obviously” ….
the second interesting part that anti-maskers often point fingers to cloth or even surgical masks –
see they don’t work, only K/N-95s do! I would think that they will then start wearing K-95, but not their thinking seem to stop right there – “see they are wrong”.Good progress on the selection. President said that he read on “about four nominations”. It is an approximate number – maybe two, maybe six. He either does not remember or is not sure of the count. Maybe some had double names. He also said (paraphrasing) that he has no political motive in selection, as long as the gal is a solid liberal.
Syag, I saw some serious academic anti-maskers at Cato referring to the same Bangladesh study we discussed here as a more authoritative one among a long list. They report it though in a distorted way, like “only 0.0x reduction”, when relative reduction is 20% … I emailed a polite technical message to one of the authors with a PhD and a Harvard affiliation but did not hear back.
Based on this and other similar readings, I dare to say if you were reading secondary sources that quote scientific articles in a serious-looking way on such a hot topic, you may be fooled (either way, depending what you are reading).
Putting aside countries that are different in geography, demography, and culture, US is doing 2-3 worse than comparable countries – Canada/UK/Germany/France/Israel in terms of death and sickness. As Us is edging on 1 mln of deaths, we can estimate that 500,000 of them are due to leadership and population behaviors. So, you can continue believing in strange science from some websites, but we are obviously doing _something_ wrong – despite having a lot going for us: large territory, larger houses, more driving than public transit, vaccine and medical developments …
This might be a combination of – bad medical practice in the above places; large nursing homes; low vaccination rate (10% below similar countries); obesity; but still a lot left to behaviors
Some say that this is a side effect of American independent streak and this might be true. This might be an excuse for an Alabama or Chicago downtown behavior, but Yidden should know that middos should be controlled by intellect. For me, the mass denial after witnessing bubbies, zeidies, and hoshive Rabbonim dying, is mind-boggling.
Avira > there is no issur of hotzaas shem ra/lashon hora/rechilus on non jews.
I like these technical discussions trying to justify lies, distortions, violence, and pure ignorance. I was not aware that when Hsahem called us am segula and kadosh there was an asterisk with a list of exemptions.
Avira > there will never be a persecution drom Germany…
Indeed, when Fritz Haber was visiting Atlantic city in ~ 1910, he was shocked to see the sign “no Jews allowed”, even as his hosts explained that this is just for East European Jews, not for German professors like you. He replied that he never saw anything like that in Germany.
Charlie, thanks for the history. From a longer perspective, interesting to note how government role in economy of creating markets by, inter alia, protecting against monopolies, morphed into government monopoly in so many parts of economy, which is much harder to fight. From your description, Brandeis would be a reaganite in our times
One of the problems with “social media” is that they take total control of the information the reader is getting. The reader gets feeds of news based on what the app knows about the reader and shows whatever is expected to glue the eyes. Other sources do similar with catchy headlines, etc, but at least you know the source and what you expect from them. So, YWN and old USENET, AOL, etc were “forums” in a sense that you freely selected what to read and were able to easily switch off from a topic.
RW, I apologize, I was sure your covid information sources looked like coming from social media. Sorry if I imputed wrong. I asked several times, I don’t think you replied, so I made an assumption.
I agree on the destructive nature of it. The main reason seem to be that the “recommendation” algorithm is optimized to keep eyeballs on, so people get confirmation on what they happen to think at the moment, rather than multiple information sources that make you more education. Almost like R Yohanan when he was sent a hevrusa that agreed with everything instead of Resh Lakish who argued.
Kuvult > The only time Jews faced a real threat was when it was backed by a powerful govt.
The most famous Pogrom was Kishniev.The definition of “pogrom” is not just random violence, but violence supported by the government. If Jews were to try fight back, police will join against them. That is what it was in Russia, and not B;H currently, as you are saying.
RebE, celebrate this as your personal purim!
> Considering the state sanctioned pogroms
> you are near an active volcanoWhy are you so over-the-top? If you don’t appreciate all goodness that Hashem gives you in current EY/US/UK/Canada/AUS – then you H’V calling His bluff?! It is fine to worry about future, but enjoy the good weather and use it to learn/do mitzvos.
RW,
are you sure you follow your own wise advise? A lot of your medical opinion sounds like coming off the meta or something. I a not sure what “good” is there, I only use linkedin.to clarify: there is an inyan of zerizus in performing mitzvos:
You are called somewhere – run to do that.
Another issue my Rov taught: you are irate that someone is taking your makom kavua? Come earlier.Ad kan? as long as it is safe. Kohanim used to compete for jobs until someone got hurt.
I am not rejecting a possibility that things can turn sour for Jews at any place/time, but right now if you cross the bridge from Brooklyn into America and avoid several cesspools, you will be OK.
edited
okay2 > everything is actually from Hashem and Litova.
a good point. Maybe Meno did not notice that he did an aveira that morning, maybe slammed the door and woke up a widow on the way to the minyan and she is sad remembering her husband going to shul early – so maybe you were destined to stumble in your hagbah that morning.
YS > prefer that Biden focus on meaningless external things like gender and race
I agree – I hope he will be busy doing supreme nomination for months instead of pushing more trillions out the door (they still did not start working on building what they voted for last year, I guess it is good). The fact that he might not have bandwidth for Covid and Putin viruses is ore worrisome.
Was their restraint genuine or useful to advance new Deal? Obviously, total restraint is the same as eliminating one element of checks & balances from the federal government, especially during “progressive” era.
Resign as a gabbay, appoint the complainer as your successor, complain about him in CR.
Gadol, exactly. Except Jews are more advanced. We don’t really have traditionalists like Thomas. As we discussed here many times, most Jewish groups are doing things differently now than centuries ago – nobody wore black during Gemora times except in the act of committing a sin (Moed Katan); 400 kids studied in an only Volozhin yeshiva 200 years ago, etc. But, similarly to Thomas, the latter “innovations” sound less like innovations.
On a more theoretical level, there is a difference between “originalism” in interpreting Torah and interpreting a humanly produced contract.
Gabbai to the newcomer: Kohen? no, Levi? no, shishi.
I was once asked by a gabbai mumbling: kohen? Me:no. levi? no. isroel?
He probably did this automatically just to finish the list, but the question sounds offensive – is he suspecting me of being a mamzer or an akum?!
So, I answered “no” just to look at his face. Hope he was more careful after this.CTlawyer, this card system is not secure enough and will be forged/gamed/hacked. There should be a two-factor identification system. Maybe mail a password home before shabbos.
R Salanter had a similar situation when he had a chiyuv and someone else had a lesser chiyuv. He insisted on the other guy going first, commenting “my mother deserves I do this mitzva in her honor”
Maybe the difference is that Thomas (as I understand it) holds by a judicial philosophy that just happened to be “right wing” as much as it does not allow innovations by judicial fiat and requires Congress to actually vote. At the same time, liberal justices need to find a basis for each of the new interpretations they are voting for. This comes as much more naked partisanship.
Next time run faster, rather than waiting to finish chewing the gum.
Avram,
I think mandates is a manufactured political topic. When Trump is booed by crazies for suggesting vaccinations, he can retort that he is against mandates. Note that in Israel, right-wing government was running public policy and were criticized by lefties. It is an unfortunate side-effect of democracy that politicians are using every issue to their advantage. USA lost 2x more people comparing with similar developed countries, mostly due to slow government and inability of the society to focus on what is important.Gadol, not being an expert, I googled rankings of supremes by experts. From several samplings, Gorsuch and Kagan head the list. Thomas occupies between 3 to 5. Sotomayor between 6 and 8.
While both are at the end of ideological spectrum, Sonya is also more ideological (score -4), Thomas 3 (next are Alito 2.2, Breyer -1.9, Kagan -1.5). That is Thomas is 0.8 away from the next, while Sonya is 1.0 more from Thomas.
Avram > here by an employee who is on the clock, you seem unconcerned about geneiva,
You are right. My oversight. Of course, you should count that as you personal time to do chesed.
Most people in the professional world work more hours than nominal 8-hour day, so this should not be an issue. If you are billing strictly by hour, then you should be more makpid.> the vast and overwhelming majority of us do not have the brain power of a gadol, and we cannot effectively do multiple things at once.
ok, so don’t do two things at once, do chesed first. I do agree that deep thinking often requires working without interruption. So, if this is a pattern, maybe come, greet people first (according to Mishna), have small talk with them, and THEN say that you now need to work. You can probably also rent a log cabin with internet connection somewhere and work there.
Front page has a story about Chaim Volozhiner approached by a beggar who charges him to listen to his dvar Torah .. learn from R Chaim
Gadol, I give you that he might not have been the choice if not race. What I am claiming is that he has zechuyot beyond his color, and he adds a certain position to the court. I have not heard anyone admiring the wise latina’s scholarship, but maybe I am not browsing in the right (left) circles
participant > 2/13 doesn’t = 1/60.
I think his quip was about 60 days of Adar that should botel evry tzara. Corollary: you need to do all 60 days of that Simcha to make it 60, do not waste time!
participant > I do count time talking with them as cheated, and talk accordingly. Maybe you didn’t gather that from my first post.
I apologize I did not re-read the post post-spellchecker! I meant exact opposite: “chesed”, no “cheated”. You have human beings in need of interaction. Maybe some of them live alone and come to this place looking for connection, especially now when some people WFH and lack usual interaction. Find out what kind word or advise you can give them, while thinking Gemora or work in your head. Maybe you can turn them towards a better outlook to life. There was a discussion here a couple of months ago about an Iraqi boy who was suddenly approach by a Jew to help as a shabbos goy and was kind to him, and he remembered that for decades.
I had this happen recently. A person I worked with, who has a very commanding personality was railing about how someone in business did not talk appropriately with him. I suggested to him that if he is really a baal middah, then he should be able to control it, and accept that he does not need to command every not very important interaction. It took him a long time to process this new idea.
REbE > Trump is against democracy
Unfortunately, any reasonable critique of Trump will not be heard. After 7 years already of mostly baseless attacks on him, those who believed those stories of Trump tower server beeping directly to Putin’s bankers already believed them, and the rest of us are just numb to the additional stories, especially as it is now seems to be shown that many of them were started by Hillary’s associates and laundered thru several government organizations.
A big picture of accusations of Trump that you would probably agree with: there are no more discussions about Trump’s crime before he was President’ no more about his crimes while he was President; now the only topic is how he handled last 2 weeks before transition. My prediction – soon, this will pass and he will be attacked for channeling Russian donations into his 2024 campaign and that he is planning for 3rd term in 2028.
in addition to using the search coffee room button, you can try searching google directly with this line:
<your keywords> site:theyeshivaworld.com
or just the coffeeroom
<your keywords> site:theyeshivaworld.com/coffeeroomGadol, now you are dismissing every step in Thomas’s career s benefiting from conservative affirmative action. With this approach, we will need to dismiss a lot of people.
Gadol, Justice Thomas had very visible senior positions in Missouri and Reagan administration before becoming a federal judge. Juliana Childs seemingly highest achievements are law firm partner and head of SC Department of Labor, Licensing, and Regulation. She may not be that liberal though – her father was a police officer and her mother moved away from Detroit due to violence there.
Dems are doing disservice to their values (and of their voters) if they nominate an unqualified person. Wise Latina seems to be marginalized, nobody is taking her seriously. Justice Breyer was working with John Roberts to find compromises.
Amom, Maybe if the system will notify every obnoxious poster about every obnoxious post, this will invite repeated posts, appeals to higher authority, attempts to game the mods, etc. People get triggered by information coming at them… Ideally, posters should know that they are moderated and behave accordingly, and mods need to just trim occasional mistakes. Maybe just inform posters about their general percentage rejected weekly
There is reshus to take common risks that society accepted as routine. Also, all together modern tech made us all richer than previous generations. So in theory this enables us to learn more and better. This would be a good reason to permit all tech. If we don’t use this wealth correctly, it is our fault
RebE What about the standing filibuster
When davening, we stand when we address Hashem, and sit when we address Jews (shma). So, standing filibuster is the one when the senator gave up on the chamber and calls on Hashem’s help
I work in a shared space with my family and (sometimes gladly) share in whatever others are doing. If you are forced to be in a place with strangers, maybe think about them as family, and count time you are talking with them as cheated ( and talk accordingly). One of the baalei musar was overheard asking a farmer about his chicken and at the same time murmuring gemora to himself.
A practical suggestion: use earphones visibly attached to the laptop and shake ad if you are listening to music.
We were not safer before cars. Cities were full of manure, milk was delivered slow, spoiled, and probably killed more new yorkers than Spanish flu. Nathan Strauss (Macy’s, Lakewood hotel) spent years trying to convince government to introduce pasteurization. New yorkers didn’t trust science then also.
Avram,
I don’t have an opinion on mandates. I am blessed not to be a congressman, a policeman, or a school principal, so I don’t have to make decisions on that. I also think this is way politicized and used by parties for their advantage. Enforcing rules is a very delicate area and there are a lot of gemoras discussing whether society will accept, whether people will be confused or negligent as a result.I am more concerned with my own, and our collective community, human/Jewish obligations and what should we do.
If mods could provide me with the material they rejected, I could try automating their hard work, so they will have more time for editorials.